Secondary Organic Aerosol Formation via Multiphase Reaction of Hydrocarbons in Urban Atmospheres Using the CAMx Model Integrated with the UNIPAR model

The prediction of Secondary Organic Aerosol (SOA) in regional scales is traditionally performed by using gas-particle partitioning models. In the presence of inorganic salted wet aerosols, aqueous reactions of semivolatile organic compounds can also significantly contribute to SOA formation. The UNIfied Partitioning-Aerosol phase Reaction (UNIPAR) model utilizes explicit gas chemistry to better predict SOA mass from multiphase reactions. In this work, the UNIPAR model was incorporated with the Comprehensive Air Quality Model with Extensions (CAMx) to predict the ambient concentration of organic matter (OM) in urban atmospheres during the Korean-United States Air Quality (2016 KORUS-AQ) campaign. The SOA mass predicted with the CAMx-UNIPAR model changed with varying levels of humidity and emissions and in turn, has the potential to improve the accuracy of OM simulations. The CAMx-UNIPAR model significantly improved the simulation of SOA formation under the wet condition, which often occurred during the KORUS-AQ campaign, through the consideration of aqueous reactions of reactive organic species and gas-aqueous partitioning. The contribution of aromatic SOA to total OM was significant during the low-level transport/haze period (24–31 May 2016) because aromatic oxygenated products are hydrophilic and reactive in aqueous aerosols. The OM mass predicted with the CAMx-UNIPAR model was compared with that predicted with the CAMx model integrated with the conventional two product model (SOAP). Based on estimated statistical parameters to predict OM mass, the performance of CAMx-UNIPAR was noticeably better than the conventional CAMx model although both SOA models underestimated OM compared to observed values, possibly due to missing precursor hydrocarbons such as sesquiterpenes, alkanes, and intermediate VOCs. The CAMx-UNIPAR model simulation suggested that in the urban areas of South Korea, terpene and anthropogenic emissions significantly contribute to SOA formation while isoprene SOA minimally impacts SOA formation.

The first 250 years of the Heinrich 11 iceberg discharge: Last Interglacial HadGEM3-GC3.1 simulations for CMIP6-PMIP4

The Heinrich 11 event is simulated using the HadGEM3 model during the Last Interglacial period. We apply 0.2 Sv of meltwater forcing across the North Atlantic during a 250 years long simulation. We find that the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation is reduced by 60 % after 150 years of meltwater forcing, with an associated decrease of 0.2 to 0.4 PW in meridional ocean heat transport at all latitudes. The changes in ocean heat transport affect surface temperatures. The largest increase in the meridional surface temperature gradient occurs between 40–50 N. This increase is associated with a strengthening of 20 % in 850 hPa winds. The stream jet intensification in the Northern Hemisphere in return alters the temperature structure of the ocean heat through an increased gyre circulation, and associated heat transport (+0.1–0.2 PW), at the mid-latitudes, and a decreased gyre ocean heat transport (−0.2 PW) at high-latitudes. The changes in meridional temperature and pressure gradients cause the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) to move southward, leading to stronger westerlies and a more positive Southern Annual Mode (SAM) in the Southern Hemisphere. The positive SAM influences sea ice formation leading to an increase in Antarctic sea ice. Our coupled-model simulation framework shows that the classical "thermal bipolar see-saw'' has previously undiscovered consequences in both Hemispheres: these include Northern Hemisphere gyre heat transport and wind changes; alongside an increase in Antarctic sea ice during the first 250 years of meltwater forcing.

