Exchange rate regimes and current account adjustment: An empirical investigation

2016 ◽  
Vol 65 ◽  
pp. 69-93 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernando Eguren Martin
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eugene Kouassi ◽  
Soro Kolotioloman ◽  
James Sharka Juana

Abstract This paper gives an overview of current accounts sustainability in forty African countries over the 1980–2016 period. The paper goes through by testing if this sustainability depends on regional blocs, income levels or exchange rate regimes. For this purpose, the paper employs a formal theoretical framework, recent cointegration techniques like threshold cointegration to test for long-run relationship between variables. Results reveal that although exports and imports plus interest payments on external debt are cointegrated in African economies, the current accounts are weakly sustainable in 45% of African economies and unsustainable in only 8%. Among regional blocs, income level and exchange rate regime groupings, only exchange rate regime groupings have a significant effect on current account sustainability. Since current account is strong sustainable in countries operating flexible and intermediate exchange rate regimes than countries operating fixed regimes.JEL Codes: F32, C23, C22


2011 ◽  
Vol 62 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Horst Brezinski ◽  
Johannes Stephan

SummaryThis contribution is concerned with the real economy effects of the current global crisis in Central East Europe. It analyses the way that the global financial crisis has transmitted into Central East Europe (contagion) by focussing on the drying up of capital inflows (in particular foreign direct investment), the worsening of current account imbalances, the role of the exchange rate regimes, and of increasing foreign currency borrowing during the years before the crisis. The analysis shows that the growth and development model of the region, which featured current account deficits financed by capital inflows, served as an accelerator for the adverse effects of contagion in Central East Europe. Countries with a fixed exchange rate to the euro proved to be the countries in the region hit hardest, whereas a flexible exchange rate appears to have acted as a shield against contagion. This casts doubts on the preferability of the planned rapid adoption of the euro in some of the countries in Central East Europe.


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