Spatial distribution of precipitation annual cycles over South Africa in 10 CORDEX regional climate model present-day simulations

2015 ◽  
Vol 46 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 1799-1818 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alice Favre ◽  
Nathalie Philippon ◽  
Benjamin Pohl ◽  
Evangelia-Anna Kalognomou ◽  
Christopher Lennard ◽  
...  
2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (13) ◽  
pp. 3595-3616 ◽  
Author(s):  
Neil Davis ◽  
Jared Bowden ◽  
Fredrick Semazzi ◽  
Lian Xie ◽  
Bariş Önol

Abstract Rainfall is a driving factor of climate in the tropics and needs to be properly represented within a climate model. This study customizes the precipitation processes over the tropical regions of eastern Africa and the Indian Ocean using the International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) Regional Climate Model (RegCM3). The convective schemes of Grell with closures Arakawa–Schubert (Grell–AS)/Fritch–Chappel (Grell–FC) and Massachusetts Institute of Technology–Emanuel (MIT–EMAN) were compared to determine the most realistic spatial distribution of rainfall and partitioning of convective/stratiform rainfall when compared to observations from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM). Both Grell–AS and Grell–FC underpredicted convective rainfall rates over land, while over the ocean Grell–FC (Grell–AS) over- (under-) estimates convective rainfall. MIT–EMAN provides the most realistic pardoning and spatial distribution of convective rainfall despite the tendency for overestimating total rainfall. MIT–EMAN was used to further customize the subgrid explicit moisture scheme (SUBEX). Sensitivity tests were performed on the gridbox relative humidity threshold for cloudiness (RHmin) and the autoconversion scale factor (Cacs). An RHmin value of 60% (RHmin-60) reduced the amount of total rainfall over five heterogeneous rainfall regions in eastern Africa, with most of the reduction coming from the convective rainfall. Then, Cacs sensitivity tests improved upon the total rainfall amounts and convective stratiform partitioning compared to RHmin-60. Based upon all sensitivity simulations performed, the combination of the MIT–EMAN convective scheme, RHmin-60, and halving the model default value (0.4) of Cacs provided the most realistic simulation in terms of spatial distribution, convective partition, rainfall totals, and temperature bias when compared to observations.


2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 845-862 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuhan Wang ◽  
Hanbo Yang ◽  
Dawen Yang ◽  
Yue Qin ◽  
Bing Gao ◽  
...  

Abstract Precipitation is a primary climate forcing factor in catchment hydrology, and its spatial distribution is essential for understanding the spatial variability of ecohydrological processes in a catchment. In mountainous areas, meteorological stations are generally too sparse to represent the spatial distribution of precipitation. This study develops a spatial interpolation method that combines meteorological observations and regional climate model (RCM) outputs. The method considers the precipitation–elevation relationship in the mountain region and the topographic effects, especially the mountain blocking effect. Furthermore, using this method, this study produced a 3-km-resolution precipitation dataset from 1960 to 2014 in the middle and upper reaches of the Heihe River basin located on the northern slope of the Qilian Mountains in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. Cross validation based on the station observations showed that this method is reasonable. The rationality of the interpolated precipitation data was also evaluated by the catchment water balances using the observed river discharge and the actual evapotranspiration based on remote sensing. The interpolated precipitation data were compared with the China Gauge-Based Daily Precipitation Analysis product and the RCM output and was shown to be optimal. The results showed that the proposed method effectively used the information from the meteorological observations and the RCM simulations and provided the spatial distributions of daily precipitations with reasonable accuracy and high resolution, which is important for a distributed hydrological simulation at the catchment scale.


