Do Monetary Policy Shocks Influence Income Inequality Dynamics in South Africa?

2019 ◽  
pp. 87-103
Author(s):  
Eliphas Ndou ◽  
Thabo Mokoena
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Income Inequality ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Policy Shocks

scholarly journals Comparative Analysis of Monetary Policy Shocks and Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Nigeria and South Africa

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 199
Author(s):  
Sulaiman L. A. ◽  
Lawal N. A. ◽  
Migiro S. O.
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Exchange Rate Fluctuations ◽  
The World ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Short Run

The study examined a comparative analysis of monetary policy shocks and exchange rate fluctuations based on evidence from the two largest economies in Africa (Nigeria and South Africa) – from 1985 to 2015. Data were derived from various sources which include the National Bureau of Statistics, the Central Banks reports and the World Bank database. Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Analysis was used as the estimation technique. The results indicated that the foreign interest rate in South Africa had higher variations in the short-run. While in the long-run, foreign interest rate has higher percentage variations to exchange rate. In Nigeria the world oil price has the higher influence on exchange rate both in the short-run and longrun periods. Based on these results, the study then recommended that the monetary authorities and policymakers in both countries encourage external currency inflows into the economy.  

scholarly journals Monetary Policy And Long-Term Interest Rates In South Africa

2010 ◽  
Vol 9 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lumengo Bonga-Bonga
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Impulse Response Functions ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Vector Autoregressive ◽  
Supply Shock ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Structural Vector Autoregressive Model

This paper examines how short-term and long-term interest rates react to supply, demand and monetary policy shocks in South Africa. Use is made of the impulse response functions obtained from the structural vector autoregressive model with long-term restrictions. We find a positive correlation between the two interest rates after a monetary and demand shock and a negative correlation after a supply shock. The finding of this paper is that the operation of the monetary transmission mechanism should be effective in South Africa. Furthermore, this paper provides an approach to identify supply shocks in the South African business cycle.

scholarly journals Comparative Analysis of Monetary Policy Shocks and Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Nigeria and South Africa

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (6(J)) ◽  
pp. 199-207
Author(s):  
Sulaiman L. A. ◽  
Lawal N. A. ◽  
Migiro S. O.
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Comparative Analysis ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Exchange Rate Fluctuations ◽  
The World ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Short Run

The study examined a comparative analysis of monetary policy shocks and exchange rate fluctuations based on evidence from the two largest economies in Africa (Nigeria and South Africa) – from 1985 to 2015. Data were derived from various sources which include the National Bureau of Statistics, the Central Banks reports and the World Bank database. Vector Autoregressive (VAR) Analysis was used as the estimation technique. The results indicated that the foreign interest rate in South Africa had higher variations in the short-run. While in the long-run, foreign interest rate has higher percentage variations to exchange rate. In Nigeria the world oil price has the higher influence on exchange rate both in the short-run and longrun periods. Based on these results, the study then recommended that the monetary authorities and policymakers in both countries encourage external currency inflows into the economy.  

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Shocks and Industrial Sector Performance in South Africa

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (3(J)) ◽  
pp. 26-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adebayo Augustine Kutu ◽  
Harold Ngalawa
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Industrial Output ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Sector Performance

This paper employs an eight variable Structural Vector Auto regression (SVAR) model to examine how monetary policy shocks affect industrial sector performance in South Africa using monthly data from 1994:1 to 2012:12.The study finds no direct link between exchange rate and interest rate shocks and industrial output growth. A money supply shock, however, is observed to exert a significant positive impact on industrial output growth from about the eighth month. The study also reveals that the interest rate response to an unanticipated increase in the rate of inflation is insignificant, reflecting the infrequent changes of the repo rate in the country. We also find evidence of a symbiotic relationship between industrial output growth and other sectors of the economy that form components of aggregate output. The study further demonstrates that monetary authorities have very limited control over industrial output growth using instruments of monetary policy. In addition, it is found that relatively large proportions of the variations in the rate of inflation are explained by changes in money supply, exchange rates and industrial output. We also observe that variations in exchange rates are largely explained by unexpected changes in the exchange rates themselves, which supports the Martingale Hypothesis of exchange rates.

The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks on Income Inequality Across U.S. States

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 204-221
Author(s):  
Sima Siami‐Namini ◽  
Conrad Lyford ◽  
A. Alexandre Trindade
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Income Inequality ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Policy Shocks

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Shocks and Macroeconomic Fundamentals in South Africa

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 7-14
Author(s):  
Ojo Johnson Adelakun ◽  
Karima Yousfi
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
South African ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
Policy Goals ◽  
Macroeconomic Fundamentals ◽  
Monetary Authorities ◽  
Policy Shocks

This South African case study controls for the fiscal side of the economy using government borrowing as a potential accelerator of asymmetry in a monetary function that follows Taylor’s rule. Through the linear and non-linear ARDL framework, we find significant asymmetry effects of monetary policy on output and inflation, respectively. We also find government borrowing as an important underlying source of asymmetries in the response of macroeconomic fundamentals to monetary policy shocks in South Africa. Thus, we recommend that monetary authorities consider not only the effectiveness or otherwise of monetary policy instruments to affect the target policy goals, but also the fact that not all the target variables react in a similar way to expansionary and contractionary monetary policy shocks.

Revisiting the Link between House Prices and Monetary Policy

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Shiu-Sheng Chen ◽  
Tzu-Yu Lin
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
The Netherlands ◽  
House Prices ◽  
House Price ◽  
Monetary Policy Shocks ◽  
The Us ◽  
Policy Shocks ◽  
Interest Rate Shock

Abstract This paper revisits the link between house prices and monetary policy using a data set on house prices provided by the Bank for International Settlements. It is found that a loose monetary policy unambiguously results in a rise in real house prices, and such an increase is statistically significant for 19 of the 20 countries studied here. Empirical results also show that for some countries (Belgium, Canada, Switzerland, Denmark, the Netherlands, Sweden, and South Africa), the interest rate shock can explain a large percentage of real house price movements. The response of house prices to monetary policy shocks varies between countries, and the strength of the relationship between house prices and monetary policy can be associated with financial liberalization. On the other hand, evidence shows that interest rate shock plays an important role in explaining recent house price hikes for Australia, Spain, Ireland, the Netherlands, the US, and South Africa. In particular, during 2002–2006, on average 24% of the house price hikes in the US can be attributed to monetary policy shocks. Finally, we also find evidence that central banks react to the housing market, particularly in those countries adopting a policy of inflation targeting.

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