scholarly journals Economic forecasting in times of COVID-19

Author(s):  
Laurent Ferrara ◽  
Xuguang Simon Sheng
Keyword(s):  
2005 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Carnot ◽  
Vincent Koen ◽  
Bruno Tissot
Keyword(s):  

2013 ◽  
pp. 143-155
Author(s):  
A. Klepach ◽  
G. Kuranov

The role of the prominent Soviet economist, academician A. Anchishkin (1933—1987), whose 80th birth anniversary we celebrate this year, in the development of ideas and formation of economic forecasting in the country at the time when the directive planning acted as a leading tool of economic management is explored in the article. Besides, Anchishkin’s special role is noted in developing a comprehensive program of scientific and technical progress, an information basis for working out long-term forecasts of the country’s development, moreover, his contribution to the creation of long-term forecasting methodology and improvement of the statistical basis for economic analysis and economic planning. The authors show that social and economic forecasting in the period after 1991, which has undertaken a number of functions of economic planning, has largely relied on further development of Anchishkin’s ideas, at the same time responding to new challenges for the Russian economy development during its entry into the world economic system.


2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (Special Issue 1) ◽  
pp. 991-999
Author(s):  
Jumaniyoz Ramatov ◽  
Sharofat Rakhmanova ◽  
Nasiba Sh. Yunusova

Author(s):  
Werner Reichmann

How do economic forecasters produce legitimate and credible predictions of the economic future, despite most of the economy being transmutable and indeterminate? Using data from a case study of economic forecasting institutes in Germany, this chapter argues that the production of credible economic futures depends on an epistemic process embedded in various forms of interaction. This interactional foundation—through ‘foretalk’ and ‘epistemic participation’ in networks of internal and external interlocutors—sharpens economic forecasts in three ways. First, it brings to light new imaginaries of the economic future, allowing forecasters to spot emerging developments they would otherwise have missed. Second, it ensures the forecasts’ social legitimacy. And finally, it increases the forecasts’ epistemic quality by providing decentralized information about the intentions and assumptions of key economic and political actors.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 263178772110057
Author(s):  
Jens Beckert

What do organizations do, and why? An important but only selectively scrutinized aspect of the doings of organizations consists in their creation of imaginaries of economic futures. Under conditions of uncertainty, it is through ‘imagined futures’ that organizations motivate and find the rationale for their decisions, coordinate activities, manage stakeholders and compete with one another. This article suggests making the construction of imagined futures a vantage point for the study of organizations and processes of organizing. It focuses on ‘instruments of imagination’ used by firms to create ‘fictional expectations’ which are used to come to terms with an uncertain future – and to proactively shape this future. Instruments discussed here include strategic planning, technological projections, economic forecasting, and business plans among others. The article argues that a fruitful general analytical perspective can be developed by bringing the constitution, contestation and effects of imagined futures to the forefront of organizational analysis.


Author(s):  
Mhlasakululeka Mvubu ◽  
Emmanuel Kabuga ◽  
Christian Plitz ◽  
Bubacarr Bah ◽  
Ronnie Becker ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 58 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-5
Author(s):  
Robert M. Kunst ◽  
Martin Wagner
Keyword(s):  

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