Solution of the Optimal Stopping Problem for One-Dimensional Diffusion Based on a Modification of the Payoff Function

Author(s):  
Ernst Presman
2017 ◽  
Vol 54 (3) ◽  
pp. 963-969 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vadim Arkin ◽  
Alexander Slastnikov

Abstract We study a problem when the optimal stopping for a one-dimensional diffusion process is generated by a threshold strategy. Namely, we give necessary and sufficient conditions (on the diffusion process and the payoff function) under which a stopping set has a threshold structure.


2013 ◽  
Vol 50 (02) ◽  
pp. 374-387 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik Ekström ◽  
Carl Lindberg

There is an extensive academic literature that documents that stocks which have performed well in the past often continue to perform well over some holding period - so-called momentum. We study the optimal timing for an asset sale for an agent with a long position in a momentum trade. The asset price is modelled as a geometric Brownian motion with a drift that initially exceeds the discount rate, but with the opposite relation after an unobservable and exponentially distributed time. The problem of optimal selling of the asset is then formulated as an optimal stopping problem under incomplete information. Based on the observations of the asset, the agent wants to detect the unobservable change point as accurately as possible. Using filtering techniques and stochastic analysis, we reduce the problem to a one-dimensional optimal stopping problem, which we solve explicitly. We also show that the optimal boundary at which the investor should liquidate the trade depends monotonically on the model parameters.


2005 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 693-696
Author(s):  
Giorgi Lominashvili

Abstract An approximation order of the optimal stopping problem for multidimensional diffusion processes by the corresponding semidiscretization is considered.


1983 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masami Yasuda

Although the usual optimal stopping problem is described as a Markov decision process with two decisions, stop and continue, we shall consider a model which distinguishes the observer's strategy from the system's two decisions. The observer can select a strategy defined on an action space, and the decision of the system to stop or continue is determined by a prescribed conditional probability. For this model, it may happen that the strategy (a) to stop is refused, or (b) to continue is forcibly stopped. This is a slight modification of the one-dimensional stopping problem by involving refusal and forced stopping. The model is motivated by the uncertain secretary choice problem of Smith (1975) and the multivariate stopping problem of Kurano, Yasuda and Nakagami (1980), (1982).


1983 ◽  
Vol 20 (01) ◽  
pp. 71-81
Author(s):  
Masami Yasuda

Although the usual optimal stopping problem is described as a Markov decision process with two decisions, stop and continue, we shall consider a model which distinguishes the observer's strategy from the system's two decisions. The observer can select a strategy defined on an action space, and the decision of the system to stop or continue is determined by a prescribed conditional probability. For this model, it may happen that the strategy (a) to stop is refused, or (b) to continue is forcibly stopped. This is a slight modification of the one-dimensional stopping problem by involving refusal and forced stopping. The model is motivated by the uncertain secretary choice problem of Smith (1975) and the multivariate stopping problem of Kurano, Yasuda and Nakagami (1980), (1982).


2013 ◽  
Vol 50 (2) ◽  
pp. 374-387 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erik Ekström ◽  
Carl Lindberg

There is an extensive academic literature that documents that stocks which have performed well in the past often continue to perform well over some holding period - so-called momentum. We study the optimal timing for an asset sale for an agent with a long position in a momentum trade. The asset price is modelled as a geometric Brownian motion with a drift that initially exceeds the discount rate, but with the opposite relation after an unobservable and exponentially distributed time. The problem of optimal selling of the asset is then formulated as an optimal stopping problem under incomplete information. Based on the observations of the asset, the agent wants to detect the unobservable change point as accurately as possible. Using filtering techniques and stochastic analysis, we reduce the problem to a one-dimensional optimal stopping problem, which we solve explicitly. We also show that the optimal boundary at which the investor should liquidate the trade depends monotonically on the model parameters.


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