The Sunk Cost and the Real Option Pricing Model

Although the academic literature on real options has grown enormously over the past three decades, hitherto an accurate real option pricing model has not been developed for investment decision analyses. In this paper, we propose a real option pricing model based on sunk cost characteristics, which can estimate the value of real options more accurately. First, we explore the distinctive features that distinguish real options from financial options. The study shows that the distinguishing feature of the real options is the sunk cost, which does not exist in the financial options. Based on the sunk cost characteristic of real options, we find that the exercise conditions of real and financial options are different. Second, we introduce the sunk cost into the intrinsic value function of real options and establish a new real option pricing model. Finally, this paper also discusses the properties of the intrinsic value function and pricing model of real options. We find that the application of the Black–Scholes option pricing model will overestimate the value of real options.

A scoping review of hard systems and tools that restrict money and cash for gambling

BackgroundGamblers engage in a range of “soft” financial options to limit access to money or cash for gambling (e.g., family looks after cash). Such barriers are easily overturned, resulting in a demand for financial systems and tools that offer “hard” restrictions on access to money and cash in a gambling context. The aim of this scoping review was to determine the attitudes and preferences of gamblers and their families on systems or tools to restrict access to money and cash, as well as the effectiveness of systems and tools that can be used to accomplish that goal.MethodsA systematic search of articles related to financial restrictions and gambling was conducted. Eligibility criteria included samples of gamblers or affected others and interventions targeted at money or cash restrictions in a gambling context. Soft financial barriers such as family involvement were excluded, as were limit-setting systems which focused on gambling expenditure in gambling venues.ResultsNine studies met the eligibility criteria, with three focused on financial systems (e.g., ban on credit betting) and six focused on removal of cash machines from gambling venues. The included literature was generally of low quality, with just two pre-post studies and seven cross-sectional or qualitative ones.ConclusionsThe included studies provided strong support for financial mechanisms to support gamblers and their families. Future studies need to involve multiple stakeholders to provide this type of support as well as to evaluate the holistic impact that such hard barriers can have on gambling and gambling-related harms.

Investment Project Evaluation By Real Option Method: Example of Entrepreneurship Investment

The real option method, which emerged in the 1980s and is based on financial options, has been heavily involved in the literature since the early 2000s. Calculated by adding option value to investments in real assets, this method offers managers opportunities to evaluate the investment project. While the traditional capital budgeting method cannot be changed during the decision project process taken when evaluating the investment project, the real option method can be changed throughout the project process. The reason for this situation is that the real option method does not ignore the managerial flexibility. The reason for this situation is that the real option method does not ignore the managerial flexibility. In this study, these two methods in the literature are examined according to the types of projects.

Climate Change Adaptation Influences and Barriers Impacting the Asian Agricultural Industry

There has been an increasing interest among scholars regarding the impacts of climate change on agriculture and possible adaptation strategies for farmers. Little attention has been paid, however, to reviewing adaptation initiatives amongst farmers in Asia. This article fills this knowledge gap by examining the current literature on Asian farmers’ perception of climate change, their adaptation strategies, key factors influencing their choices, and the barriers to change. A systematic quantitative literature review is undertaken of 48 papers taken from a range of sources. The review indicates that farmers’ perceptions of climate change have been consistent with the scientific data. It further identifies farmers’ adaptation strategies with regards to soil conservation, water management and land use changes. The review shows numerous factors influencing, and barriers impacting, farmers’ ability to adapt. Influencing factors were analysed and categorised into five groups: cognitive, demographic, social-economic, resources, and institutional. Barriers hampering their adaptive capacity were identified as: a lack of access to information, a lack of access to extension services, limited awareness and knowledge, and limited financial options. The review finishes with some recommendations for future research.

Modernization in Medical Practices in Rural Nepal: An Ethnographic Study of Hyolmos

This article attempts to investigate the modern medical practices and the major factors triggering the changes in views, attitudes, and practices among the Hyolmos, an indigenous people residing in high hill region, Helambu, the northeast of Sindhupalchok, central Nepal. This ethnographic study with the key informants' interview, participant observation and household census was employed during a year-long fieldwork. The collected data were thematically analyzed and interpreted. The finding shows that the major triggering factors bringing such changes are education, communication, and transportation that increased awareness among the people for choosing alternative opportunities. Tourism and foreign employment raised the economic level that created better financial options for treatment. Conservation of forest was limited to the performance of herbalists and Amchis. To some extent, inter-caste marriage practice and the urbanization process also increased awareness about the use of western medicine.

