Multiple Change-Point Detection in Piecewise Exponential Hazard Regression Models with Long-Term Survivors and Right Censoring

Author(s):  
Lianfen Qian ◽  
Wei Zhang
Author(s):  
JING-RUNG YU ◽  
GWO-HSHIUNG TZENG ◽  
HAN-LIN LI

To handle large variation data, an interval piecewise regression method with automatic change-point detection by quadratic programming is proposed as an alternative to Tanaka and Lee's method. Their unified quadratic programming approach can alleviate the phenomenon where some coefficients tend to become crisp in possibilistic regression by linear programming and also obtain the possibility and necessity models at one time. However, that method can not guarantee the existence of a necessity model if a proper regression model is not assumed especially with large variations in data. Using automatic change-point detection, the proposed method guarantees obtaining the necessity model with better measure of fitness by considering variability in data. Without piecewise terms in estimated model, the proposed method is the same as Tanaka and Lee's model. Therefore, the proposed method is an alternative method to handle data with the large variations, which not only reduces the number of crisp coefficients of the possibility model in linear programming, but also simultaneously obtains the fuzzy regression models, including possibility and necessity models with better fitness. Two examples are presented to demonstrate the proposed method.


2019 ◽  
Vol 67 (12) ◽  
pp. 3316-3329
Author(s):  
Jun Geng ◽  
Bingwen Zhang ◽  
Lauren M. Huie ◽  
Lifeng Lai

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 203-213
Author(s):  
Aylin Alin ◽  
Ufuk Beyaztas ◽  
Michael A. Martin

2013 ◽  
Vol 83 (7) ◽  
pp. 1683-1691 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yunxia Li ◽  
Lianfen Qian ◽  
Wei Zhang

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 27-36
Author(s):  
S. E. Khrushchev ◽  
M. A. Alekseev ◽  
O. M. Logachova

This article addresses the potential of mathematical and statistical modelling the change point detection in economic systems on the example of UC «RUSAL». Change point prediction of stable or quasi-stable periods of economic systems is necessary for the operational changing of a strategy, tactics and control of the considered economic system. It solves one of the robust control problems, the purpose of which is the synthesis of the regulator that can provide the preservation of output variables of the system within the robust limit for all types of membership functions and the uncertainty of the input data.The developed algorithm is based on the study of the behavior of residuals of regression models by the observed series of the dynamics of some exponent (as a benchmark was chosen the price of ordinary share). This algorithm is applicable for small volume samples, which, as a rule, are the series of dynamics of exponents of economic systems and also, in the study of non-Gaussian observational models.


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