Liquidity, covered interest rate parity, and zero lower bound in Japan’s foreign exchange markets

2020 ◽  
Vol 69 ◽  
pp. 334-349
Author(s):  
W.D. Chen
2012 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 299 ◽  
Author(s):  
John F. Boschen ◽  
Kimberly J. Smith

The uncovered interest rate parity (UIP) anomaly is that high interest rate currencies appreciate, rather than depreciate, against low interest rate currencies. We show that the UIP anomalies apparent in six major currency pairs have diminished over our 1995-2010 sample period. We further show that the observed decline in deviations from UIP is associated with the substantially higher transaction volume now present in the foreign exchange markets. We interpret our findings as consistent with the proposition that the UIP anomaly dissipates as the foreign exchange markets become more efficient.


2019 ◽  
Vol 87 (4) ◽  
pp. 1605-1645 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuel Amador ◽  
Javier Bianchi ◽  
Luigi Bocola ◽  
Fabrizio Perri

Abstract We study the problem of a monetary authority pursuing an exchange rate policy that is inconsistent with interest rate parity because of a binding zero lower bound constraint. The resulting violation in interest rate parity generates an inflow of capital that the monetary authority needs to absorb by accumulating foreign reserves. We show that these interventions by the monetary authority are costly, and we derive a simple measure of these costs: they are proportional to deviations from the covered interest parity (CIP) condition and the amount of accumulated foreign reserves. Our framework can account for the recent experiences of “safe-haven” currencies and the sign of their observed deviations from CIP.


FEDS Notes ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (2802) ◽  
Author(s):  
Annie McCrone ◽  
◽  
Ralf Meisenzahl ◽  
Friederike Niepmann ◽  
Tim Schmidt-Eisenlohr ◽  
...  

The cost of borrowing U.S. dollars through foreign exchange (FX) swap markets increased significantly in the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic in February 2020, indicated by larger deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity (CIP). CIP deviations narrowed again when the Federal Reserve expanded its swap lines to support U.S. dollar liquidity globally—by enhancing and extending its swap facility with foreign central banks and introducing the new temporary Foreign and International Monetary Authorities (FIMA) repurchase agreement facility.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anjala Kalsie ◽  
Anil Kumar Goyal

The objective of the paper is to test the theory that forward spot markets are rational forecasts of future spot rates by studying data from Indian exchange markets over various forecast horizons ranging from one to twelve months. The time period is from August 2008 to 31 December 2013. The study found that there is high degree of correlation between the expected value of future spot rates calculated on the basis of Interest Rate Parity theory and the actual spot rate at the time of expiry of the derivative contract. The results of regression analysis shows that the actual spot rate at the time of expiry of the derivative contract is determined by the expected value of future spot rates, calculated on the basis of Interest Rate Parity theory. The empirical exercise also shows that the interest rate parity theorem helps in determining INR USD exchange rate (the future expected spot rate).


2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 52
Author(s):  
Kang

Keywords: foreign exchange market efficiency; forward rate unbiased hypothesis; covered interest rate parity; central banks; central banks’ policies


Author(s):  
Abbassi Puriya ◽  
Falk Bräuning

Abstract Using contract-level supervisory data, we show that dollar forward sales by non-U.S. banks that are initiated at the end of a quarter and mature shortly after it concludes trade at higher prices and higher volumes. These effects are driven by banks with large net on-balance-sheet dollar assets that they can hedge around quarter ends by selling dollars forward (increasing off-balance-sheet short positions), which suggests regulatory arbitrage to reduce capital charges for open foreign exchange (FX) exposure. Our results indicate that demand effects related to banks’ management of FX exposure are an important driver of deviations from covered interest rate parity.


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