scholarly journals Dynamics of the Global Energy Budget: the Time Dependence of the Climate Feedback Parameter and Climate Sensitivity.

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robin Guillaume-Castel ◽  
Benoit Meyssignac ◽  
Jonathan Chenal ◽  
Remy ROCA
2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (3) ◽  
pp. 1161-1178 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. R. Atwood ◽  
E. Wu ◽  
D. M. W. Frierson ◽  
D. S. Battisti ◽  
J. P. Sachs

Abstract The role of radiative forcings and climate feedbacks on global cooling over the last millennium is quantified in the CMIP5–PMIP3 transient climate model simulations. Changes in the global energy budget over the last millennium are decomposed into contributions from radiative forcings and climate feedbacks through the use of the approximate partial radiative perturbation method and radiative kernels. Global cooling occurs circa 1200–1850 CE in the multimodel ensemble mean with pronounced minima corresponding with volcanically active periods that are outside the range of natural variability. Analysis of the global energy budget during the last millennium indicates that Little Ice Age (LIA; 1600–1850 CE) cooling is largely driven by volcanic forcing (comprising an average of 65% of the total forcing among models), while contributions due to changes in land use (13%), greenhouse gas concentrations (12%), and insolation (10%) are substantially lower. The combination of these forcings directly contributes to 47% of the global cooling during the LIA, while the remainder of the cooling arises from the sum of the climate feedbacks. The dominant positive feedback is the water vapor feedback, which contributes 29% of the global cooling. Additional positive feedbacks include the surface albedo feedback (which contributes 7% of the global cooling and arises owing to high-latitude sea ice expansion and increased snow cover) and the lapse rate feedback (which contributes an additional 7% of the global cooling and arises owing to greater cooling near the surface than aloft in the middle and high latitudes).


2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 734-752 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Mayer ◽  
Leopold Haimberger

Abstract The vertically integrated global energy budget is evaluated with a direct and an indirect method (both corrected for mass inconsistencies of the forecast model), mainly using the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis Interim (ERA-Interim) data. A new estimate for the net poleward total energy transport is given. Comparison to satellite-derived radiation data proves that ERA-Interim is better suited for investigation of interannual variations of the global energy budget than available satellite data since these either cover a relatively short period of time or are too inhomogeneous in time. While much improved compared to the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40), regionally averaged energy budgets of ERA-Interim show that strong anomalies of forecasted vertical fluxes tend to be partly compensated by unrealistically large forecasted energy storage rates. Discrepancies between observed and forecasted monthly mean tendencies can be taken as rough measure for the uncertainties involved in the ERA-Interim energy budget. El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is shown to have large impact on regional energy budgets, but strong compensation occurs between the western and eastern Pacific, leading to only small net variations of the total poleward energy transports (similar magnitude as the uncertainty of the computations). However, Hovmöller longitude–time plots of tropical energy exports show relatively strong slowly eastward-moving poleward transport anomalies in connection with ENSO. Verification of these findings using independent estimates still needs to be done.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luke Davis ◽  
David Thompson ◽  
Thomas Birner

<div>The dry dynamical core represents one of the simplest possible numerical models for studying the response of the extratropical circulation to climate change. In the model, the circulation is forced by relaxing temperature to a notional “equilibrium” using linear damping. The linear damping coefficient plays an essential role in governing the structure of the circulation. But despite decades of research with the dry dynamical core, the role of the damping coefficient in governing the circulation has received relatively little scrutiny.</div><div><br>In this work, we systematically vary the damping coefficient in a dry dynamical core in order to understand how the amplitude of the damping influences extratropical dynamics. Critically, we prove that the local climate feedback parameter is proportional to the damping coefficient – that is, the damping timescale is a measure of climate sensitivity for the dry atmosphere. The key finding is that the steady-state extratropical circulation responds to changes in this climate sensitivity.</div><div><br>Longer damping timescales (i.e. higher climate sensitivities) lead to a less dynamically active extratropical circulation, stronger and more persistent annular modes, and equatorward shifts in the jet. When perturbed with climate change-like forcings, changing the damping timescale can also change the dynamical response to the forcing. We argue that understanding the response of the circulation to climate change is critically dependent on understanding its climate sensitivity, and consider how climate sensitivity might be inferred from its effect on the circulation in the dry model and more complex general circulation models.</div>


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