scholarly journals Matched trade at the firm level and the micro origins of international business‐cycle comovement

Author(s):  
Richard Friberg ◽  
Mark Sanctuary

2016 ◽  
Vol 132 (2) ◽  
pp. 921-962 ◽  
Author(s):  
Javier Cravino ◽  
Andrei A. Levchenko

Abstract We investigate how multinational firms contribute to the transmission of shocks across countries using a large multicountry firm-level data set that contains cross-border ownership information. We use these data to document two novel empirical patterns. First, foreign affiliate and headquarter sales exhibit strong positive comovement: a 10% growth in the sales of the headquarter is associated with a 2% growth in the sales of the affiliate. Second, shocks to the source country account for a significant fraction of the variation in sales growth at the source-destination level. We propose a parsimonious quantitative model to interpret these findings and to evaluate the role of multinational firms for international business cycle transmission. For the typical country, the impact of foreign shocks transmitted by all foreign multinationals combined is non-negligible, accounting for about 10% of aggregate productivity shocks. On the other hand, since bilateral multinational production shares are small, interdependence between most individual country pairs is minimal. Our results do reveal substantial heterogeneity in the strength of this mechanism, with the most integrated countries significantly more affected by foreign shocks.



2018 ◽  
Vol 108 (1) ◽  
pp. 82-108 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julian di Giovanni ◽  
Andrei A. Levchenko ◽  
Isabelle Mejean

This paper investigates the role of individual firms in international business-cycle comovement using data covering the universe of French firm-level value added and international linkages over the period 1993–2007. At the micro level, trade and multinational linkages with a particular foreign country are associated with a significantly higher correlation between a firm and that foreign country. The impact of direct linkages on comovement at the micro level has significant macro implications. Without those linkages the correlation between France and foreign countries would fall by about 0.098, or one-third of the observed average correlation of 0.291 in our sample of partner countries. (JEL F14, F23, F44, F62, L14)



2006 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 255-279 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pedro J. Perez ◽  
Denise R. Osborn ◽  
Michael Artis




2020 ◽  
Vol 65 ◽  
pp. 103211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis Servén ◽  
Girum Dagnachew Abate


1956 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 339
Author(s):  
Henri Guitton ◽  
E. Marcus


2011 ◽  
Vol 28 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 259-263 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Luis Cendejas Bueno ◽  
Sonia de Lucas Santos ◽  
Ma Jesús Delgado Rodríguez ◽  
Inmaculada Álvarez Ayuso


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