Estimation of annual, time-varying natural mortality and survival for Eastern Bering Sea snow crab (Chionoecetes opilio) with state-space population models

2018 ◽  
Vol 205 ◽  
pp. 122-131 ◽  
Author(s):  
James T. Murphy ◽  
Louis J. Rugolo ◽  
Benjamin J. Turnock
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yasutoki Shibata ◽  
Jiro Nagao ◽  
Yoji Narimatsu ◽  
Eisuke Morikawa ◽  
Yuto Suzuki ◽  
...  

AbstractYield from fisheries is a tangible benefit of ecosystem services and sustaining or restoring a fish stock level to achieve a maximum sustainable yield (MSY). Snow crab (Chionoecetes opilio) off Tohoku has been managed by a total allowable catch since 1996, although their abundance has not increased even after 2011, when fishing pressure rapidly decreased because of the Great East Japan Earthquake. This implies that their biological characteristics, such as recruits, natural mortality coefficient (M), and terminal molting probabilities (p), might have changed. We developed “just another state-space stock assessment model (JASAM)” to estimate the MSY of the snow crab off Tohoku, Japan, considering interannual variations in M and p. The multi-model inference revealed that M increased from 0.2 in 1997 to 0.59 in 2018, although it was not different among the instars, sex, nor terminal molt of crabs. The parameter p also increased by 1.34–2.46 times depending on the instar growth stages from 1997 to 2018. We estimated the MSYs in three scenarios, which drastically changed if M and p were set as they were in the past or at the current values estimated from this study. This result indicated that the MSY of snow crab would also be time-varying based on their time-varying biological characteristics.


2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (12) ◽  
pp. 1699-1708 ◽  
Author(s):  
David A. Somerton ◽  
Kenneth L. Weinberg ◽  
Scott E. Goodman

Catchability of the eastern Bering Sea (EBS) bottom trawl survey for snow crab (Chionoecetes opilio) was estimated from experimental data to provide a constraint on the survey catchability parameters in the stock assessment model. The experiment utilized a second fishing vessel to conduct side-by-side trawling with each of two survey vessels at 92 stations using an experimental trawl assumed to capture all crabs in its path. Trawl efficiency, or the captured proportion of crabs in the trawl path, was estimated for the 83-112 Eastern otter trawl from experimental data using a nonparametric smooth function of carapace width, sediment size, and depth. Survey catchability was then estimated as the catch-weighted average of the predicted trawl efficiency at all 275 survey stations where snow crabs were captured. The fitted model indicated that trawl selectivity was greater in sand than mud and greater in shallow water than deep. At a carapace widths >95 mm, the minimum commercial size limit, the estimated survey catchability of males is considerably less than previously reported.


2012 ◽  
Vol 69 (3) ◽  
pp. 532-550 ◽  
Author(s):  
Billy Ernst ◽  
David A. Armstrong ◽  
Julián Burgos ◽  
J.M. (Lobo) Orensanz

Snow crab ( Chionoecetes opilio ) populations have fluctuated cyclically in eastern Canada and the eastern Bering Sea, where recruitment to the mature female pool has occurred over a period of three decades (1978–2007) in pulses with a mean period of 7 years. It has been hypothesized that this was the result of a parent–offspring relation between sequentially linked strong cohorts of mature primiparous females, which requires that periodicity matches the time lapsed between egg extrusion by the maternal broodstock and the offspring reaching maturity. We show that female age at maturity (post-settlement) varies between 4.5 and 7.5 years, with most females maturing at 5.5–6.5 years (7–8 years after egg extrusion). Pulses of female recruitment to the mature population do not show a latitudinal trend, consistent with uniformity in age-at-maturity. Results of tracking crab abundance and size–frequency distributions in cod stomach and trawl samples between successive pulses of the cycle are consistent with the hypothesis of serial linkage among pulses. Periodicity is reflected in trends of clutch fullness and average shell condition and in the negative correlation between the strength of primiparous female cohorts and the mean size of their members.


2016 ◽  
Vol 73 (12) ◽  
pp. 1800-1814 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joel B. Webb ◽  
Laura M. Slater ◽  
Ginny L. Eckert ◽  
Gordon H. Kruse

Development of refined indices of female reproductive potential is needed for estimation of alternative biological reference points for the eastern Bering Sea (EBS) snow crab (Chionoecetes opilio) fishery, which is managed with large male-only harvest regulations. Females were collected from 2007 to 2009 to investigate seasonal and interannual variation in fecundity with maternal size, shell condition (a proxy for age after maturity), and recent mating and again in 2010 to examine biochemical measures (carbon, hydrogen, and nitrogen) of embryo quality. Mean model-adjusted fecundity was highest for primiparous and young multiparous females and declined with advancing shell condition, presumably from senescence. This pattern was also found for clutch fullness indices evaluated from 20 years of stock assessment survey data. Indicators of low female sperm reserves were associated with decreased (∼10%) fecundity for multiparous females. Seasonal comparison of size–fecundity relationships suggested that embryo loss during brooding was minimal, and embryo quality analyses suggested that strong variation with maternal characteristics was unlikely. Finally, fecundity-at-size of EBS females may be lower than that of conspecifics in Japan and eastern Canada.


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