Previous studies investigating factors influencing healthcare expenditure growth ignored the network transmission mechanisms of disease-specific healthcare expenditure spillovers and regarded the processes culminating in healthcare expenditure growth as a black box. In this study, we investigated factors influencing the network transmission mechanisms underlying the determinants of healthcare expenditure growth through the dynamic connectedness network and the robust least square regression analyses. Our results indicate that demographic transition and business cycles are key factors increasing interconnectedness of different disease-specific healthcare expenditures, and that promotion of primary care utilization would reduce total healthcare expenditure spillovers. In order to reduce diffusion of disease-specific healthcare expenditures, health promotion activities should focus on those clinical diagnosis-related groups of diseases classified as pure net transmitters of spillover, and preventive interventions targeting different diseases should be activated in different phrases of the business cycle.
Heterogeneity in the Effect of Common Shocks on Healthcare Expenditure Growth
