Hazard evaluation of coal and gas outbursts in a coal-mine roadway based on logistic regression model

Author(s):  
Zhonghui Li ◽  
Enyuan Wang ◽  
Jianchun Ou ◽  
Zhentang Liu
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdurohman Adem ◽  
Suryabhagavan Venkata Karuturi ◽  
Tarun Kumar Raghuvanshi

Abstract The present study was undertaken to identify landslides hazard prone areas in North Ethiopia. The landslide hazard in the present study area was evaluated by using the logistic regression model. Seven landslide causative factors were used for the landslide hazard evaluation, these are; slope gradient, slope aspect, elevation, proximity to streams, land-use/ land-cover, lithology and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index. Besides, for the present study landslides inventory data for the period of 2000 to 2018 was collected from the field survey and the Google earth image interpretation. The coefficient for the considered causative factors and classes were used for the identification of landslides hazard index using raster tool in ARCGIS environment. The prediction of the logistic regression model reveals that one third of the study area (32%) is under high hazard zone and the steep slopes and the elevated areas are most susceptible areas. The predicted landslides hazard zonation map is highly correlated with the training data set where 74% of it lies in the very high and high landslide hazard zones. Results of the area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve for the training sample, was found to be 0.76 while the area under the ROC curve of the validation sample was 0.71. Thus, the validation results has confirmed the rationality of adopted methodology, considered causative factors and their evaluation in producing LHZ map for the area. Further, the study has forwarded recommendations that can be followed to prevent and mitigate the adverse impact of landslides in the study area.


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (Supplement_5) ◽  
Author(s):  
J Matos ◽  
C Matias Dias ◽  
A Félix

Abstract Background Studies on the impact of patients with multimorbidity in the absence of work indicate that the number and type of chronic diseases may increase absenteeism and that the risk of absence from work is higher in people with two or more chronic diseases. This study analyzed the association between multimorbidity and greater frequency and duration of work absence in the portuguese population between the ages of 25 and 65 during 2015. Methods This is an epidemiological, observational, cross-sectional study with an analytical component that has its source of information from the 1st National Health Examination Survey. The study analyzed univariate, bivariate and multivariate variables under study. A multivariate logistic regression model was constructed. Results The prevalence of absenteeism was 55,1%. Education showed an association with absence of work (p = 0,0157), as well as professional activity (p = 0,0086). It wasn't possible to verify association between the presence of chronic diseases (p = 0,9358) or the presence of multimorbidity (p = 0,4309) with absence of work. The prevalence of multimorbidity was 31,8%. There was association between age (p < 0,0001), education (p < 0,001) and yield (p = 0,0009) and multimorbidity. There is no increase in the number of days of absence from work due to the increase in the number of chronic diseases. In the optimized logistic regression model the only variables that demonstrated association with the variable labor absence were age (p = 0,0391) and education (0,0089). Conclusions The scientific evidence generated will contribute to the current discussion on the need for the health and social security system to develop policies to patients with multimorbidity. Key messages The prevalence of absenteeism and multimorbidity in Portugal was respectively 55,1% and 31,8%. In the optimized model age and education demonstrated association with the variable labor absence.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (14) ◽  
pp. 6594
Author(s):  
Yu-Chia Hsu

The interdisciplinary nature of sports and the presence of various systemic and non-systemic factors introduce challenges in predicting sports match outcomes using a single disciplinary approach. In contrast to previous studies that use sports performance metrics and statistical models, this study is the first to apply a deep learning approach in financial time series modeling to predict sports match outcomes. The proposed approach has two main components: a convolutional neural network (CNN) classifier for implicit pattern recognition and a logistic regression model for match outcome judgment. First, the raw data used in the prediction are derived from the betting market odds and actual scores of each game, which are transformed into sports candlesticks. Second, CNN is used to classify the candlesticks time series on a graphical basis. To this end, the original 1D time series are encoded into 2D matrix images using Gramian angular field and are then fed into the CNN classifier. In this way, the winning probability of each matchup team can be derived based on historically implied behavioral patterns. Third, to further consider the differences between strong and weak teams, the CNN classifier adjusts the probability of winning the match by using the logistic regression model and then makes a final judgment regarding the match outcome. We empirically test this approach using 18,944 National Football League game data spanning 32 years and find that using the individual historical data of each team in the CNN classifier for pattern recognition is better than using the data of all teams. The CNN in conjunction with the logistic regression judgment model outperforms the CNN in conjunction with SVM, Naïve Bayes, Adaboost, J48, and random forest, and its accuracy surpasses that of betting market prediction.


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