scholarly journals Forest fire risk estimation in a typical temperate forest in Northeastern China using the Canadian forest fire weather index: case study in autumn 2019 and 2020

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maombi Mbusa Masinda ◽  
Fei Li ◽  
Liu Qi ◽  
Long Sun ◽  
Tongxin Hu
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Burcu Calda ◽  
Kamil Collu ◽  
Aytac Pacal ◽  
Mehmet Levent Kurnaz

<p>Forest fires are naturals in the Mediterranean ecosystems. However, in the last decade, the number of wildfires has significantly increased in the Mediterranean basin along with climate change. Therefore, forecasts of this region by using fire indices are crucial to take necessary precautions. In the present study, the projected changes for the period 2070 - 2099 concerning the control period 1971 - 2000 were used to estimate forest fire risk by the Canadian Fire Weather Index (FWI). RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emission scenarios (IPCC) outputs of MPI-ESM-MR and HadGEM2-ES dynamically downscaled to 50 km for the CORDEX-MENA domain with the use of the RegCM4 were utilized. ERA-Interim observational data from ECMWF covering the period 1980-2012 were also used to test the performances of models. The output of MPI-ESM-MR gave more similar fire risk prediction with the reforecast of observational data (ERA-Interim). Thus, the MPI-ESM-MR model could be more suitable to estimate fire risk by FWI. According to future projection, forest fire risk will significantly increase throughout the region for the last 30 years of this century.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (6 Part A) ◽  
pp. 3307-3316 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tatjana Ratknic ◽  
Mihailo Ratknic ◽  
Nikola Rakonjac ◽  
Ivana Zivanovic ◽  
Zoran Poduska

The paper presents the results on the study of the possible application of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index and the Modified Angstrom Index in forest fire risk assessments. The daily values of these indices for the period 2005-2015 were related to the forest fire database. It was found that there is a relatively weak to moderate correlation between forest fires and the values of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index. In order to improve the wildfire risk assessments (including forest fires), the index was modified. The modified index has a significantly greater correlation with the actual events of forest fires and consequently a much wider application in southern Serbia. The modified index can be of great importance in the future concepts of forest fire risk management.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (22) ◽  
pp. 3705
Author(s):  
Ana Novo ◽  
Noelia Fariñas-Álvarez ◽  
Joaquín Martínez-Sánchez ◽  
Higinio González-Jorge ◽  
José María Fernández-Alonso ◽  
...  

The optimization of forest management in roadsides is a necessary task in terms of wildfire prevention in order to mitigate their effects. Forest fire risk assessment identifies high-risk locations, while providing a decision-making support about vegetation management for firefighting. In this study, nine relevant parameters: elevation, slope, aspect, road distance, settlement distance, fuel model types, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), fire weather index (FWI), and historical fire regimes, were considered as indicators of the likelihood of a forest fire occurrence. The parameters were grouped in five categories: topography, vegetation, FWI, historical fire regimes, and anthropogenic issues. This paper presents a novel approach to forest fire risk mapping the classification of vegetation in fuel model types based on the analysis of light detection and ranging (LiDAR) was incorporated. The criteria weights that lead to fire risk were computed by the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and applied to two datasets located in NW Spain. Results show that approximately 50% of the study area A and 65% of the study area B are characterized as a 3-moderate fire risk zone. The methodology presented in this study will allow road managers to determine appropriate vegetation measures with regards to fire risk. The automation of this methodology is transferable to other regions for forest prevention planning and fire mitigation.


2004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Gabban ◽  
Giorgio Liberta ◽  
Jesus San-Miguel-Ayanz ◽  
Paulo Barbosa

2016 ◽  
Vol 173 ◽  
pp. 65-71 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernando Coelho Eugenio ◽  
Alexandre Rosa dos Santos ◽  
Nilton Cesar Fiedler ◽  
Guido Assunção Ribeiro ◽  
Aderbal Gomes da Silva ◽  
...  

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