Short Term Load Forecasting Model of Building Power System with Demand Side Response Based on Big Data of Electrical Power

Author(s):  
Xiang Fang ◽  
Yi Wang ◽  
Lin Xia ◽  
Xuan Yang ◽  
Yibo Lai

Power system load is a stochastic and non-stationary process. Due to the influence of various factors, some bad data may exist in the load observation value. These data are mixed into the normal load data to participate in the training of neural network, which seriously affects the accuracy of load forecasting. Short-term load forecasting is the basis of power system operation and analysis, improving the precision of load forecasting is an important means to ensure the scientific decision-making of power system optimization. In order to improve the precision of short term load forecasting in power system, a short-term load forecasting model based on genetic algorithm is proposed to optimize BP neural network. Firstly, using genetic algorithm to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of BP neural network to improve the prediction accuracy of BP neural network; Through the comparison and analysis before and after the model optimization, the experimental results with smaller prediction error were obtained. The simulation results show that the short-term load forecasting model established by this method has faster convergence rate and higher prediction precision.


1996 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 858-863 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.G. Bakirtzls ◽  
V. Petridls ◽  
S.J. Klartzis ◽  
M.C. Alexladls ◽  
A.H. Malssls

2021 ◽  
Vol 2143 (1) ◽  
pp. 012040
Author(s):  
Yang Donghui

Abstract Short-term load forecasting of power system is an important task of power distribution system. Accurate short-term load forecasting provides the best configuration for grid power generation and distribution, maximizing energy saving and ensuring stable operation. This paper aims to study the design of short-term load forecasting system of power system based on big data. On the basis of analyzing power system load forecasting algorithms, classification of load forecasting, characteristics of load forecasting and system design principles, each module of the system is designed in detail, and finally tested the performance of the system. The test results show that the system has no adverse reactions in the use of a large number of users and repeated operation for a long time. In the case of large throughput, the system has a satisfactory response time and relatively reliable system stability.


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