The North Atlantic Oscillation as an indicator for greenhouse-gas induced regional climate change

1999 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. 953-960 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Paeth ◽  
A. Hense ◽  
R. Glowienka-Hense ◽  
S. Voss ◽  
U. Cubasch
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
Greenhouse Gas ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Change ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

scholarly journals The North Atlantic Oscillation and greenhouse-gas forcing

2005 ◽  
Vol 32 (4) ◽  
pp. n/a-n/a ◽  
Author(s):  
Svetlana I. Kuzmina ◽  
Lennart Bengtsson ◽  
Ola M. Johannessen ◽  
Helge Drange ◽  
Leonid P. Bobylev ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
Greenhouse Gas ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

A Reply to John L. Brooke’s “Malthus and the North Atlantic Oscillation”

2016 ◽  
Vol 46 (4) ◽  
pp. 579-584
Author(s):  
Kyle Harper
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Human Response ◽  
The North ◽  
Positive Mode ◽  
Big Picture ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

In this continuation of his exchange with Brooke about Brooke’s big-picture model of climate change and human response, Harper argues for careful articulation of what kind of Malthusianism Brooke claims, or does not claim, for or against his model. Harper also challenges Brooke’s description of the paleoclimate known as the Roman Climate Optimum as a period dominated by a persistently positive mode of the North Atlantic Oscillation.

scholarly journals A hazard model of sub-freezing temperatures in the United Kingdom using vine copulas

2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 489-506
Author(s):  
Symeon Koumoutsaris
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
United Kingdom ◽  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Cold Weather ◽  
The North ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Extreme Cold ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation

Abstract. Extreme cold weather events, such as the winter of 1962/63, the third coldest winter ever recorded in the Central England Temperature record, or more recently the winter of 2010/11, have significant consequences for the society and economy. This paper assesses the probability of such extreme cold weather across the United Kingdom (UK), as part of a probabilistic catastrophe model for insured losses caused by the bursting of pipes. A statistical model is developed in order to model the extremes of the Air Freezing Index (AFI), which is a common measure of the magnitude and duration of freezing temperatures. A novel approach in the modelling of the spatial dependence of the hazard has been followed which takes advantage of the vine copula methodology. The method allows complex dependencies to be modelled, especially between the tails of the AFI distributions, which is important to assess the extreme behaviour of such events. The influence of the North Atlantic Oscillation and of anthropogenic climate change on the frequency of UK cold winters has also been taken into account. According to the model, the occurrence of extreme cold events, such as the 1962/63 winter, has decreased approximately 2 times during the course of the 20th century as a result of anthropogenic climate change. Furthermore, the model predicts that such an event is expected to become more uncommon, about 2 times less frequent, by the year 2030. Extreme cold spells in the UK have been found to be heavily modulated by the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) as well. A cold event is estimated to be ≈3–4 times more likely to occur during its negative phase than its positive phase. However, considerable uncertainty exists in these results, owing mainly to the short record length and the large interannual variability of the AFI.

The North Atlantic Oscillation as a driver of rapid climate change in the Northern Hemisphere

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 509-512 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas L. Delworth ◽  
Fanrong Zeng ◽  
Gabriel A. Vecchi ◽  
Xiaosong Yang ◽  
Liping Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
North Atlantic Oscillation ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
The North ◽  
Rapid Climate Change ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The North Atlantic Oscillation
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