Multiscale stochastic prediction of electricity demand in smart grids using Bayesian networks

2017 ◽  
Vol 193 ◽  
pp. 369-380 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nastaran Bassamzadeh ◽  
Roger Ghanem
Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 2357
Author(s):  
Rick Cox ◽  
Shalika Walker ◽  
Joep van der Velden ◽  
Phuong Nguyen ◽  
Wim Zeiler

The built environment has the potential to contribute to maintaining a reliable grid at the demand side by offering flexibility services to a future Smart Grid. In this study, an office building is used to demonstrate forecast-driven building energy flexibility by operating a Battery Electric Storage System (BESS). The objective of this study is, therefore, to stabilize/flatten a building energy demand profile with the operation of a BESS. First, electricity demand forecasting models are developed and assessed for each individual load group of the building based on their characteristics. For each load group, the prediction models show Coefficient of Variation of the Root Mean Square Error (CVRMSE) values below 30%, which indicates that the prediction models are suitable for use in engineering applications. An operational strategy is developed aiming at meeting the flattened electricity load shape objective. Both the simulation and experimental results show that the flattened load shape objective can be met more than 95% of the time for the evaluation period without compromising the thermal comfort of users. Accurate energy demand forecasting is shown to be pivotal for meeting load shape objectives.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 5089 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esmaeil Ahmadi ◽  
Younes Noorollahi ◽  
Behnam Mohammadi-Ivatloo ◽  
Amjad Anvari-Moghaddam

This study develops a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model for the optimal and stochastic operation scheduling of smart buildings. The aim of this study is to match the electricity demand with the intermittent solar-based renewable resources profile and to minimize the energy cost. The main contribution of the proposed model addresses uncertainties of the thermal load in smart buildings by considering detailed types of loads such as hot water, heating, and ventilation loads. In smart grids, buildings are no longer passive consumers. They are controllable loads, which can be used for demand-side energy management. Smart homes, as a domain of Internet of Things (IoT), enable energy systems of the buildings to operate as an active load in smart grids. The proposed formulation is cast as a stochastic MILP model for a 24-h horizon in order to minimize the total energy cost. In this study, Monte Carlo simulation technique is used to generate 1000 random scenarios for two environmental factors: the outdoor temperature, and solar radiation. Therefore in the proposed model, the thermal load, the output power of the photovoltaic panel, solar collector power generation, and electricity load become stochastic parameters. The proposed model results in an energy cost-saving of 20%, and a decrease of the peak electricity demand from 7.6 KWh to 4.2 KWh.


Author(s):  
Clifford Neuman ◽  
Laith Shalalfeh ◽  
Mahmood S. Saadeh ◽  
Yatin Wadhawan ◽  
Anas AlMajali

Author(s):  
Anas AlMajali ◽  
Yatin Wadhawan ◽  
Mahmood S. Saadeh ◽  
Laith Shalalfeh ◽  
Clifford Neuman

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 350
Author(s):  
Pierluigi Siano ◽  
Miadreza Shafie-khah

Due to the rapid growth of technologies and communication systems, electricity demand must be supplied and have the highest quality and reliability [...]


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