Feature selection and hyper parameters optimization for short-term wind power forecast

Author(s):  
Hui Huang ◽  
Rong Jia ◽  
Xiaoyu Shi ◽  
Jun Liang ◽  
Jian Dang
Energy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 189 ◽  
pp. 116300 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Han ◽  
Huitian Jing ◽  
Rongchang Zhang ◽  
Zhiyu Gao

2014 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 511-520 ◽  
Author(s):  
Le Xie ◽  
Yingzhong Gu ◽  
Xinxin Zhu ◽  
Marc G. Genton

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 033304 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mao Yang ◽  
Luobin Zhang ◽  
Yang Cui ◽  
Qiongqiong Yang ◽  
Binyang Huang

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kaikai Pan ◽  
Zheng Qian ◽  
Niya Chen

Probabilistic short-term wind power forecasting is greatly significant for the operation of wind power scheduling and the reliability of power system. In this paper, an approach based on Sparse Bayesian Learning (SBL) and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) for probabilistic wind power forecasting in the horizon of 1–24 hours was investigated. In the modeling process, first, the wind speed data from NWP results was corrected, and then the SBL was used to build a relationship between the combined data and the power generation to produce probabilistic power forecasts. Furthermore, in each model, the application of SBL was improved by using modified-Gaussian kernel function and parameters optimization through Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). To validate the proposed approach, two real-world datasets were used for construction and testing. For deterministic evaluation, the simulation results showed that the proposed model achieves a greater improvement in forecasting accuracy compared with other wind power forecast models. For probabilistic evaluation, the results of indicators also demonstrate that the proposed model has an outstanding performance.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document