Big multi-step wind speed forecasting model based on secondary decomposition, ensemble method and error correction algorithm

2018 ◽  
Vol 156 ◽  
pp. 525-541 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Liu ◽  
Zhu Duan ◽  
Feng-ze Han ◽  
Yan-fei Li
Author(s):  
Zhao Zhen ◽  
Gang Qiu ◽  
Shengwei Mei ◽  
Fei Wang ◽  
Xuemin Zhang ◽  
...  

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 4601 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuewei Liu ◽  
Shenghui Zhang ◽  
Xuejun Chen ◽  
Jianzhou Wang

The use of wind power is rapidly increasing as an important part of power systems, but because of the intermittent and random nature of wind speed, system operators and researchers urgently need to find more reliable methods to forecast wind speed. Through research, it is found that the time series of wind speed demonstrate not only linear features but also nonlinear features. Hence, a combined forecasting model based on an improved cuckoo search algorithm optimizes weight, and several single models—linear model, hybrid nonlinear neural network, and fuzzy forecasting model—are developed in this paper to provide more trend change for time series of wind speed forecasting besides improving the forecasting accuracy. Furthermore, the effectiveness of the proposed model is proved by wind speed data from four wind farm sites and the results are more reliable and accurate than comparison models.


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