Managing the supply disruption risk: option contract or order commitment contract?

2018 ◽  
Vol 291 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 985-1026
Author(s):  
Kelei Xue ◽  
Yongjian Li ◽  
Xueping Zhen ◽  
Wen Wang
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 3293 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kelei Xue ◽  
Ya Xu ◽  
Lipan Feng

Supply disruption is a common phenomenon in industry, which brings destructive effects to downstream firms and damages the sustainability of the supply chain. To mitigate the supply disruption risk, the authors investigate two types of procurement strategies for a firm with two ordering opportunities. Through establishing Stackelberg game models, the authors drive the supplier’s optimal production, and the firm’s optimal procurement and replenishment strategies under the option purchase (OP) strategy and the procurement commitment (PC) strategy, respectively. The findings show that, under both types of strategies, the firm’s procurement follows a “threshold” principle. Moreover, the firm’s procurement quantity can be represented by two newsvendor solutions. A lower option price or option exercise price benefits the firm, while it damages the supplier. The supplier benefits from a higher mean value (MV) of emergency procurement price and the firm benefits from a lower market demand variability. Counter-intuitively, a lower MV of the emergency procurement price is not always beneficial to the firm. A higher market demand variability could be beneficial to the supplier under the PC strategy. The firm should first choose the PC strategy and then change to the OP strategy as the disruption risk increases.


2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 247-262
Author(s):  
Eley Suzana Kasim ◽  
Dalila Daud ◽  
Jamaliah Said ◽  
Norlaila Md Zin ◽  
Elisa Kusrini

Author(s):  
Zhongyi Liu ◽  
Shengya Hua ◽  
Guanying Wang

We investigate vulnerable supply chain coordination with an option contract in the presence of supply chain disruption risk caused by external and internal disturbances. The supply chain consists of a single risk-neutral supplier and a risk-averse retailer. We characterize the retailer’s order quantity decision under the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) criterion and the supplier’s production decision. The results show that facing disruption risk and risk-aversion, both the retailer and the supplier would be more prudent to order and produce less than the risk-neutral scenario, inducing damage to the supply chain performance. The number of options purchased is decreasing in disruption risk and the risk-aversion of the retailer. The supplier will increase production as the disruption risk decreases or the shortage penalty increases. When the supplier does not know the risk-aversion of the retailer, the former will produce more and bear a higher overstock risk. We also investigate conditions that facilitate vulnerable supply chain coordination and find that the existence of risk-aversion and disruption risk restrict the option price and exercise price to lower price levels. Finally, we compare the option contract with wholesale price contract from the supplier’s and retailer’s perspectives through a numerical study.


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