Risk and Uncertainty: Foundational Issues

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Daniele Chiffi ◽  
Simona Chiodo
Keyword(s):  
Risk And Uncertainty

Risk and uncertainty in applied problems of oil and gas economy

2019 ◽  
pp. 30-33
Author(s):  
A.F. Andreev ◽  
◽  
E.V. Burykina ◽  
G.N. Buliskeriya ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Risk And Uncertainty

Project portfolio valuation using real options

2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 126-146
Author(s):  
A.B. Lanchakov ◽  
S.A. Filin ◽  
A.Zh. Yakushev
Keyword(s):  
Real Options ◽  
Real Option ◽  
Project Portfolio ◽  
Risk And Uncertainty ◽  
Expected Effect ◽  
Investment Projects ◽  
Financial Options ◽  
Portfolio Efficiency ◽  
The Face ◽  
Effective Development

Subject. The article analyzes the expected effect of a portfolio of projects in the face of risk and uncertainty, when using real options. Objectives. The purpose is to offer a more objective formula to assess the expected impact of a portfolio of projects for real investment objects under risk and uncertainty, using real options, and provide recommendations for improving the portfolio efficiency. Methods. The study draws on methods of real options and evaluation of investment projects through the real option value, the cash flow discounting method, synthesis, and mathematical modeling. Results. We systematized the main types of real options and developed a formula for calculating the expected effect of project portfolio implementation. The said formula shows that considering the additional long-term costs embedded in a portfolio of real options, which are associated with the use of these real options, and, therefore, reducing the overall risk of projects and the entire portfolio, permit to improve the objectivity of such calculations. Conclusions. When analyzing real options that have real assets as underlying instruments, it is often impossible to apply the computational formulae for financial options, as they differ significantly. The systematization of the main types of real options helps expand the range of application of management solutions. The offered formula enables to improve the efficiency of project insurance under risk and uncertainty and to use additional opportunities for effective development of the company.

Managing Drilling Risk and Uncertainty Standard in Well Placement

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benny Poedjono ◽  
Erhan Isevcan ◽  
Guy Joseph Lombardo ◽  
John Richard Walker ◽  
Simon McCulloch
Keyword(s):  
Risk And Uncertainty ◽  
Well Placement

Transhumance – A Pastoral Response to Risk and Uncertainty in the Himalayas

1997 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 133-150 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minoti Chakravarty-Kaul
Keyword(s):  
Risk And Uncertainty ◽  
Pastoral Response
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