Multidimensional risk spillovers among crude oil, the US and Chinese stock markets: Evidence during the COVID-19 epidemic

Energy ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 120949
Author(s):  
Pengfei Zhu ◽  
Yong Tang ◽  
Yu Wei ◽  
Tuantuan Lu
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 52
Author(s):  
Caner Özdurak ◽  
Veysel Ulusoy

The 2008 global financial crisis provides us with a wide range of study fields on cross-asset contagion mechanisms in the US financial markets. After a decade of the so-called subprime crisis, the impact of market news on asset volatilities increased significantly. Consequently, return and volatility spillovers became the most extensive channel for spreading out the news generated in one market to the other ones, which made the financial markets inherit international risk factors as their own local risks. Moreover, as a result of the Chinese economy becoming the main driver of the global economy in the last decade, Chinese markets became more interconnected with developed markets which were followed by a “digital cold war” era via Twitter. In this study, we investigate the relationship between the US stock market, Chinese stock markets, rare earth markets and industrial metals, and mining products via three different models by utilizing VAR–VECH–TARCH models. According to our findings, bilateral spillover exists between US and Chinese stock markets. Cross-market spillovers show that there is a risk transmission channel between the industrial metals, rare earth, and Chinese and US stock markets due to China’s strengthening position in the global economy.


2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 435-454 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Brooks ◽  
Amalia Di Iorio ◽  
Robert Faff ◽  
Yuenan Wang

Significance US President Donald Trump’s decision last month to intensify the US-China conflict by raising the tariff rate and targeting Chinese tech firms is straining stock markets and making government bonds more attractive. Marking a dangerous new phase, sentiment towards the tech sector is deteriorating, after powering the stock market 'bull run' for a decade. Impacts Uncertainty over both US policy and geopolitics globally will continue to make the dollar more attractive, outweighing Fed dovishness. Emerging markets enjoyed a surge in inflows from January-April 2019, but suffered sharp outflows in May, and investors will remain cautious. The VIX Index, Wall Street’s so-called ‘fear gauge’, has surged by around 50% since May 3, and is likely to remain elevated. Rising US output means that the Brent crude oil price is likely to stabilise rather than rebound, having fallen by about 20% since April.


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