Production Decision Analysis Under Exchange Rate Demand, And Carbon Prices Uncertainties

This thesis presents an optimal production decision analysis for a multinational firm under exchange rate, carbon allowance prices, and demand uncertainties. Firms having production and sales in two different countries experience both demand and exchange rate uncertainties. When exchange rates move unfavorably, multinational firms face financial losses because of falling profits. Demand uncertainties may result in underage cost when production quantities are less than the demand, or overage cost when production quantities are more than the demand. Additionally, recent environmental regulations on emissions of green house gases, particularly carbon dioxide emissions, also pose risk on firms’s profitability. It is thus important for a risk-averse manager to decide how to mitigate these uncertainties to protect the firm’s financial losses. In order to address these issues, mathematical models that capture firm’s production allocation problem under different scenarios of exchange rate, carbon emissions, and demand uncertainties have been developed. The risk attitude of the firm manager is assumed to be risk averse and is modeled by a mean-variance (MV) utility function. In order to hedge downside risk of exchange rates and upside risk of carbon allowance prices, the firm takes long positions in currency put and carbon call options, respectively. The objective is to maximize the MV function of the firm subject to various capacity and demand constraints and determine the optimal number of currency put and carbon call options. The firm possesses real options capability in the form of capacity flexibility represented by a vector of discrete capacity levels to meet uncertainties of demand. Demand uncertainties are assumed to follow regime-switching behaviors – considering both onestate and two-state probability distributions. The stochastic behavior of exchange rate is modeled by a geometric Brownian motion and its limiting case as a random walk. Functioning under a cap-and-trade emission trading scheme, the firm is obliged to buy carbon allowances for its carbon emissions. Carbon allowance prices are modeled as both geometric Brownian motion and geometric Brownian motion with jump processes. Results demonstrate that integration of real options and financial options increases the utility of the firm, while financial options reduce the variance of the profit.

Production Decision Analysis Under Exchange Rate Demand, And Carbon Prices Uncertainties

This thesis presents an optimal production decision analysis for a multinational firm under exchange rate, carbon allowance prices, and demand uncertainties. Firms having production and sales in two different countries experience both demand and exchange rate uncertainties. When exchange rates move unfavorably, multinational firms face financial losses because of falling profits. Demand uncertainties may result in underage cost when production quantities are less than the demand, or overage cost when production quantities are more than the demand. Additionally, recent environmental regulations on emissions of green house gases, particularly carbon dioxide emissions, also pose risk on firms’s profitability. It is thus important for a risk-averse manager to decide how to mitigate these uncertainties to protect the firm’s financial losses. In order to address these issues, mathematical models that capture firm’s production allocation problem under different scenarios of exchange rate, carbon emissions, and demand uncertainties have been developed. The risk attitude of the firm manager is assumed to be risk averse and is modeled by a mean-variance (MV) utility function. In order to hedge downside risk of exchange rates and upside risk of carbon allowance prices, the firm takes long positions in currency put and carbon call options, respectively. The objective is to maximize the MV function of the firm subject to various capacity and demand constraints and determine the optimal number of currency put and carbon call options. The firm possesses real options capability in the form of capacity flexibility represented by a vector of discrete capacity levels to meet uncertainties of demand. Demand uncertainties are assumed to follow regime-switching behaviors – considering both onestate and two-state probability distributions. The stochastic behavior of exchange rate is modeled by a geometric Brownian motion and its limiting case as a random walk. Functioning under a cap-and-trade emission trading scheme, the firm is obliged to buy carbon allowances for its carbon emissions. Carbon allowance prices are modeled as both geometric Brownian motion and geometric Brownian motion with jump processes. Results demonstrate that integration of real options and financial options increases the utility of the firm, while financial options reduce the variance of the profit.