Measuring Patient Tolerance for Future Adverse Events in Low-Risk Emergency Department Chest Pain Patients

Background We aimed to externally validate an emergency department triage algorithm including five hierarchical clinical variables developed to identify chest pain patients at low risk of having an acute coronary syndrome justifying delayed rather than immediate evaluation. Methods In a single-centre cohort enrolling 29,269 consecutive patients presenting with chest pain, the performance of the algorithm was compared against the emergency department discharge diagnosis. In an international multicentre study enrolling 4069 patients, central adjudication by two independent cardiologists using all data derived from cardiac work-up including follow-up served as the reference. Triage towards ‘low-risk’ required absence of all five clinical ‘high-risk’ variables: history of coronary artery disease, diabetes, pressure-like chest pain, retrosternal chest pain and age above 40 years. Safety (sensitivity and negative predictive value (NPV)) and efficacy (percentage of patients classified as low risk) was tested in this initial proposal (Model A) and in two additional models: omitting age criteria (Model B) and allowing up to one (any) of the five high-risk variables (Model C). Results The prevalence of acute coronary syndrome was 9.4% in the single-centre and 28.4% in the multicentre study. The triage algorithm had very high sensitivity/NPV in both cohorts (99.4%/99.1% and 99.9%/99.1%, respectively), but very low efficacy (6.2% and 2.7%, respectively). Model B resulted in sensitivity/NPV of 97.5%/98.3% and 96.1%/89.4%, while efficacy increased to 14.2% and 10.4%, respectively. Model C resulted in sensitivity/NPV of 96.7%/98.6% and 95.2%/91.3%, with a further increase in efficacy to 23.1% and 15.5%, respectively. Conclusion A triage algorithm for the identification of low-risk chest pain patients exclusively based on simple clinical variables provided reasonable performance characteristics possibly justifying delayed rather than immediate evaluation in the emergency department.

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LO97: Validation of the HEART score in Canadian emergency department chest pain patients using a high-sensitivity troponin T assay

CJEM ◽

10.1017/cem.2017.159 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 19 (S1) ◽

pp. S61-S62 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

J. Andruchow ◽

A. McRae ◽

T. Abedin ◽

D. Wang ◽

G. Innes ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Emergency Department ◽

Chest Pain ◽

Troponin T ◽

High Sensitivity ◽

Low Risk ◽

Moderate Risk ◽

Heart Score ◽

High Sensitivity Troponin ◽

High Sensitivity Troponin T ◽

Pain Patients

Introduction: The HEART score is a validated tool created to risk stratify emergency department (ED) chest pain patients using 5 simple criteria (History, ECG findings, Age, Risk factors, and Troponin). Several studies have demonstrated the superiority of HEART over other well known risk stratification tools in identifying low risk chest pain patients suitable for early discharge. All but one of these studies used conventional troponin assays, and most were conducted in European populations. This study aims to validate the HEART score using a high-sensitivity troponin T assay in a Canadian population. Methods: This prospective cohort study was conducted at a single urban tertiary centre and regional percutaneous coronary intervention site in Calgary, Alberta. Patients were eligible for enrolment if they presented to the ED with chest pain, were age 25-years or older and required biomarker testing to rule out AMI at the discretion of the attending emergency physician. Patients were excluded if they had clear acute ischemic ECG changes, new arrhythmia or renal failure requiring hemodialysis. Clinical data were recorded by the emergency physician at the time of enrolment and outcomes were obtained from administrative data. High-sensitivity troponin-T (Roche Elecsys hs-cTnT) results were obtained in all patients at presentation. The primary outcome was AMI within 30-days of ED visit, the secondary outcome was 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE). Results: A total of 984 ED patients with complete HEART scores were enrolled from August 2014 to September 2016. The 30-day incidence of AMI and MACE in the overall population was 3.3% and 20.6%, respectively. HEART scores were predictive of 30-day AMI incidence: low risk (0-3): 0.77% (95%CI 0.0-1.5%), moderate risk (4-6): 4.3% (95%CI 2.3-6.2%) and high risk (7-10): 12.2% (95%CI 5.5-19.0%). HEART scores also predicted 30-day MACE: low risk (0-3): 5.0% (95%CI 3.1-6.9%), moderate risk (4-6): 31.8% (95%CI 27.2-36.4%) and high-risk (7-10): 61.4% (95%CI 51.2-71.5%). More than half of patients, 522 (53.0%) could be identified as low risk based on the HEART score using a single troponin result. Conclusion: Using a single high-sensitivity troponin result collected at ED presentation, the HEART score can rapidly and effectively identify more than half of ED chest pain patients as low risk for 30-day AMI, but is less sensitive for 30-day MACE.

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