supply disruption
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2021 ◽  
pp. bmjspcare-2021-003295
Author(s):  
Caradoc Morris

Diamorphine is a strong opioid licensed in the UK for many uses, including moderate and severe pain. In the early 2000s, its use in palliative medicine was widespread before a supply disruption led to preferential use of alternative, cheaper opioids. Though these supply issues were resolved, the use of diamorphine in palliative medicine has remained reduced, particularly with another UK supply disruption in 2021. Following anecdotal reports of good results from diamorphine use in younger patients, this piece discusses two cases of young patients with metastatic cancers suffering significant pain and psychological distress. Both patients were approaching end of life and required high doses of opioids, benzodiazepines and co-analgesics, all given to limited benefit. Both patients were rotated to diamorphine giving objective and subjective improvement in symptoms. These cases are presented in the context of newer information and description of the biochemical actions of diamorphine and its metabolites, which exert their own clinical effect before themselves generating active metabolites. Various trials on, and discussion about, diamorphine’s unique metabolism and subsequent central nervous system effects help argue for its use in situations where extreme pain and psychological distress overlap.


2021 ◽  

This publication provides updated economic growth forecasts for developing Asia. It downgrades forecasts by 0.1% to 7.0% for 2021 and 5.3% for 2022.The main risk to the outlook remains a resurgence in cases of coronavirus disease (COVID-19), especially given the emergence of a fast-spreading variant. Other risks include a protracted correction in the housing market that could induce an unexpectedly sharp slowdown in the PRC, rising inflation, and persistent global supply disruption.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Stevie Lochran

AbstractAs indigenous production declines, the European gas market is becoming increasingly dependent on imports. This poses energy security questions for a number of countries, particularly in the north-east of Europe. A suite of mathematical models of the European natural gas network has been borne from these concerns and has traditionally been used to assess supply disruption scenarios. The literature reveals that most existing European gas network models are insufficiently specified to analyse changes in supply and demand dynamics, appraise proposed infrastructure investments, and assess the impacts of supply disruption scenarios over a range of time horizons. Furthermore, those that are suited to these applications are typically proprietary and therefore publicly unavailable. This offers an opportunity to present a new model. The Gas Network Optimisation Model for Europe (GNOME) is a dynamic, highly granular mixed-integer linear optimisation model of the European natural gas network and its exogenous suppliers. GNOME represents demand and supply for all EU-27 Member States except Cyprus, Luxembourg, and Malta. The UK, Norway, Switzerland, Belarus, Ukraine, and Turkey are also included. Russia, the Southern Corridor suppliers, Qatar, North Africa, Nigeria, and the Americas are modelled as supply-only regions. GNOME satisfies gas demand in each country by generating a cost-minimal mix of indigenous gas production, pipeline flows, LNG imports, and storage use. If demand cannot be met using existing infrastructure, GNOME will generate a cost-optimal investment strategy of pipeline, LNG regasification, and gas storage capacity additions. The model solves on a monthly basis, from 2025 to 2040, in 5-year steps. The capabilities of GNOME are demonstrated by tasking it to analyse the impacts of a failure to complete the upcoming Nord Stream 2 pipeline between Russia and Germany. The complete formulation of GNOME including input files, equations, and source code is provided.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Yang Song ◽  
Yan-Qiu Liu ◽  
Qi Sun ◽  
Ming-Fei Chen ◽  
Hai-Tao Xu

Logistics distribution is the terminal link that connects the manufacturer and product user and determines the efficiency of the manufacturer’s service. Therefore, the disruption risk of the joint system is an essential factor affecting the product user experience. In this paper, while considering the product user’s supply disruption risk preference (PUSDRP), a biobjective integer nonlinear programming (INLP) model with subjective cost-utility is proposed to solve the manufacturer’s combined location routing inventory problem (CLRIP). According to the user’s time satisfaction requirement, a routing change selection framework (RCSF) is designed based on the bounded rational behavior of the user. Additionally, the Lagrange Relaxation and Modified Genetic Algorithm (LR-MGA) is proposed. The LR method relaxes the model, and the MGA finds a compromise solution. The experimental results show that the biobjective cost-utility model proposed in this paper is effective and efficient. The RCSF based on user behavior is superior to the traditional expected utility theory model. The compromise solution provides a better solution for the manufacturer order allocation delivery combinatorial optimization problem. The compromise solution not only reduces the manufacturer’s total operating cost but also improves the user's subjective utility. To improve the stability of cooperation between manufacturers and users, the behavior decision-making method urges manufacturers to consider product users’ supply disruption risk preferences (PUSDRPs) in attempting to optimize economic benefits for the long term. This paper uses behavior decision-making methods to expand the ideas of the CLRIP joint system.


2021 ◽  
Vol 41 (13) ◽  
pp. 152-177
Author(s):  
Harri Lorentz ◽  
Sini Laari ◽  
Joanne Meehan ◽  
Michael Eßig ◽  
Michael Henke

PurposeIn the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, this study investigates a variety of approaches to supply disruption risk management for achieving effective responses for resilience at the supply management subunit level (e.g. category of items). Drawing on the attention-based view of the firm, the authors model the attentional antecedents of supply resilience as (1) attentional perspectives and (2) attentional selection. Attentional perspectives focus on either supply risk sources or supply network recoverability, and both are hypothesised to have a direct positive association with supply resilience. Attentional selection is top down or bottom up when it comes to disruption detection, and these are hypothesised to moderate the association between disruption risk management perspectives and resilience.Design/methodology/approachConducted at the early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, this study employs a hierarchical regression analysis on a multicountry survey of 190 procurement professionals, each responding from the perspective of their own subunit area of supply responsibility.FindingsBoth attentional disruption risk management perspectives are needed to achieve supply resilience, and neither is superior in terms of achieving supply resilience. Both the efficiency of the top down and exposure to the unexpected with the bottom up are needed – to a balanced degree – for improved supply resilience.Practical implicationsThe results encourage firms to purposefully develop their supply risk management practices, first, to include both perspectives and, second, to avoid biases in attentional selection for disruption detection. Ensuring a more balanced approach may allow firms to improve their supply resilience.Originality/valueThe results contribute to the understanding of the microfoundations that underpin firms' operational capabilities for supply risk and disruption management and possible attentional biases.


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Fakruhayat Ab Rashid ◽  
◽  
Azimah Abd Rahman ◽  
Siti Masayu Rosliah Abdul Rashid ◽  
◽  
...  

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