Towards Self-supervised Learning for Multi-function Radar Behavior State Detection and Recognition

<div>The analysis of intercepted multi-function radar (MFR) signals has gained considerable attention in the field of cognitive electronic reconnaissance. With the rapid development of MFR, the switch between different work modes is becoming more flexible, increasing the agility of pulse parameters. Most of the existing approaches for recognizing MFR behaviors heavily depend on prior information, which can hardly be obtained in a non-cooperative way. This study develops a novel hierarchical contrastive self-supervise-based method for segmenting and clustering MFR pulse sequences. First, a convolutional neural network (CNN) with a limited receptive field is trained in a contrastive way to distinguish between pulse descriptor words (PDW) in the original order and the samples created by random permutations to detect the boundary between each radar word and perform segmentation. Afterward, the K-means++ algorithm with cosine distances is established to cluster the segmented PDWs according to the output vectors of the CNN’s last layer for radar words extraction. This segmenting and clustering process continues to go in the extracted radar word sequence, radar phase sequence, and so on, finishing the automatic extraction of MFR behavior states in the MFR hierarchical model. Simulation results show that without using any labeled data, the proposed method can effectively mine distinguishable patterns in the sequentially arriving PDWs and recognize the MFR behavior states under corrupted, overlapped pulse parameters.</div>

Towards Self-supervised Learning for Multi-function Radar Behavior State Detection and Recognition

<div>The analysis of intercepted multi-function radar (MFR) signals has gained considerable attention in the field of cognitive electronic reconnaissance. With the rapid development of MFR, the switch between different work modes is becoming more flexible, increasing the agility of pulse parameters. Most of the existing approaches for recognizing MFR behaviors heavily depend on prior information, which can hardly be obtained in a non-cooperative way. This study develops a novel hierarchical contrastive self-supervise-based method for segmenting and clustering MFR pulse sequences. First, a convolutional neural network (CNN) with a limited receptive field is trained in a contrastive way to distinguish between pulse descriptor words (PDW) in the original order and the samples created by random permutations to detect the boundary between each radar word and perform segmentation. Afterward, the K-means++ algorithm with cosine distances is established to cluster the segmented PDWs according to the output vectors of the CNN’s last layer for radar words extraction. This segmenting and clustering process continues to go in the extracted radar word sequence, radar phase sequence, and so on, finishing the automatic extraction of MFR behavior states in the MFR hierarchical model. Simulation results show that without using any labeled data, the proposed method can effectively mine distinguishable patterns in the sequentially arriving PDWs and recognize the MFR behavior states under corrupted, overlapped pulse parameters.</div>

Simulation and Optimization Strategy of Storm Flood Safety Pattern Based on SCS-CN Model

The contradiction between rapid urbanization’s demand for land resources and the ecological environment is increasing, which has led to large-scale hardening of the underlying surface of the city and reduction of land for storage. In addition, construction land occupies rainwater confluence land, resulting in a significant decline in urban stormwater control capabilities. The increasingly frequent flood disasters in recent years have exposed the contradiction between urban construction and stormwater safety that cannot be ignored. Therefore, this article takes the central city of Harbin as the research object, uses ArcGIS for spatial analysis and SCS (Soil Conservation Service) hydrological model simulation to construct the rain and flood safety pattern in the research area, and proposes targeted optimization suggestions and strategies based on the evaluation results to achieve the purpose of coordinating the water ecosystem service function with social and economic development. The research shows that protecting the original stormwater corridor and strengthening the connection between the stormwater control patches can effectively guarantee the connectivity of the stormwater corridor, build the natural stormwater regulation and storage system, and then increase the ability of the city to resist the risk of rainstorm, reduce the disaster caused by urban waterlogging, and achieve the goal of sponge city construction.

Jiles-Atherton-Based Hysteresis Identification of Joint Resistant Torque in Active Spacesuit Using SA-PSO Algorithm

To eliminate the influence of spacesuits’ joint resistant torque on the operation of astronauts, an active spacesuit scheme based on the joint-assisted exoskeleton technology is proposed. Firstly, we develop a prototype of the upper limb exoskeleton robot and theoretically analyse the prototype to match astronauts’ motion behavior. Then, the Jiles-Atherton model is adopted to describe the hysteretic characteristic of joint resistant torque. Considering the parameter identification effects in the Jiles-Atherton model and the local optimum problem of the basic PSO (particle swarm optimization) algorithm, a SA- (simulated annealing-) PSO algorithm is proposed to identify the Jiles-Atherton model parameters. Compared with the modified PSO algorithm, the convergence rate of the designed SA-PSO algorithm is advanced by 6.25% and 20.29%, and the fitting accuracy is improved by 14.45% and 46.5% for upper limb joint model. Simulation results show that the identified J-A model can show good agreements with the measured experimental data and well predict the unknown joint resistance torque.

