Calibrating Natural History of Cancer Models in the Presence of Data Incompatibility: Problems and Solutions

2022 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olena Mandrik ◽  
Chloe Thomas ◽  
Sophie Whyte ◽  
James Chilcott
JAMA Oncology ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (5) ◽  
pp. 744 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Ferrara ◽  
Caroline Caramella ◽  
Benjamin Besse

BMJ ◽  
1959 ◽  
Vol 1 (5121) ◽  
pp. 563-564

2019 ◽  
Vol 37 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e23150-e23150
Author(s):  
Nikolaos Tsoukalas ◽  
Alexandros Bokas ◽  
Evangelos Bournakis ◽  
Athina Christopoulou ◽  
Christos Papandreou ◽  
...  

e23150 Background: Cancer is associated with thrombosis due to different pathophysiological processes. CAT is the 2nd cause of death in oncology patients and can occur anytime during the natural history of cancer. CAT is not rare complication, can delay anti-cancer therapy and increase health systems costs. Methods: A prospective observational study (Greek Management of Thrombosis-GMaT) conducted by HeSMO in Greek Oncology units for two years aiming to record clinical practice of CAT management. Patients with active cancer who received CAT treatment or thromboprophylaxis were enrolled after signing informed consent. Results: 546 patients were enrolled from 18 oncology units. Primary cancers were: lung 23.9%, pancreas 13.3%, breast 7.6%, colorectal 8.9%, stomach 8.3%, ovarian 7.6% and other 30.5%. 120 patients received LMWH for Venus Thombo-Embolism (VTE) treatment (Group A) and 426 for thromboprophylaxis (Group B). Group A: 89/120 (74.17%) patients continued in 2nd year and 58.6% received CAT treatment (6.9±4.4 months). Only 2 had VTE recurrence in 2nd year (versus 3 in 1st year). 4/120 (3.33%) had bleeding events (grade 1) in 1st year while no bleeding events occurred in 2nd year. Group B: 345/426 (80.98%) patients continued in 2nd year. 126 (30%) had Khorana score ≥3 and 300 (70%) had Khorana score ≤2. In 2nd year, 123 (35.65%) received thromboprophylaxis (7.3±3.7 months) while 79.4% of them were initially treated with High Thrombotic Treatment Agents (HTTA: e.g. platinum, 5-FU) and 83.1% had metastatic disease. In 2nd year, 52.5% received LMWHs at prophylactic dose and 47.5% at therapeutic dose. Overall, 12 (2.82%) had thrombotic events whereas 4 were recorded in 2nd year. Notably, patients treated with therapeutic doses had lower probability to have a thrombotic event (OR: 5.8, 95% CI: 1.7 to 20.5, p < .05). Six (1.41%) bleeding events (grade 1) occurred in 1st year and one (0.81%) in 2nd year. Conclusions: LMWHs can be used for long term CAT management. Therapeutic LMWHs doses as thromboprophylaxis are safe and effective. Khorana score is a useful model for CAT risk assessment but some other factors such as disease stage and HTTA might be taken into account. CAT can occur anytime during the natural history of cancer. Oncologists should be aware about CAT and its negative influences in patients’ prognosis and quality of life.


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