A Novel Fuzzy Random Forest Model for Meteorological Drought Classification and Prediction in Ungauged Catchments

2020 ◽  
Vol 177 (12) ◽  
pp. 5993-6006
Author(s):  
Ali Danandeh Mehr ◽  
Rifat Tur ◽  
Cafer Çalışkan ◽  
Erkin Tas
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Meteorological Drought ◽  
Random Forest Model ◽  
Ungauged Catchments ◽  
Forest Model ◽  
Fuzzy Random

scholarly journals Drought impact links to meteorological drought indicators and predictability in Spain

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Herminia Torelló-Sentelles ◽  
Christian Franzke
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Meteorological Drought ◽  
Hydrological Drought ◽  
Random Forest Model ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Drought Impact ◽  
Forest Model ◽  
Drought Impacts ◽  
Drought Indicators ◽  
Impact Data

Abstract. Drought affects many regions worldwide and future climate projections imply that drought severity and frequency will increase. Hence, the impacts of drought on the environment and society will also increase considerably. Monitoring and early warning systems for drought rely on several indicators; however, assessments on how these indicators are linked to impacts are still lacking. Here, we explore the links between different drought indicators and drought impacts within six sub- regions in Spain. We used impact data from the European Drought Impact Report Inventory database, and provide a new case study to evaluate these links. We provide evidence that a region with a small sample size of impact data can still provide useful insights regarding indicator-impact links. As meteorological drought indicators, we use the Standardised Precipitation Index and the Standardised Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index, as agricultural and hydrological drought indicators we use a Standardised Soil Water Index and, a Standardised Streamflow Index and a Standardised Reservoir Storage Index. We also explore the links between drought impacts and teleconnection patterns and surface temperature by conducting a correlation analysis and then test the predictability of drought impacts using a Random Forest model. Our results show meteorological indices are best linked to impact occurrences overall, and at long time scales between 15 and 33 months. However, we also find robust links for agricultural and hydrological drought indices, depending on the sub-region. The Arctic Oscillation, Western Mediterranean Oscillation and the North Atlantic Oscillation at long accumulation periods (15 to 48 months), are top predictors of impacts in the northwest and northeast regions, the Community of Madrid, and the south regions of Spain respectively. We also find links between temperature and drought impacts. The Random Forest model produces skilful models for most sub- regions. When assessed using a cross-validation analysis, the models in all regions show precision, recall, or R2 values higher than 0.97, 0.62 and 0.68 respectively. Since we find the models to be skilful, we encourage other types of impact data to be used to investigate these links and to predict drought impacts.

scholarly journals Clinical trial registries as Scientometric data: A novel solution for linking and deduplicating clinical trials from multiple registries

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Thiele ◽  
Gerrit Hirschfeld ◽  
Ruth von Brachel
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Trials ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Random Forest Model ◽  
Scientometric Analysis ◽  
Data Set ◽  
The Public ◽  
Forest Model ◽  
Clinical Trial Registries ◽  
Multiple Primary ◽  
Clinical Trials Registry

AbstractRegistries of clinical trials are a potential source for scientometric analysis of medical research and serve important functions for the research community and the public at large. Clinical trials that recruit patients in Germany are usually registered in the German Clinical Trials Register (DRKS) or in international registries such as ClinicalTrials.gov. Furthermore, the International Clinical Trials Registry Platform (ICTRP) aggregates trials from multiple primary registries. We queried the DRKS, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the ICTRP for trials with a recruiting location in Germany. Trials that were registered in multiple registries were linked using the primary and secondary identifiers and a Random Forest model based on various similarity metrics. We identified 35,912 trials that were conducted in Germany. The majority of the trials was registered in multiple databases. 32,106 trials were linked using primary IDs, 26 were linked using a Random Forest model, and 10,537 internal duplicates on ICTRP were identified using the Random Forest model after finding pairs with matching primary or secondary IDs. In cross-validation, the Random Forest increased the F1-score from 96.4% to 97.1% compared to a linkage based solely on secondary IDs on a manually labelled data set. 28% of all trials were registered in the German DRKS. 54% of the trials on ClinicalTrials.gov, 43% of the trials on the DRKS and 56% of the trials on the ICTRP were pre-registered. The ratio of pre-registered studies and the ratio of studies that are registered in the DRKS increased over time.

