Performance Assessment of Model Averaging Techniques to Reduce Structural Uncertainty of Groundwater Modeling

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmad Jafarzadeh ◽  
Abbas Khashei-Siuki ◽  
Mohsen Pourreza-Bilondi
Keyword(s):  
Performance Assessment ◽  
Groundwater Modeling ◽  
Model Averaging ◽  
Structural Uncertainty ◽  
Averaging Techniques

Model Averaging Techniques for Quantifying Conceptual Model Uncertainty

Ground Water ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 48 (5) ◽  
pp. 701-715 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abhishek Singh ◽  
Srikanta Mishra ◽  
Greg Ruskauff
Keyword(s):  
Conceptual Model ◽  
Model Uncertainty ◽  
Model Averaging ◽  
Averaging Techniques

scholarly journals A comparison of two model averaging techniques with an application to growth empirics

2010 ◽  
Vol 154 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-153 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan R. Magnus ◽  
Owen Powell ◽  
Patricia Prüfer
Keyword(s):  
Model Averaging ◽  
Growth Empirics ◽  
Averaging Techniques

scholarly journals The sustainability of Serbia's external position: The impact of fiscal adjustment and external shocks

2015 ◽  
Vol 60 (204) ◽  
pp. 31-60
Author(s):  
Emir Zildzovic
Keyword(s):  
Fiscal Policy ◽  
Current Account ◽  
Current Account Deficit ◽  
Model Averaging ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
External Shocks ◽  
Fiscal Adjustment ◽  
External Position ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Averaging Techniques

This paper studies the impact of fiscal policy and external shocks on the sustainability of Serbia?s external position. The key determinants of Serbia's current account balance are identified using model averaging techniques and are compared with estimates obtained for other small open economies (Poland, Georgia, Morocco, Ukraine, and Estonia). The paper uses estimated influences of macrovariables on the current account balance to generate a rich set of possible outcomes for the external position of the country. The results suggest the importance of fiscal policy for the reduction of external imbalances in all countries in our sample. In particular, credible and sustained fiscal adjustment can reduce current account deficit and stabilize Serbia?s external position close to its current level over the medium term. The analysis also warns that lack of success in fiscal consolidation coupled with external shocks may easily push the external position onto an unsustainable path.

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