scholarly journals Parameter estimation of a physically-based land surface hydrologic model using an ensemble Kalman filter: A multivariate real-data experiment

2015 ◽  
Vol 83 ◽  
pp. 421-427 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuning Shi ◽  
Kenneth J. Davis ◽  
Fuqing Zhang ◽  
Christopher J. Duffy ◽  
Xuan Yu
2011 ◽  
Vol 15 (8) ◽  
pp. 2437-2457 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Nie ◽  
J. Zhu ◽  
Y. Luo

Abstract. The performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) in soil moisture assimilation applications is investigated in the context of simultaneous state-parameter estimation in the presence of uncertainties from model parameters, soil moisture initial condition and atmospheric forcing. A physically based land surface model is used for this purpose. Using a series of identical twin experiments in two kinds of initial parameter distribution (IPD) scenarios, the narrow IPD (NIPD) scenario and the wide IPD (WIPD) scenario, model-generated near surface soil moisture observations are assimilated to estimate soil moisture state and three hydraulic parameters (the saturated hydraulic conductivity, the saturated soil moisture suction and a soil texture empirical parameter) in the model. The estimation of single imperfect parameter is successful with the ensemble mean value of all three estimated parameters converging to their true values respectively in both NIPD and WIPD scenarios. Increasing the number of imperfect parameters leads to a decline in the estimation performance. A wide initial distribution of estimated parameters can produce improved simultaneous multi-parameter estimation performances compared to that of the NIPD scenario. However, when the number of estimated parameters increased to three, not all parameters were estimated successfully for both NIPD and WIPD scenarios. By introducing constraints between estimated hydraulic parameters, the performance of the constrained three-parameter estimation was successful, even if temporally sparse observations were available for assimilation. The constrained estimation method can reduce RMSE much more in soil moisture forecasting compared to the non-constrained estimation method and traditional non-parameter-estimation assimilation method. The benefit of this method in estimating all imperfect parameters simultaneously can be fully demonstrated when the corresponding non-constrained estimation method displays a relatively poor parameter estimation performance. Because all these constraints between parameters were obtained in a statistical sense, this constrained state-parameter estimation scheme is likely suitable for other land surface models even with more imperfect parameters estimated in soil moisture assimilation applications.


2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (1) ◽  
pp. 373-386 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonathan R. Stroud ◽  
Matthias Katzfuss ◽  
Christopher K. Wikle

AbstractThis paper proposes new methodology for sequential state and parameter estimation within the ensemble Kalman filter. The method is fully Bayesian and propagates the joint posterior distribution of states and parameters over time. To implement the method, the authors consider three representations of the marginal posterior distribution of the parameters: a grid-based approach, a Gaussian approximation, and a sequential importance sampling (SIR) approach with kernel resampling. In contrast to existing online parameter estimation algorithms, the new method explicitly accounts for parameter uncertainty and provides a formal way to combine information about the parameters from data at different time periods. The method is illustrated and compared to existing approaches using simulated and real data.


2011 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1433-1468
Author(s):  
S. Nie ◽  
J. Zhu ◽  
Y. Luo

Abstract. The performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) in soil moisture assimilation applications is investigated in the context of simultaneous state-parameter estimation in the presence of uncertainties from model parameters, initial soil moisture condition and atmospheric forcing. A physically-based land surface model is used for this purpose. Using a series of idealized twin experiments, model generated near-surface soil moisture observations are assimilated to estimate soil moisture state and three hydraulic parameters (the saturated hydraulic conductivity, the saturated soil moisture suction and a soil texture empirical parameter) in the model. The single imperfect parameter can be successfully estimated using the EnKF. Results show that all the three estimated parameters converge toward their respective true values, while the root mean squared errors (RMSE) of soil moisture associated with these parameters is on average reduced by 54% and 53% comparing with the non-parameter-estimation benchmark RMSE for near-surface layer and root zone layer, respectively. The performance of simultaneous multi-parameter estimation is significant degraded, mainly because the inherent balance relationship of these parameters is broken and the degree of freedom increases in assimilation processes. By introducing constraints between estimated parameters, the performance of the constraint-based simultaneous multi-parameter estimations are as good as that of single-parameter cases even assimilating temporal-sparse observations. In terms of the relative root mean squared error (RRE), the constraint-based estimation cases can achieve 36% to 53% in near-surface layer and 25% to 50% in root zone layer for different assimilation intervals ranging from 1-day to 40-days. This result suggests that the greatest advantage of this method can be displayed with a proper temporal-sparse assimilation interval of 10-days as actual measurement interval of conventional in situ soil moisture observations. As these obtained constraints are mostly in statistical sense, this constraint-based simultaneous state-parameter estimation scheme is supposed to be suitable for other land surface models in soil moisture assimilation applications.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 753 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guodong Zhang ◽  
Hongmin Zhou ◽  
Changjing Wang ◽  
Huazhu Xue ◽  
Jindi Wang ◽  
...  

Continuous, long-term sequence, land surface albedo data have crucial significance for climate simulations and land surface process research. Sensors such as the Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer (VIIRS) provide global albedo product data sets with a spatial resolution of 500 m over long time periods. There is demand for new high-resolution albedo data for regional applications. High-resolution observations are often unavailable due to cloud contamination, which makes it difficult to obtain time series albedo estimations. This paper proposes an “amalgamation albedo“ approach to generate daily land surface shortwave albedo with 30 m spatial resolution using Landsat data and the MODIS Bidirectional Reflectance Distribution Functions (BRDF)/Albedo product MCD43A3 (V006). Historical MODIS land surface albedo products were averaged to obtain an albedo estimation background, which was used to construct the albedo dynamic model . The Thematic Mapper (TM) albedo derived via direct estimation approach was then introduced to generate high spatial-temporal resolution albedo data based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter algorithm (EnKF). Estimation results were compared to field observations for cropland, deciduous broadleaf forest, evergreen needleleaf forest, grassland, and evergreen broadleaf forest domains. The results indicated that for all land cover types, the estimated albedos coincided with ground measurements at a root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.0085–0.0152. The proposed algorithm was then applied to regional time series albedo estimation; the results indicated that it captured spatial and temporal variation patterns for each site. Taken together, our results suggest that the amalgamation albedo approach is a feasible solution to generate albedo data sets with high spatio-temporal resolution.


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