scholarly journals Spatial temporal incidence dynamic graph neural networks for traffic flow forecasting

2020 ◽  
Vol 521 ◽  
pp. 277-290 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hao Peng ◽  
Hongfei Wang ◽  
Bowen Du ◽  
Md Zakirul Alam Bhuiyan ◽  
Hongyuan Ma ◽  
...  
Author(s):  
Xu Chen ◽  
Junshan Wang ◽  
Kunqing Xie

With the rapid growth of traffic sensors deployed, a massive amount of traffic flow data are collected, revealing the long-term evolution of traffic flows and the gradual expansion of traffic networks. How to accurately forecasting these traffic flow attracts the attention of researchers as it is of great significance for improving the efficiency of transportation systems. However, existing methods mainly focus on the spatial-temporal correlation of static networks, leaving the problem of efficiently learning models on networks with expansion and evolving patterns less studied. To tackle this problem, we propose a Streaming Traffic Flow Forecasting Framework, TrafficStream, based on Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and Continual Learning (CL), achieving accurate predictions and high efficiency. Firstly, we design a traffic pattern fusion method, cleverly integrating the new patterns that emerged during the long-term period into the model. A JS-divergence-based algorithm is proposed to mine new traffic patterns. Secondly, we introduce CL to consolidate the knowledge learned previously and transfer them to the current model. Specifically, we adopt two strategies: historical data replay and parameter smoothing. We construct a streaming traffic data set to verify the efficiency and effectiveness of our model. Extensive experiments demonstrate its excellent potential to extract traffic patterns with high efficiency on long-term streaming network scene. The source code is available at https://github.com/AprLie/TrafficStream.


2014 ◽  
Vol 513-517 ◽  
pp. 695-698
Author(s):  
Dai Yuan Zhang ◽  
Jian Hui Zhan

Traditional short-term traffic flow forecasting of road usually based on back propagation neural network, which has a low prediction accuracy and convergence speed. This paper introduces a spline weight function neural networks which has a feature that the weight function can well reflect sample information after training, thus propose a short-term traffic flow forecasting method base on the spline weight function neural network, specify the network learning algorithm, and make a comparative tests bases on the actual data. The result proves that in short-term traffic flow forecasting, the spline weight function neural network is more effective than traditional methods.


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