scholarly journals Multi-Scenario Prediction of Intra-Urban Land Use Change Using a Cellular Automata-Random Forest Model

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 503
Author(s):  
Hang Liu ◽  
Riken Homma ◽  
Qiang Liu ◽  
Congying Fang
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Cellular Automata ◽  
Land Use Change ◽  
Urban Land ◽  
Urban Land Use ◽  
Random Forest Model ◽  
Growth Trend ◽  
Related Factors ◽  
Forest Model

The simulation of future land use can provide decision support for urban planners and decision makers, which is important for sustainable urban development. Using a cellular automata-random forest model, we considered two scenarios to predict intra-land use changes in Kumamoto City from 2018 to 2030: an unconstrained development scenario, and a planning-constrained development scenario that considers disaster-related factors. The random forest was used to calculate the transition probabilities and the importance of driving factors, and cellular automata were used for future land use prediction. The results show that disaster-related factors greatly influence land vacancy, while urban planning factors are more important for medium high-rise residential, commercial, and public facilities. Under the unconstrained development scenario, urban land use tends towards spatially disordered growth in the total amount of steady growth, with the largest increase in low-rise residential areas. Under the planning-constrained development scenario that considers disaster-related factors, the urban land area will continue to grow, albeit slowly and with a compact growth trend. This study provides planners with information on the relevant trends in different scenarios of land use change in Kumamoto City. Furthermore, it provides a reference for Kumamoto City’s future post-disaster recovery and reconstruction planning.

scholarly journals Estimates of daily ground-level NO2 concentrations in China based on Random Forest model integrated K-means

2021 ◽  
pp. 100017
Author(s):  
Xinyu Dou ◽  
Cuijuan Liao ◽  
Hengqi Wang ◽  
Ying Huang ◽  
Ying Tu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Random Forest Model ◽  
Forest Model

scholarly journals Identification of candidate biomarkers of liver hydatid disease via microarray profiling, bioinformatics analysis, and machine learning

2021 ◽  
Vol 49 (3) ◽  
pp. 030006052199398
Author(s):  
Jinwu Peng ◽  
Zhili Duan ◽  
Yamin Guo ◽  
Xiaona Li ◽  
Xiaoqin Luo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Hydatid Disease ◽  
Characteristic Curve ◽  
Receiver Operator Characteristic Curve ◽  
Random Forest Model ◽  
Hepatic Hydatid Disease ◽  
Forest Model ◽  
Protein Protein Interaction ◽  
Ppi Networks ◽  
Microarray Profiling

Objectives Liver echinococcosis is a severe zoonotic disease caused by Echinococcus (tapeworm) infection, which is epidemic in the Qinghai region of China. Here, we aimed to explore biomarkers and establish a predictive model for the diagnosis of liver echinococcosis. Methods Microarray profiling followed by Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes analysis was performed in liver tissue from patients with liver hydatid disease and from healthy controls from the Qinghai region of China. A protein–protein interaction (PPI) network and random forest model were established to identify potential biomarkers and predict the occurrence of liver echinococcosis, respectively. Results Microarray profiling identified 1152 differentially expressed genes (DEGs), including 936 upregulated genes and 216 downregulated genes. Several previously unreported biological processes and signaling pathways were identified. The FCGR2B and CTLA4 proteins were identified by the PPI networks and random forest model. The random forest model based on FCGR2B and CTLA4 reliably predicted the occurrence of liver hydatid disease, with an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of 0.921. Conclusion Our findings give new insight into gene expression in patients with liver echinococcosis from the Qinghai region of China, improving our understanding of hepatic hydatid disease.

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