Poisson Models and Parametric Inference

Author(s):  
Jianguo Sun ◽  
Xingqiu Zhao
Author(s):  
Dexter Cahoy ◽  
Elvira Di Nardo ◽  
Federico Polito

AbstractWithin the framework of probability models for overdispersed count data, we propose the generalized fractional Poisson distribution (gfPd), which is a natural generalization of the fractional Poisson distribution (fPd), and the standard Poisson distribution. We derive some properties of gfPd and more specifically we study moments, limiting behavior and other features of fPd. The skewness suggests that fPd can be left-skewed, right-skewed or symmetric; this makes the model flexible and appealing in practice. We apply the model to real big count data and estimate the model parameters using maximum likelihood. Then, we turn to the very general class of weighted Poisson distributions (WPD’s) to allow both overdispersion and underdispersion. Similarly to Kemp’s generalized hypergeometric probability distribution, which is based on hypergeometric functions, we analyze a class of WPD’s related to a generalization of Mittag–Leffler functions. The proposed class of distributions includes the well-known COM-Poisson and the hyper-Poisson models. We characterize conditions on the parameters allowing for overdispersion and underdispersion, and analyze two special cases of interest which have not yet appeared in the literature.


2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 67-75
Author(s):  
John Fry ◽  
Oliver Smart ◽  
Jean-Philippe Serbera ◽  
Bernhard Klar

Abstract Amid much recent interest we discuss a Variance Gamma model for Rugby Union matches (applications to other sports are possible). Our model emerges as a special case of the recently introduced Gamma Difference distribution though there is a rich history of applied work using the Variance Gamma distribution – particularly in finance. Restricting to this special case adds analytical tractability and computational ease. Our three-dimensional model extends classical two-dimensional Poisson models for soccer. Analytical results are obtained for match outcomes, total score and the awarding of bonus points. Model calibration is demonstrated using historical results, bookmakers’ data and tournament simulations.


2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Asad Ellahi ◽  
Ijaz Hussain ◽  
Muhammad Zaffar Hashmi ◽  
Mohammed Mohammed Ahmed Almazah ◽  
Fuad S. Al-Duais

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (s3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Natalia Levshina

Abstract The use of differential case marking of A and P has been explained in terms of efficiency (economy) and markedness. The present study tests predictions based on these accounts, using conditional probabilities of a particular feature given the syntactic role (cue availability), and conditional probabilities of a particular syntactic role given the feature in question (cue reliability). Cue availability serves as a measure of markedness, whereas cue reliability is central for the efficiency account. Similar to reverse engineering, we determine which of the probabilistic measures could have been responsible for the recurrent cross-linguistic patterns described in the literature. The probabilities are estimated from spontaneous informal dialogues in English and Russian (Indo-European), Lao (Tai-Kadai), N||ng (Tuu) and Ruuli (Bantu). The analyses, which involve a series of mixed-effects Poisson models, clearly demonstrate that cue reliability matches the observed cross-linguistic patterns better than cue availability. Thus, the results support the efficiency account of differential marking.


2021 ◽  
Vol 1818 (1) ◽  
pp. 012165
Author(s):  
L. H. Hashim ◽  
K. H. Hashim ◽  
Mushtak A. K. Shiker
Keyword(s):  

2008 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Naomi Brownstein ◽  
Marianna Pensky
Keyword(s):  

2011 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jorge A. Achcar ◽  
Eliane R. Rodrigues ◽  
Guadalupe Tzintzun

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lisa Hilte ◽  
Walter Daelemans ◽  
Reinhild Vandekerckhove

Abstract This paper studies linguistic accommodation patterns in a large corpus of private online conversations produced by Flemish secondary school students. We use Poisson models to examine whether the teenagers adjust their writing style depending on their interlocutor’s educational profile, while also taking into account the extent to which these adaptation patterns are influenced by the authors’ own educational background or by other aspects of their socio-demographic profiles. The corpus does reveal accommodation patterns, but the adjustments do not always mirror variation patterns related to educational profiles. While salient features like expressive markers seem to lead to pattern-matching, less salient features appear less prone to ‘adequate’ adjustment. Lack of familiarity with the online behavior of students from other educational tracks is a factor too, since online communication clearly proceeds primarily within ‘same-education’ networks. The focus on cross-educational communication is quite unique in this respect and highly relevant from a sociological perspective.


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