A Stochastic Model for Kala-azar Transmission Dynamics in Libo Kemkem, Ethiopia

The objective of this paper is to analyse and demonstrate the dynamics of Kala-azar infected group using stochastic model, particularly using simple SIR model with python script over time. The model is used under a closed population with N = 100, transmission rate coefficient β = 0.09, recovery rate γ = 0.03 and initial condition I(0) = 1. In the paper it is discussed how the Kala-azar infected group behaves through simple SIR model. The paper is completed with stochastic SIR model simulation result and shows stochasticity of the dynamics of Kala-azar infected population over time. Fig. 2 below depicts continuous fluctuations which tells us the disease evolves with stochastic nature and shows random process.Subject: Infectious Disease, Global Health, Health Informatics and Statistical and Computational Physics

Drivers and physical processes of drought events over the State of São Paulo, Brazil

The State of São Paulo, Brazil (SSP) was impacted by severe water shortages during the intense austral summer drought of 2013/2014 and 2014/2015 (1415SD). This study seeks to understand the features and physical processes associated with these summer droughts in the context of other droughts over the region during 1961–2010. Thus, this study examines the spatio-temporal characteristics of anomalously low precipitation over SSP and the associated large-scale dynamics at seasonal timescales, using an observation-based dataset from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) and model simulation outputs from the Met Office Hadley Centre Global Environment Model (HadGEM3-GA6 at N216 resolution). The study analyzes Historical and Natural simulations from the model to examine the role of human-induced climate forcing on droughts over SSP. Composites of large-scale fields associated with droughts are derived from ERA-20C and ERA-Interim reanalysis and the model simulations. HadGEM3-GA6 simulations capture the observed interannual variability of normalized precipitation anomalies over SSP, but with biases. Drought events over SSP are related to subsidence over the region. This is associated with reduced atmospheric moisture over the region as indicated by the analysis of the vertically integrated moisture flux convergence, which is dominated by reduced moisture flux convergence. The Historical simulations simulate the subsidence associated with droughts, but there are magnitude and location biases. The similarities between the circulation features of the severe 1415SD and other drought events over the region show that understanding of the dynamics of the past drought events over SSP could guide assessment of changes in risk of future droughts and improvements of model performance. The study highlights the merits and limitations of the HadGEM3-GA6 simulations. The model possesses the skills in simulating the large-scale atmospheric circulations modulating precipitation variability, leading to drought conditions over SSP.

Modelling the impact of climate change on rice production in India

The CERES-Rice crop simulation model, calibrated and validated for the varieties PR106 in NW India. IR36 in central India and Jaya in south India, is used for nalysing the effect of climate change on rice productivity in the country. Plausible climate change scenario for the Indian subcontinent as expected by the middle of the next century taking into account the projected emissions of greenhouse gases and sulphate aerosols, in a coupled atmosphere-ocean model experiment performed at Deutsches Klimarechenzentrum, Germany, is adopted for the study. The adopted scenario represented an increase in monsoon seasonal mean surface temperature of the order of about 1.5° C over the south India and 1°C over northwest and central India in the decade 2040-49 with respect to the 1980s and an increase in rainfall of the order of 2 mm per day over south India while the simulated decrease of the order about -1 mm and -1.5 mm over northwest and central India respectively. The IPCC Business-as-usual scenario projection of plant usable concentration of CO2 about 460 PPM by the middle fo the next century are also used in the crop model simulation (CERES - Rice V3 Model). Simulation studies carried out with the climate change scenarios over different parts of the country are analysed and interpreted.