scholarly journals Facing the Quadrilemma: Taylor rules, intervention policy and capital controls in large emerging markets

2020 ◽  
Vol 102 ◽  
pp. 102122
Author(s):  
Fernando Chertman ◽  
Michael Hutchison ◽  
David Zink
Author(s):  
Atish R. Ghosh ◽  
Jonathan D. Ostry ◽  
Mahvash S. Qureshi

This chapter summarizes how thinking about capital flows and their management has evolved in both policymaking and academic circles. Many advanced economies used restrictions on capital inflows for prudential purposes—even as they pursued financial liberalization more broadly—until the 1980s, when capital account restrictions began to be swept away as part of broader liberalization efforts. Likewise, many emerging markets that had inflow controls for prudential reasons dismantled them when liberalizing domestic financial markets and controls over outflows. That the use of capital controls as a means of managing inflows is often viewed with suspicion may be partly a “guilt by association” with outflow controls and exchange restrictions. Historically, these have been more prevalent and more intensive, and their purpose has been to prop up authoritarian regimes or poor macroeconomic policies, often affecting both current and capital transactions.


2003 ◽  
Vol 03 (236) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hali J. Edison ◽  
Francis E. Warnock ◽  
◽  

2011 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 230-244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ralf Fendel ◽  
Michael Frenkel ◽  
Jan-Christoph Rülke

2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gurnain Kaur Pasricha ◽  
Matteo Falagiarda ◽  
Martin Bijsterbosch ◽  
Joshua Aizenman

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (106) ◽  
Author(s):  
Katharina Bergant ◽  
Francesco Grigoli ◽  
Niels-Jakob Hansen ◽  
Damiano Sandri

We show that macroprudential regulation can considerably dampen the impact of global financial shocks on emerging markets. More specifically, a tighter level of regulation reduces the sensitivity of GDP growth to VIX movements and capital flow shocks. A broad set of macroprudential tools contribute to this result, including measures targeting bank capital and liquidity, foreign currency mismatches, and risky forms of credit. We also find that tighter macroprudential regulation allows monetary policy to respond more countercyclically to global financial shocks. This could be an important channel through which macroprudential regulation enhances macroeconomic stability. These findings on the benefits of macroprudential regulation are particularly notable since we do not find evidence that stricter capital controls provide similar gains.


2018 ◽  
Vol 115 ◽  
pp. 48-58 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gurnain Kaur Pasricha ◽  
Matteo Falagiarda ◽  
Martin Bijsterbosch ◽  
Joshua Aizenman

Author(s):  
Atish R. Ghosh ◽  
Jonathan D. Ostry ◽  
Mahvash S. Qureshi

This chapter examines how emerging markets typically respond to capital inflows in practice. Confronted by an inflow surge, national authorities respond through a combination of policy instruments—both macroeconomic tools and less orthodox measures. While the thrust of the policy responses across countries is largely the same, there are differences in the specific instruments deployed that likely depend on economic, historical, and institutional characteristics. Central banks seem to use the policy interest rate to address inflation and overheating concerns associated with capital inflows, and to reduce currency appreciation. Most emerging market central banks intervene quite heavily in the face of inflows, nearly always sterilizing that intervention. Finally, emerging market economies also seem to be using capital controls and macroprudential measures in the face of large inflows, but capital controls appear less frequently, often acting as a backstop to other measures.


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