Geometric Distribution as Means of Increasing Power in Backtesting VaR

Author(s):  
Marta Małecka
Author(s):  
Jasdev Bhatti ◽  
Mohit Kumar Kakkar

Background and Aim: With an increase in demands about reliability of industrial machines following continuous or discrete distribution, the important thing to be noticed is that in all previous researches where systems are having more than one failure no iteration technique has been studied to separate the failed unit on basis of its failure. Therefore, aim of our paper is to analyze the real industrial discrete problem following cold standby units arranged in parallel manner with newly concept of inspection procedure for failed units to inspect the exact failure and being communicator to the repairman for repairing exact failed part of unit for saving time and maintenance cost. Methods: The geometric distribution and regenerative techniques had been applied for calculating different reliability measures like mean time to system failure, availability of a system, inspection, repair and failed time of unit. Results: Graphical and analytical study had also been done to analyze the increasing/decreasing behavior of profit function w.r.t repair and failure rate. The system responded properly in fulfilling his basic needs. Conclusion: The calculated value of all reliability parameter is helpful for studying any other models following same concept under different environmental conditions. Thus, it concluded that, reliability increases/decreases with increase in repair/failure rate. Also, the evaluated results by this paper provides the better reliability testing strategies that helps to develop new techniques which leads to increase the effectiveness of system.


2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (4) ◽  
pp. 569-586
Author(s):  
Ricardo Puziol Oliveira ◽  
Jorge Alberto Achcar

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to provide a new method to estimate the reliability of series system by using a discrete bivariate distribution. This problem is of great interest in industrial and engineering applications. Design/methodology/approach The authors considered the Basu–Dhar bivariate geometric distribution and a Bayesian approach with application to a simulated data set and an engineering data set. Findings From the obtained results of this study, the authors observe that the discrete Basu–Dhar bivariate probability distribution could be a good alternative in the analysis of series system structures with accurate inference results for the reliability of the system under a Bayesian approach. Originality/value System reliability studies usually assume independent lifetimes for the components (series, parallel or complex system structures) in the estimation of the reliability of the system. This assumption in general is not reasonable in many engineering applications, since it is possible that the presence of some dependence structure between the lifetimes of the components could affect the evaluation of the reliability of the system.


2014 ◽  
Vol 797 ◽  
pp. 117-122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carolina Bermudo ◽  
F. Martín ◽  
Lorenzo Sevilla

It has been established, in previous studies, the best adaptation and solution for the implementation of the modular model, being the current choice based on the minimization of the p/2k dimensionless relation obtained for each one of the model, analyzed under the same boundary conditions and efforts. Among the different cases covered, this paper shows the study for the optimal choice of the geometric distribution of zones. The Upper Bound Theorem (UBT) by its Triangular Rigid Zones (TRZ) consideration, under modular distribution, is applied to indentation processes. To extend the application of the model, cases of different thicknesses are considered


2011 ◽  
Vol 2011 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
J. B. Shah ◽  
M. N. Patel

We derive Bayes estimators of reliability and the parameters of a two- parameter geometric distribution under the general entropy loss, minimum expected loss and linex loss, functions for a noninformative as well as beta prior from multiply Type II censored data. We have studied the robustness of the estimators using simulation and we observed that the Bayes estimators of reliability and the parameters of a two-parameter geometric distribution under all the above loss functions appear to be robust with respect to the correct choice of the hyperparameters a(b) and a wrong choice of the prior parameters b(a) of the beta prior.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen-Sheng Chen ◽  
Chu Zhang ◽  
Shengyong Chen

Fisher linear discriminant analysis (FLDA) is a classic linear feature extraction and dimensionality reduction approach for face recognition. It is known that geometric distribution weight information of image data plays an important role in machine learning approaches. However, FLDA does not employ the geometric distribution weight information of facial images in the training stage. Hence, its recognition accuracy will be affected. In order to enhance the classification power of FLDA method, this paper utilizes radial basis function (RBF) with fractional order to model the geometric distribution weight information of the training samples and proposes a novel geometric distribution weight information based Fisher discriminant criterion. Subsequently, a geometric distribution weight information based LDA (GLDA) algorithm is developed and successfully applied to face recognition. Two publicly available face databases, namely, ORL and FERET databases, are selected for evaluation. Compared with some LDA-based algorithms, experimental results exhibit that our GLDA approach gives superior performance.


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