Development of Social and Economic Forecasting and Ideas of A. Anchishkin

2013 ◽  
pp. 143-155
Author(s):  
A. Klepach ◽  
G. Kuranov

The role of the prominent Soviet economist, academician A. Anchishkin (1933—1987), whose 80th birth anniversary we celebrate this year, in the development of ideas and formation of economic forecasting in the country at the time when the directive planning acted as a leading tool of economic management is explored in the article. Besides, Anchishkin’s special role is noted in developing a comprehensive program of scientific and technical progress, an information basis for working out long-term forecasts of the country’s development, moreover, his contribution to the creation of long-term forecasting methodology and improvement of the statistical basis for economic analysis and economic planning. The authors show that social and economic forecasting in the period after 1991, which has undertaken a number of functions of economic planning, has largely relied on further development of Anchishkin’s ideas, at the same time responding to new challenges for the Russian economy development during its entry into the world economic system.

1993 ◽  
Vol 18 (04) ◽  
pp. 605-627 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert L. Kidder ◽  
Setsuo Miyazawa

Japan's reputation for unusually strong emphasis on the avoidance of public conflict and therefore for deemphasis of legal institutions suggests an arid, hostile environment for litigators, especially those who lack substantial resources. In a study of a quasi-class action lawsuit by Japanese air pollution victims, we find that litigation can be developed as a tool in the pursuit of a social movement's wider objectives despite the paucity of resources within the Japanese legal system. Our research documents the many ways in which the delays, obstacles, and costs that characterize the litigation environment in Japan have been either neutralized or turned to the advantage of a social movement because of its commitment to longer-term political objectives rather than short-term victories. The special role of professions in general, and the legal profession in particular, in such litigation combines with class-oriented social movements to produce a political/legal pattern that is neither traditionally harmonious nor a conflict “difficult to contain.”


2021 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 110-120
Author(s):  
E. A. Zvonova ◽  
V. Ya. Pishchik ◽  
P. V. Alekseevc

The article examines and assesses the problem of the investment deficit in the Russian economy, which has acquired particular relevance due to the coronavirus crisis caused by the pandemic. The study aims to develop practical recommendations for Russian state bodies to stimulate the investment process in the Russian economy and improve the efficiency of measures taken by the state to ensure the country’s socio-economic development. The objectives of this paper are to analyze the directions of optimization and prioritization of investment of resources during the economic recession caused by the coronavirus crisis using investment lending and project financing instruments, as well as to analyze and assess the ongoing reform of development institutions based on the state corporation “VEB.RF”. The research methodology includes an analysis of the regulatory legal framework, statistical information, official reports of state bodies, development institutions, scientific monographs and publications of Russian scientists, periodicals. The authors analyzed the trends and problems of the investment process in the Russian economy, including in the field of attracting foreign direct investment. Attention is paid to the ongoing reform of development institutions aimed at enhancing the role of the state development corporation “VEB.RF” in stimulating investment. The authors conclude that it is necessary to take a set of functional, instrumental, and institutional measures aimed at stimulating investment and ensuring sustainable socio-economic development of Russia. In particular, in the context of a shortage of domestic sources of financing for long-term investments, it is important to provide regulatory macroeconomic support for the inflow of foreign direct investment into the Russian economy. In this regard, the authors propose to change the monetary policy strategy to increase the stimulating role of refinancing of credit institutions and the projected exchange rate in attracting domestic and foreign long-term investments and ensuring sustainable development of the Russian economy. The authors also propose to increase the role of foreign exchange regulation and foreign exchange control in stimulating investment and ensuring sustainable socio-economic development of Russia.


2020 ◽  
pp. 43-49
Author(s):  
E. N. Kononova ◽  
A. N. Kazakova

The article analyzes long-term trends in innovation processes in the Russian economy. The dynamics of the share of innovation-active organizations, the share of innovative products, and costs for innovation in 2010-2019 was considered. The role of investment as a factor in the intensity of innovation processes was shown. Ranking of roadblocks against innovations was carried out based on the analysis of sociological surveys. The composition of investment in innovations by sources of financing and problems of their attraction in the economy of the Russian federation were revealed.