2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 3-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Biljana Music ◽  
Daniel Caya

Abstract This study investigates the sensitivity of components of the hydrological cycle simulated by the Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM) to lateral boundary forcing, the complexity of the land surface scheme (LSS), and the internal variability arising from different models’ initial conditions. This evaluation is a contribution to the estimation of the uncertainty associated to regional climate model (RCM) simulations. The analysis was carried out over the period 1961–99 for three North American watersheds, and it looked at climatological seasonal means, mean (climatological) annual cycles, and interanual variability. The three watersheds—the Mississippi, the St. Lawrence, and the Mackenzie River basins—were selected to cover a large range of climate conditions. An evaluation of simulated water budget components with available observations was also included in the analysis. Results indicated that the response of climatological means and annual cycles of water budget components to land surface parameterizations and lateral boundary conditions varied from basin to basin. Sensitivity to lateral boundary conditions is, in general, smaller than sensitivity to LSS and tends to be stronger for the northern basins (Mackenzie and St. Lawrence). Interannual variability was unaffected by changes in LSS and in driving data. Internal variability triggered by different initial conditions and the nonlinear nature of the climate model did not significantly affect either the 39-yr climatology, the climatological annual cycles, or the interannual variability. A comparison with observations suggests that although the simple Manabe-based LSS may be adequate for simulations of climatological means, skillful simulation of annual cycles require the use of a state-of-the-art LSS.


2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 969-988 ◽  
Author(s):  
Biljana Music ◽  
Daniel Caya

Abstract The water cycle over a given region is governed by many complex multiscale interactions and feedbacks, and their representation in climate models can vary in complexity. To understand which of the key processes require better representation, evaluation and validation of all components of the simulated water cycle are required. Adequate assessing of the simulated hydrological cycle over a given region is not trivial because observations for various water cycle components are seldom available at the regional scale. In this paper, a comprehensive validation method of the water budget components over a river basin is presented. In addition, the sensitivity of the hydrological cycle in the Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM) to a more realistic representation of the land surface processes, as well as radiation, cloud cover, and atmospheric boundary layer mixing is investigated. The changes to the physical parameterizations are assessed by evaluating the CRCM hydrological cycle over the Mississippi River basin. The first part of the evaluation looks at the basin annual means. The second part consists of the analysis and validation of the annual cycle of all water budget components. Finally, the third part is directed toward the spatial distribution of the annual mean precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff. Results indicate a strong response of the CRCM evapotranspiration and precipitation biases to the physical parameterization changes. Noticeable improvement was obtained in the simulated annual cycles of precipitation, evapotranspiration, moisture flux convergence, and terrestrial water storage tendency when more sophisticated physical parameterizations were used. Some improvements are also observed for the simulated spatial distribution of precipitation and evapotranspiration. The simulated runoff is less sensitive to changes in the CRCM physical parameterizations.


2014 ◽  
Vol 43 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 2207-2226 ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin Pohl ◽  
Mathieu Rouault ◽  
Shouraseni Sen Roy

2013 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 173-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
X Wang ◽  
M Yang ◽  
G Wan ◽  
X Chen ◽  
G Pang

2020 ◽  
Vol 80 (2) ◽  
pp. 147-163
Author(s):  
X Liu ◽  
Y Kang ◽  
Q Liu ◽  
Z Guo ◽  
Y Chen ◽  
...  

The regional climate model RegCM version 4.6, developed by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis, was used to simulate the radiation budget over China. Clouds and the Earth’s Radiant Energy System (CERES) satellite data were utilized to evaluate the simulation results based on 4 radiative components: net shortwave (NSW) radiation at the surface of the earth and top of the atmosphere (TOA) under all-sky and clear-sky conditions. The performance of the model for low-value areas of NSW was superior to that for high-value areas. NSW at the surface and TOA under all-sky conditions was significantly underestimated; the spatial distribution of the bias was negative in the north and positive in the south, bounded by 25°N for the annual and seasonal averaged difference maps. Compared with the all-sky condition, the simulation effect under clear-sky conditions was significantly better, which indicates that the cloud fraction is the key factor affecting the accuracy of the simulation. In particular, the bias of the TOA NSW under the clear-sky condition was <±10 W m-2 in the eastern areas. The performance of the model was better over the eastern monsoon region in winter and autumn for surface NSW under clear-sky conditions, which may be related to different levels of air pollution during each season. Among the 3 areas, the regional average biases overall were largest (negative) over the Qinghai-Tibet alpine region and smallest over the eastern monsoon region.


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