Modelling of dissolved oxygen in the Danube River using artificial neural networks and Monte Carlo Simulation uncertainty analysis

2014 ◽  
Vol 519 ◽  
pp. 1895-1907 ◽  
Author(s):  
Davor Antanasijević ◽  
Viktor Pocajt ◽  
Aleksandra Perić-Grujić ◽  
Mirjana Ristić
2013 ◽  
Vol 34 (4) ◽  
pp. 1169-1180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Majid Dehghani ◽  
Bahram Saghafian ◽  
Farzin Nasiri Saleh ◽  
Ashkan Farokhnia ◽  
Roohollah Noori

Author(s):  
Serkan Eti

Quantitative methods are mainly preferred in the literature. The main purpose of this chapter is to evaluate the usage of quantitative methods in the subject of the investment decision. Within this framework, the studies related to the investment decision in which quantitative methods are taken into consideration. As for the quantitative methods, probit, logit, decision tree algorithms, artificial neural networks methods, Monte Carlo simulation, and MARS approaches are taken into consideration. The findings show that MARS methodology provides a more accurate results in comparison with other techniques. In addition to this situation, it is also concluded that probit and logit methodologies were less preferred in comparison with decision tree algorithms, artificial neural networks methods, and Monte Carlo simulation analysis, especially in the last studies. Therefore, it is recommended that a new evaluation for investment analysis can be performed with MARS method because it is understood that this approach provides better results.


2013 ◽  
Vol 20 (12) ◽  
pp. 9006-9013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Davor Antanasijević ◽  
Viktor Pocajt ◽  
Dragan Povrenović ◽  
Aleksandra Perić-Grujić ◽  
Mirjana Ristić

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Illias Landros ◽  
Ioannis Trichakis ◽  
Emmanouil Varouchakis ◽  
George P. Karatzas

<p>In recent years, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have proven their merit in being able to simulate the changes in groundwater levels, using as inputs other parameters of the water budget, e.g. precipitation, temperature, etc.. In this study, ANNs have been used to simulate hydraulic head in a large number of wells throughout the Danube River Basin, taking as inputs, precipitation, temperature, and evapotranspiration data in the region. Different ANN architectures have been examined, to minimize the simulation error of the testing data-set. Among the different training algorithms, Levenberg-Marquardt and Bayesian Regularization are used to train the ANNs, while the different activation functions of the neurons that were deployed include tangent sigmoid, logarithmic sigmoid and linear. The initial application comprised of data from 128 wells between 1 January 2000 and 31 October 2014. The best performance was achieved by the algorithm Bayesian Regularization with a error of the order  based on all observation wells. A second application, compared the results of the first one, with the results of an ANN used to simulate a single well. The pros and cons of the two approaches, and the synergies of using both of them is further discussed in order to distinguish the differences, and guide researchers in the field for further applications.</p>


2007 ◽  
Vol 22 (3) ◽  
pp. 1202-1209 ◽  
Author(s):  
Armando M. Leite da Silva ◽  
Leonidas Chaves de Resende ◽  
Luiz AntÔnio da Fonseca Manso ◽  
Vladimiro Miranda

Author(s):  
Serkan Eti

Quantitative methods are mainly preferred in the literature. The main purpose of this chapter is to evaluate the usage of quantitative methods in the subject of the investment decision. Within this framework, the studies related to the investment decision in which quantitative methods are taken into consideration. As for the quantitative methods, probit, logit, decision tree algorithms, artificial neural networks methods, Monte Carlo simulation, and MARS approaches are taken into consideration. The findings show that MARS methodology provides a more accurate results in comparison with other techniques. In addition to this situation, it is also concluded that probit and logit methodologies were less preferred in comparison with decision tree algorithms, artificial neural networks methods, and Monte Carlo simulation analysis, especially in the last studies. Therefore, it is recommended that a new evaluation for investment analysis can be performed with MARS method because it is understood that this approach provides better results.


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