Author(s):  
Oleg Gorenko ◽  

The article deals with the problems to conceptualize social ethics of democratic transformation in post-soviet society. Special attention is paid to the role of European social standards in the process of realizing the European civilization choice of Ukraine. It is also stressed here that European social standards remain a key factor making a project of European integration so attractive for the majority of Ukrainians. Special role of a stage by stage solution of a so-called «social approach» on the way to all-rounded humanization of state-forming strategies of European nations and of the system of European international relations in general is being stressed here. The main emphasis is also laid on the historical role of common European values. An attempt is made here to elucidate the above problems in correspondence with the ones expressed in the National report «Civilizational choice of Ukraine — a paradigm of cognition and a strategy to act» (2016), prepared by the leading scholars of Ukrainian Academy of Science. It is also accentuated that decisive factor to achieve success in joining the space of European unity is in integrity of understanding the ideas of Freedom and Justice. Since internal and external components of European freedom and justice are so closely intertwined that their separate interpretation in author’s opinion has no epistemological perspective. In conditions of world economic crisis the configuration, dynamics and content of integrational processes both in Europe and in post-soviet countries are being substantially changed while preserving basic system factors. Stable economic prosperity and social progress are becoming more and more dependent on world economic situation. At the same time, social welfare of citizens in some countries as well as their authority in contemporary world fully depend on moral-ethical maturity of national elites, level of confidence in society, general level of culture and the rate of individual responsibility of citizens for their future. With this view we consider the role of social ethics in general context of forming new theoretical and methodological basis of contemporary historical science. The utter importance of social problems for adequate understanding of crisis phenomena in political, economic and cultural life of the European Union after several stages of substantial expansion is being underlined. Special place of «European social model» in contemporary scientific and political discourse is being emphasized. It is underlined that nowadays we speak not only about rational and pragmatic correction of logic of international interaction but about radical change of all logic of internal social interaction, about formation and application of qualitatively new theory of making decisions. The above problems acquire special meaning in modern conditions of sharpening geopolitical competition concerning Ukraine. Real social result of Ukrainian civilizational choice directly influences the process of this competition, as it directly defines the position of both Ukrainian citizens and citizens of European Union countries. Modern financial and migration crisis of EU only enhances the influence of social factor on collective consciousness of «old» and «new» Europeans, frequently engendering rather dangerous tendencies in European life. The author tries to accentuate the importance of the idea of a serious social optimization strategy of European integration of Ukraine while considering qualitatively new external and internal conditions of National progress.


Federalism ◽  
2019 ◽  
pp. 135-146
Author(s):  
A. S. Neshitoy

The results of Russia’s economic activity over the years of its reform, the indicators of economic development of the regions allow us to conclude that the liberal market approach to economic management has completely discredited itself. The current state of the Russian economy requires a revision of the previously established model of its reforming. A new model should be primarily focused on the new industrialization, the priority revival of the high-technological sector of the economy as the main goal of industrial policy. The author proves that the revival of the industrial potential of the country should be provided on the basis of scientific-based Strategy of innovative development and system-dialectical approach to economic management, which is based on the strengthening of economic and social functions of the state, on the usage of planning and economic mechanisms of state regulation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 27-37
Author(s):  
M. Yu. Pechalova

Despite the currently observed positive dynamics of the industrial production, the problem of reversing the Russian economy to the sustainable and balanced growth has not been resolved. The expansion of the investment lending by banks might give the necessary impetus to the economic development; however, the weak demand of corporate borrowers for long-term loans of late is counterbalanced by the unwillingness of creditors themselves to be at risk. The purpose of the study was to identify the reasons why the Russian banking system practically lost its potential to promote the business activity in the economy. The paper analyzes the expectations and uncertainty factors in the economy, exposes weaknesses of the resource base and the loan portfolio of the banking system and reveals the key trends in the regulation of the financial-and- banking sector. It is concluded that the problems aggregated during the last two crises, combined with the attitude of the regulator insisting on the limited role of banks in investment lending, do not allow the banking system to prove itself as one of the main driving forces contributing to the growth of other market segments.


2021 ◽  
Vol 273 ◽  
pp. 08100
Author(s):  
Tatyana Zhukova ◽  
Ilona Avlasenko ◽  
Lyudmila Avlasenko

The article deals with the issues of the transformational process of the Russian economy in recent years. It is emphasized that the formation of modern economic space occurs against the background of constantly changing conditions of economic reality. Trends in the development of the Russian economy are considered, the peculiarities of the Russian national economy are analyzed, taking into account its basic characteristics and development prospects. Particularly relevant is the consideration of transformational processes in connection with the formation of new standards of economic interconnections and opportunities for modern production. The main tasks and problems of Russian economic development with changing international priorities and strategic world transformations are noted. The special role of digitalization of society in the formation of modern business models, the identification of the advantages of digital reality is emphasized in this article. It is also highlighted that the changing conditions for the formation of the economic space is associated with the birth of a number of problems, including the strengthening of the role of state regulation of the public economy of Russia, the search for new instruments for the legal regulation of the national economy. Adapting the Russian economy to a constantly changing competitive market, the search for competitive advantages will mean the possibility for the Russian national economy to become a full member of the world community.


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