An Empirical Study on the Impact of Political Shocks and Other Macroeconomic Variables on GDP of Sri Lanka

Author(s):  
V. I. Amaratunge ◽  
A. R. Ajward ◽  
R. M. A. K. Rathnayake

This research is aimed at tracing the impact of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) in promoting macroeconomic variables such as gross domestic production, industrial production, total domestic investment, exports, imports, Board of Investment approved exports, Board of Investment approved imports and Board of Investment approved employments by using the time series annual data for 1978 - 2018 in Sri Lanka. Multiple Regression Analysis was used to estimate the impact of FDI on selected macroeconomic variables. Estimation method was Ordinary Least Squares. EViews 10 software were used for data analysis. The empirical evidence shows that there is a statistically significant positive impact of FDI on selected macroeconomic variables except in the case of imports. However, this study further reveals that the actual impact on macroeconomic variables can be felt after certain time lag. But the impact on total domestic investment was realized immediately. Further, this research has identified various problems faced in attracting FDI including ideal sector identification and the appropriate recommendations have been presented in order to realize the major benefits from FDI inflow into the country.


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