scholarly journals Dynamic Modification Neural Network Model for Short-term Traffic Prediction

2021 ◽  
Vol 187 ◽  
pp. 134-139
Author(s):  
Da Guo ◽  
Xingwen Xia ◽  
Lin Zhu ◽  
Yong Zhang
Author(s):  
Qingtian Zeng ◽  
Qiang Sun ◽  
Geng Chen ◽  
Hua Duan

AbstractWireless cellular traffic prediction is a critical issue for researchers and practitioners in the 5G/B5G field. However, it is very challenging since the wireless cellular traffic usually shows high nonlinearities and complex patterns. Most existing wireless cellular traffic prediction methods lack the abilities of modeling the dynamic spatial–temporal correlations of wireless cellular traffic data, thus cannot yield satisfactory prediction results. In order to improve the accuracy of 5G/B5G cellular network traffic prediction, an attention-based multi-component spatiotemporal cross-domain neural network model (att-MCSTCNet) is proposed, which uses Conv-LSTM or Conv-GRU for neighbor data, daily cycle data, and weekly cycle data modeling, and then assigns different weights to the three kinds of feature data through the attention layer, improves their feature extraction ability, and suppresses the feature information that interferes with the prediction time. Finally, the model is combined with timestamp feature embedding, multiple cross-domain data fusion, and jointly with other models to assist the model in traffic prediction. Experimental results show that compared with the existing models, the prediction performance of the proposed model is better. Among them, the RMSE performance of the att-MCSTCNet (Conv-LSTM) model on Sms, Call, and Internet datasets is improved by 13.70 ~ 54.96%, 10.50 ~ 28.15%, and 35.85 ~ 100.23%, respectively, compared with other existing models. The RMSE performance of the att-MCSTCNet (Conv-GRU) model on Sms, Call, and Internet datasets is about 14.56 ~ 55.82%, 12.24 ~ 29.89%, and 38.79 ~ 103.17% higher than other existing models, respectively.


2021 ◽  
Vol 292 ◽  
pp. 116912
Author(s):  
Rong Wang Ng ◽  
Kasim Mumtaj Begam ◽  
Rajprasad Kumar Rajkumar ◽  
Yee Wan Wong ◽  
Lee Wai Chong

2010 ◽  
Vol 20-23 ◽  
pp. 612-617 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Sun ◽  
Yu Jun He ◽  
Ming Meng

The paper presents a novel quantum neural network (QNN) model with variable selection for short term load forecasting. In the proposed QNN model, first, the combiniation of maximum conditonal entropy theory and principal component analysis method is used to select main influential factors with maximum correlation degree to power load index, thus getting effective input variables set. Then the quantum neural network forecating model is constructed. The proposed QNN forecastig model is tested for certain province load data. The experiments and the performance with QNN neural network model are given, and the results showed the method could provide a satisfactory improvement of the forecasting accuracy compared with traditional BP network model.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muktabh Mayank Srivastava

We propose a simple neural network model which can learn relation between sentences by passing their representations obtained from Long Short Term Memory(LSTM) through a Relation Network. The Relation Network module tries to extract similarity between multiple contextual representations obtained from LSTM. Our model is simple to implement, light in terms of parameters and works across multiple supervised sentence comparison tasks. We show good results for the model on two sentence comparison datasets.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lizhen Wu ◽  
Chun Kong ◽  
Xiaohong Hao ◽  
Wei Chen

Short-term load forecasting (STLF) plays a very important role in improving the economy and stability of the power system operation. With the smart meters and smart sensors widely deployed in the power system, a large amount of data was generated but not fully utilized, these data are complex and diverse, and most of the STLF methods cannot well handle such a huge, complex, and diverse data. For better accuracy of STLF, a GRU-CNN hybrid neural network model which combines the gated recurrent unit (GRU) and convolutional neural networks (CNN) was proposed; the feature vector of time sequence data is extracted by the GRU module, and the feature vector of other high-dimensional data is extracted by the CNN module. The proposed model was tested in a real-world experiment, and the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and the root mean square error (RMSE) of the GRU-CNN model are the lowest among BPNN, GRU, and CNN forecasting methods; the proposed GRU-CNN model can more fully use data and achieve more accurate short-term load forecasting.


2014 ◽  
Vol 1008-1009 ◽  
pp. 709-713 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuang Li ◽  
Zhi Qiang Liang ◽  
Min You Chen

Neural network is widely used in the load forecasting area,but the traditional methods of load forecasting usually base on static model,which cannot change as time goes on. And the accuracy is worse and worse. To solve the problem, a dynamic neural network model for load forecasting is proposed .By way of introduce Error discriminant function, to control the error of load forecasting and dynamically modify the predicting model. Through the contrast of the short-term load forecasting result based on static neural network model and dynamic neural network model proposed, the error of load forecasting is decrease effectively.


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