Asymmetrical Real Exchange Rate Risk Effects on South African and US Exports Growth

Author(s):  
Eliphas Ndou ◽  
Nombulelo Gumata ◽  
Mthuli Ncube
2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 91-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaratin Lily ◽  
Mori Kogid ◽  
Dullah Mulok ◽  
Rozilee Asid

This study investigates the asymmetric effect of exchange rate risk (volatility) on the real foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand (ASEAN-4) using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. The results revealed the occurrence of a long-run asymmetric cointegration between real FDI inflows and real exchange rate risk in the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, but not in Malaysia. For the Philippines and Singapore, there is evidence of long-run asymmetry whereas short-run asymmetry exists for the case of Thailand. These findings imply that the asymmetric effects prove to be useful in providing essential information to the related parties on how FDI inflows react to exchange rate risks differently. Therefore, policymakers in ASEAN countries should be concerned about the asymmetric effect of the exchange rate volatility to mitigate the stylized effects of exchange rate movements on FDI inflows.


2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 144-189 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pierpaolo Benigno ◽  
Salvatore Nisticò

This paper revisits an old argument, hedging real exchange rate risk, as an explanation of the international home bias in equity. In a dynamic model, the relevant risk to be hedged is the long-run risk as opposed to the short-run risk. Domestic equity is indeed a good hedge with respect to long-run real-exchange-rate risk. Two new frameworks are able to explain a large share of the observed US home bias: a model with Hansen-Sargent preferences in which agents fear model misspecification and a model with Epstein-Zin preferences. These two models are also immune to the risk-free rate puzzle. (JEL C58, F31, G11, G15)


2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (7) ◽  
pp. 1375-1383
Author(s):  
Hana Florianová ◽  
Barbora Chmelíková

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document