High-Resolution Coastal Elevation Data: The Key to Planning for Storm Surge and Sea Level Rise

Author(s):  
Mark Monmonier
Author(s):  
Kristian Breili ◽  
Matthew James Ross Simpson ◽  
Erlend Klokkervold ◽  
Oda Roaldsdotter Ravndal

Abstract. Using new high accuracy Light Detection and Ranging elevation data we generate coastal flooding maps for Norway. Thus far, we have mapped ~ 80 % of the coast, for which we currently have data of sufficient accuracy to perform our analysis. Although Norway is generally at low risk from sea-level rise largely owing to its steep topography, the maps presented here show that on local scales, many parts of the coast are potentially vulnerable to flooding. There is a considerable amount of infrastructure at risk along the relatively long and complicated coastline. Nationwide we identify a total area of 400 km2, 105,000 buildings, and 510 km of roads that are at risk of flooding from a 200 year storm-surge event at present. These numbers will increase to 610 km2, 137,000, and 1340 km with projected sea-level rise to 2090 (95th percentile of RCP8.5 as recommended in planning). We find that some of our results are likely biased high owing to erroneous mapping (at least for lower water levels close to the tidal datum which delineates the coastline). A comparison of control points from different terrain types indicates that the elevation model has a root mean square error of 0.26 m and is the largest source of uncertainty in our mapping method. The coastal flooding maps and associated statistics are freely available, and alongside the development of coastal climate services, will help communicate the risks of sea-level rise and storm surge to stakeholders. This will in turn aid coastal management and climate adaption work in Norway.


2014 ◽  
Vol 129 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 337-349 ◽  
Author(s):  
James E. Neumann ◽  
Kerry Emanuel ◽  
Sai Ravela ◽  
Lindsay Ludwig ◽  
Paul Kirshen ◽  
...  

2006 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lisa R. Kleinosky ◽  
Brent Yarnal ◽  
Ann Fisher

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Natascia Pannozzo ◽  
Nicoletta Leonardi ◽  
Iacopo Carnacina ◽  
Rachel Smedley

<p>Salt marshes are widely recognised as ecosystems with high economic and environmental value. However, it is still unclear how salt marshes will respond to the combined impact of future sea-level rise and possible increases in storm intensity (Schuerch et al. 2013). This study investigates marsh resilience under the combined impact of various storm surge and sea-level scenarios by using a sediment budget approach. The current paradigm is that a positive sediment budget supports the accretion of salt marshes and, therefore, its survival, while a negative sediment budget causes marsh degradation (Ganju et al. 2015). The Ribble Estuary, North-West England, was used as test case, and the hydrodynamic model Delft3D was used to simulate the response of the salt marsh system to the above scenarios. We conclude that the resilience of salt marshes and estuarine systems is enhanced under the effect of storm surges, as they promote flood dominance and trigger a net import of sediment.  Conversely, sea-level rise threatens marsh stability, by promoting ebb dominance and triggering a net export of sediment. Ultimately, when storm surge and sea-level scenarios are combined, results show that storms with the highest intensities have the potential to counteract the negative impact of sea-level rise by masking its effects on the sediment budget.</p><p><strong>Acknowledgements</strong></p><p>We acknowledge the support of the School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool.</p><p><strong>References</strong></p><p>Ganju, N.K., Kirwan, M.L., Dickhudt, P.J., Guntenspergen, G.R., Cahoon, D.R. and Kroeger, K.D. 2015. “Sediment transport-based metrics of wetland stability”. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(19), 7992-8000.</p><p>Schuerch, M., Vafeidis, A., Slawig, T. and Temmerman, S. 2013. “Modeling the influence of changing storm patterns on the ability of a salt marsh to keep pace with sea level rise”. Journal of Geophysical Research-Earth Surface, 118(1),<strong> </strong>84-96.</p>


2006 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 194-211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim L Webster ◽  
Donald L Forbes ◽  
Edward MacKinnon ◽  
Daniel Roberts

2015 ◽  
Vol 80 (1) ◽  
pp. 539-565 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sayaka Hoshino ◽  
Miguel Esteban ◽  
Takahito Mikami ◽  
Hiroshi Takagi ◽  
Tomoya Shibayama

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