Rainfall Forecasting Based on Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and Neural Networks

2013 ◽  
pp. 471-480 ◽  
Author(s):  
Juan Beltrán-Castro ◽  
Juliana Valencia-Aguirre ◽  
Mauricio Orozco-Alzate ◽  
Germán Castellanos-Domínguez ◽  
Carlos M. Travieso-González
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Rainfall Forecasting ◽  
Mode Decomposition

Toward a Digital Twin: Time Series Prediction Based on a Hybrid Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and BO-LSTM Neural Networks

2020 ◽  
Vol 143 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Weifei Hu ◽  
Yihan He ◽  
Zhenyu Liu ◽  
Jianrong Tan ◽  
Ming Yang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Bayesian Optimization ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Digital Twin ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Highly Nonlinear

Abstract Precise time series prediction serves as an important role in constructing a digital twin (DT). The various internal and external interferences result in highly nonlinear and stochastic time series. Although artificial neural networks (ANNs) are often used to forecast time series because of their strong self-learning and nonlinear fitting capabilities, it is a challenging and time-consuming task to obtain the optimal ANN architecture. This paper proposes a hybrid time series prediction model based on an ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks, and Bayesian optimization (BO). To improve the predictability of stochastic and nonstationary time series, the EEMD method is implemented to decompose the original time series into several components (each component is a single-frequency and stationary signal) and a residual signal. The decomposed signals are used to train the neural networks, in which the hyperparameters are fine-tuned by the BO algorithm. The following time series data are predicted by summating all the predictions of the decomposed signals based on the trained neural networks. To evaluate the performance of the proposed EEMD-BO-LSTM neural networks, this paper conducts two case studies (the wind speed prediction and the wave height prediction) and implements a comprehensive comparison between the proposed method and other approaches including the persistence model, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, LSTM neural networks, BO-LSTM neural networks, and EEMD-LSTM neural networks. The results show an improved prediction accuracy using the proposed method by multiple accuracy metrics.

A Hybrid Wind Speed Prediction Approach Based on Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition and BO-LSTM Neural Networks for Digital Twin

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weifei Hu ◽  
Yihan He ◽  
Zhenyu Liu ◽  
Jianrong Tan ◽  
Ming Yang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Digital Twin ◽  
Mode Decomposition

Abstract Precise time series prediction serves as an important role in constructing a Digital Twin (DT). The various internal and external interferences result in highly non-linear and stochastic time series data sampled from real situations. Although artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are often used to forecast time series for their strong self-learning and nonlinear fitting capabilities, it is a challenging and time-consuming task to obtain the optimal ANN architecture. This paper proposes a hybrid time series prediction model based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks, and Bayesian optimization (BO). To improve the predictability of stochastic and nonstationary time series, the EEMD method is implemented to decompose the original time series into several components, each of which is composed of single-frequency and stationary signal, and a residual signal. The decomposed signals are used to train the BO-LSTM neural networks, in which the hyper-parameters of the LSTM neural networks are fine-tuned by the BO algorithm. The following time series data are predicted by summating all the predictions of the decomposed signals based on the trained neural networks. To evaluate the performance of the proposed hybrid method (EEMD-BO-LSTM), this paper conducts a case study of wind speed time series prediction and has a comprehensive comparison between the proposed method and other approaches including the persistence model, ARIMA, LSTM neural networks, B0-LSTM neural networks, and EEMD-LSTM neural networks. Results show an improved prediction accuracy using the EEMD-BO-LSTM method by multiple accuracy metrics.

scholarly journals ECG Denoising Using Artificial Neural Networks and Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 2382-2389
Author(s):  
Rajesh Birok, Et. al.
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
State Of The Art ◽  
Signal To Noise Ratio ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Art Methods

Electrocardiogram (ECG) is a documentation of the electrical activities of the heart. It is used to identify a number of cardiac faults such as arrhythmias, AF etc.  Quite often the ECG gets corrupted by various kinds of artifacts, thus in order to gain correct information from them, they must first be denoised. This paper presents a novel approach for the filtering of low frequency artifacts of ECG signals by using Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (CEED) and Neural Networks, which removes most of the constituent noise while assuring no loss of information in terms of the morphology of the ECG signal. The contribution of the method lies in the fact that it combines the advantages of both EEMD and ANN. The use of CEEMD ensures that the Neural Network does not get over fitted. It also significantly helps in building better predictors at individual frequency levels. The proposed method is compared with other state-of-the-art methods in terms of Mean Square Error (MSE), Signal to Noise Ratio (SNR) and Correlation Coefficient. The results show that the proposed method has better performance as compared to other state-of-the-art methods for low frequency artifacts removal from EEG.  

scholarly journals A multi-scale fusion prediction method for lithium-ion battery capacity based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition and nonlinear autoregressive neural networks

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 155014771983963 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pei Wang ◽  
Xue Dan ◽  
Yong Yang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Lithium Ion Battery ◽  
Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Lithium Ion ◽  
Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Mode Decomposition ◽  
Battery Capacity ◽  
Nonlinear Autoregressive

Lithium-ion battery has been widely used in various fields due to its excellent performance. How to accurately predict its current capacity throughout a battery full lifetime has been a key technology for power system management, assurance, and predictive maintenance. In order to overcome low precision problem in long-term prediction for lithium-ion battery capacity, this article proposes a multi-scale fusion prediction method based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition and nonlinear autoregressive models neural networks. The proposed method uses ensemble empirical mode decomposition to decompose the battery capacity measurement sequence to generate multiple intrinsic mode function components on different scales. Then, each component is predicted by nonlinear autoregressive neural networks; finally, the prediction results of each component are reconstructed to obtain the final battery capacity prediction sequence. Experimental results show that the proposed method has higher prediction accuracy and signal adaptability than single nonlinear autoregressive neural networks.

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