scholarly journals Dealing with hurricane surge flooding in a changing environment: part I. Risk assessment considering storm climatology change, sea level rise, and coastal development

2017 ◽  
Vol 31 (9) ◽  
pp. 2379-2400 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ning Lin ◽  
Eric Shullman
2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (6) ◽  
pp. 2014-2024 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qingrong Liu ◽  
Jian Li ◽  
Chengqing Ruan ◽  
Zhonghui Yin ◽  
Yan Jiao ◽  
...  

2011 ◽  
Vol 32 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-60 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kerstin Kolditz ◽  
Olaf Dellwig ◽  
Jan Barkowski ◽  
Thomas H. Badewien ◽  
Holger Freund ◽  
...  

2006 ◽  
Vol 40 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-70 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lisa R. Kleinosky ◽  
Brent Yarnal ◽  
Ann Fisher

2012 ◽  
Vol 118 (2) ◽  
pp. 487-500 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keqi Zhang ◽  
Yuepeng Li ◽  
Huiqing Liu ◽  
Hongzhou Xu ◽  
Jian Shen

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 449-466 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isavela N. Monioudi ◽  
Adonis F. Velegrakis ◽  
Antonis E. Chatzipavlis ◽  
Anastasios Rigos ◽  
Theophanis Karambas ◽  
...  

Abstract. The present contribution constitutes the first comprehensive attempt to (a) record the spatial characteristics of the beaches of the Aegean archipelago (Greece), a critical resource for both the local and national economy, and (b) provide a rapid assessment of the impacts of the long-term and episodic sea level rise (SLR) under different scenarios. Spatial information and other attributes (e.g., presence of coastal protection works and backshore development) of the beaches of the 58 largest islands of the archipelago were obtained on the basis of remote-sensed images available on the web. Ranges of SLR-induced beach retreats under different morphological, sedimentological and hydrodynamic forcing, and SLR scenarios were estimated using suitable ensembles of cross-shore (1-D) morphodynamic models. These ranges, combined with empirically derived estimations of wave run-up induced flooding, were then compared with the recorded maximum beach widths to provide ranges of retreat/erosion and flooding at the archipelago scale. The spatial information shows that the Aegean pocket beaches may be particularly vulnerable to mean sea level rise (MSLR) and episodic SLRs due to (i) their narrow widths (about 59 % of the beaches have maximum widths < 20 m), (ii) their limited terrestrial sediment supply, (iii) the substantial coastal development and (iv) the limited existing coastal protection. Modeling results indeed project severe impacts under mean and episodic SLRs, which by 2100 could be devastating. For example, under MSLR of 0.5 m – representative concentration pathway (RCP) 4.5 of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate change (IPCC) – a storm-induced sea level rise of 0.6 m is projected to result in a complete erosion of between 31 and 88 % of all beaches (29–87 % of beaches are currently fronting coastal infrastructure and assets), at least temporarily. Our results suggest a very considerable risk which will require significant effort, financial resources and policies/regulation in order to protect/maintain the critical economic resource of the Aegean archipelago.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hannah Melville-Rea ◽  
Clare Eayrs ◽  
Nasser Anwahi ◽  
John A. Burt ◽  
Denise Holland ◽  
...  

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has a long-term policy horizon, the financial capital, and a vision for a sustainable knowledge-based economy. These characteristics uniquely situate it as a potential leader for sea-level rise research. Climate science is already growing, and at the center of the UAE's pivot toward climate research is a burgeoning concern for sea-level rise. Over 85% of the UAE's population and more than 90% of the nation's infrastructure is within a few meters of present-day sea-level. With its low-lying and shallow-sloping geography (about 35 cm per km), this high-value coastline, including the rapidly expanding cities of Dubai and Abu Dhabi, is particularly vulnerable to sea-level rise. Meanwhile, limited regional research and data scarcity create deep uncertainty for sea-level projections. We set out a potential roadmap for the UAE to capitalize on its strengths to create usable and relevant sea-level projections for the region. With a newly established Climate Change Research Network, the UAE government is beginning to draw together universities and research centers for “furthering effective data collection and management, and advancing policy-relevant research on climate impacts and adaptation1.” By consolidating ideas from the science community within the UAE, we identify promoters and barriers to data gathering, information sharing, science-policy communication, and funding access. Our paper proposes pathways forward for the UAE to integrate sea-level science with coastal development and form best practices that can be scaled across climate science and throughout the region.


2017 ◽  
Vol 198 ◽  
pp. 597-609 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pietro Patrizio Ciro Aucelli ◽  
Gianluigi Di Paola ◽  
Pietro Incontri ◽  
Angela Rizzo ◽  
Giuseppe Vilardo ◽  
...  

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