scholarly journals A numerical study of fractional order population dynamics model

2021 ◽  
pp. 104456
Author(s):  
H. Jafari ◽  
R.M. Ganji ◽  
N.S. Nkomo ◽  
Y.P. Lv
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Fractional Order ◽  
Numerical Study ◽  
Dynamics Model ◽  
Population Dynamics Model

scholarly journals A random effects population dynamics model based on proportions-at-age and removal data for estimating total mortality

2012 ◽  
Vol 69 (11) ◽  
pp. 1881-1893 ◽  
Author(s):  
Verena M. Trenkel ◽  
Mark V. Bravington ◽  
Pascal Lorance
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Random Effects ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Random Effect ◽  
Total Mortality ◽  
Estimation Bias ◽  
Effective Sample Size ◽  
Dynamics Model ◽  
Population Dynamics Model ◽  
Study Parameter

Catch curves are widely used to estimate total mortality for exploited marine populations. The usual population dynamics model assumes constant recruitment across years and constant total mortality. We extend this to include annual recruitment and annual total mortality. Recruitment is treated as an uncorrelated random effect, while total mortality is modelled by a random walk. Data requirements are minimal as only proportions-at-age and total catches are needed. We obtain the effective sample size for aggregated proportion-at-age data based on fitting Dirichlet-multinomial distributions to the raw sampling data. Parameter estimation is carried out by approximate likelihood. We use simulations to study parameter estimability and estimation bias of four model versions, including models treating mortality as fixed effects and misspecified models. All model versions were, in general, estimable, though for certain parameter values or replicate runs they were not. Relative estimation bias of final year total mortalities and depletion rates were lower for the proposed random effects model compared with the fixed effects version for total mortality. The model is demonstrated for the case of blue ling (Molva dypterygia) to the west of the British Isles for the period 1988 to 2011.

A microbial treatment population dynamics optimization approach

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Jinding Gao
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Information Exchange ◽  
Information Diffusion ◽  
Optimization Problems ◽  
Microbial Control ◽  
Function Optimization ◽  
Optimization Approach ◽  
Dynamics Model ◽  
Population Dynamics Model ◽  
Number Of Individuals

In order to solve some function optimization problems, Population Dynamics Optimization Algorithm under Microbial Control in Contaminated Environment (PDO-MCCE) is proposed by adopting a population dynamics model with microbial treatment in a polluted environment. In this algorithm, individuals are automatically divided into normal populations and mutant populations. The number of individuals in each category is automatically calculated and adjusted according to the population dynamics model, it solves the problem of artificially determining the number of individuals. There are 7 operators in the algorithm, they realize the information exchange between individuals the information exchange within and between populations, the information diffusion of strong individuals and the transmission of environmental information are realized to individuals, the number of individuals are increased or decreased to ensure that the algorithm has global convergence. The periodic increase of the number of individuals in the mutant population can greatly increase the probability of the search jumping out of the local optimal solution trap. In the iterative calculation, the algorithm only deals with 3/500∼1/10 of the number of individual features at a time, the time complexity is reduced greatly. In order to assess the scalability, efficiency and robustness of the proposed algorithm, the experiments have been carried out on realistic, synthetic and random benchmarks with different dimensions. The test case shows that the PDO-MCCE algorithm has better performance and is suitable for solving some optimization problems with higher dimensions.

scholarly journals Modelling the growth, mortality, and predation interactions of cod juveniles and capelin larvae in the Barents Sea using a novel proto-moment population dynamics model

2007 ◽  
Vol 64 (7) ◽  
pp. 1313-1323 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elvar H. Hallfredsson ◽  
John G. Pope
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Barents Sea ◽  
Fish Population ◽  
Dynamics Model ◽  
Statistical Measures ◽  
The Barents Sea ◽  
Population Dynamics Model ◽  
Predation Mortality ◽  
The Matrix ◽  
Prey Length

Abstract Hallfredsson, E. H., and Pope, J. G. 2007. Modelling the growth, mortality, and predation interactions of cod juveniles and capelin larvae in the Barents Sea using a novel proto-moment population dynamics model. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 64: 1313–1323. Proto-moments of a fish population, the sums of products of powers of length with numbers at length, relate both to the traditional statistical measures, the mean, the variance, the skewness, and the kurtosis of their size distribution, and to the biologically important measures of the abundance and the biomass of the population. Population models based on this approach are constructed as matrix delay-difference equations. They model moments of the length distributions rather than the age distributions, and express population dynamic problems in an analytically tractable form. Here, a modification of this approach is explored for a case involving a predator–prey relationship among young-of-the-year fish. The modelled species are juvenile cod (the predator) and capelin larvae (the prey) in the Barents Sea. Their population dynamics are modelled by the proto-moment method, but using two different approaches for the derivation of the predation mortality term. The first approach, a published matrix-based formulation, is formed purely in terms of the proto-moments. The second approach, developed here, converts the proto-moments back to consistent size distributions to calculate the rates of predation mortality on each proto-moment. The latter model produces a realistic development in time for the predator and prey length distributions, density in numbers, and biomass for their first summer. It also provides estimates of growth for both species along with estimates of the predation mortality that cod generate on capelin in this time period. The estimates permitted the accuracy of the matrix-based approach to be investigated, better understood, and improved.

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