scholarly journals Modeling response of water quality parameters to land-use and climate change in a temperate, mesotrophic lake

2020 ◽  
Vol 713 ◽  
pp. 136549 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas J. Messina ◽  
Raoul-Marie Couture ◽  
Stephen A. Norton ◽  
Sean D. Birkel ◽  
Aria Amirbahman
2021 ◽  
Vol 933 (1) ◽  
pp. 012010
Author(s):  
S A Nurhayati ◽  
M Marselina ◽  
A Sabar

Abstract Increasing population growth is one of the impacts of the growth of a city or district in an area. This also happened in the Cimahi watershed area. As the population grows, so does the need for land which increases the land-use change in the Cimahi watershed. Land-use changes will affect the surrounding environment and one of them is the river, especially river water quality. As a watershed area, there is one main river that is the source of life as well as the Cimahi watershed, whose main river is the Cimahi River. The purpose of this study was calculated the relationship between land-use change in the Cimahi watershed and the water quality parameters of the Cimahi River. The correlation between the two was calculated using Pearson correlation. Water quality parameters can be seen based on BOD and DO values. BOD and DO values are the opposite because good water quality has high DO values and low BOD values. The correlation between land-use change and BOD was 0.328 is in the area of settlements area. In contrast, to DO values, an increase in settlements/industrial zones will further reduce DO values so that both have a negative correlation, which is indicated by a value of -0,535. The correlation between settlements with pH and temperature values is 0.664 and 0.812. While the correlation between settlements with TSS and TDS values are 0.333 and 0.529, respectively. In this study, it can be seen that there is a relationship between the decline in water quality and changes in land use.


2020 ◽  
Vol 95 ◽  
pp. 103766 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Mirzaei ◽  
Ali Jafari ◽  
Mehdi Gholamalifard ◽  
Hossein Azadi ◽  
Sharif Joorabian Shooshtari ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 43 (10) ◽  
pp. 664-678
Author(s):  
Hyeon Woo Go ◽  
Jin Chul Joo ◽  
Dong Hwi Lee ◽  
Chae Min Ahn ◽  
Sun Hwa Choi ◽  
...  

Objectives : In this study, the characteristics of stormwater runoff from agricultural nonpoint pollution sources investigated under various experimental conditions were evaluated among different land use types (e.g., paddy, field, field (alpine), and vinyl house), and event mean concentrations (EMCs) for each water quality parameter were statistically analyzed. These results can be used in calculating the contribution of stormwater runoff to water quality of receiving water body by performing quantitative and qualitative analysis. The unit loads calculated were compared with Ministry of Environment TMDL (2019) to secure the reliability of the calculated unit loads.Methods : EMCs and unit loads investigated in various studies were classified in terms of paddy, field, field (alpine), and vinyl house. Among various land use types, EMCs and unit loads were statistically analyzed quantitatively and qualitatively. For EMCs, a null hypothesis is that ‘EMCs of water quality parameters among different land use types are not different at a statistically significant level (α=0.05)’. Based on the results of statistical analysis, heteroscedasticity (p<0.05) and Welch-test method were consequently applied, and post hoc test was performed using the Games-Howell method. Finally, unit loads was compared and reviewed against the TMDL (2019) unit loads of the Ministry of Environment.Results and Discussion : Various EMCs in all water quality parameters were found among different land use types (i.e., paddy, field, field (alpine) and vinyl house). For most water quality parameters, EMCs tended to decrease in the order of field (alpine) > field > vinyl house > paddy. The coefficient of variance (CV) values of all water q uality parameters were 0.5 or greater. Based on these results, EMCs in agricultural nonpoint source pollution are very diverse and deviated due to the combination of natural and artificial factors. Post hoc test results indicated different statistical significance among all water quality parameters. In addition to the land use types, both natural factors (i.e., season, rainfall, antecedent rainfall day, and, rainfall runoff rate) and artificial factors (i.e., cultivator manipulation, emission route, type of crop, and amount of compost) affect the characteristics of stormwater runoff. In particular, in the case of field (alpine) with prominent topographical feature of slope, and EMCs were statistically greater than those from other land use types in all water quality categories (p<0.05).Conclusions : Countermeasures for field (alpine)with greater EMCs than paddy, field and vinyl house, should be performed priority. EMCs were affected by a complex interaction between natural factors (i.e., season, rainfall, antecedent rainfall day, and, rainfall runoff rate) and artificial factors (i.e., cultivator manipulation, emission route, type of crop, and amount of compost), and additional data and research are required for further study to elucidate these complex interactions.


2018 ◽  
Vol 53 (4) ◽  
pp. 205-218
Author(s):  
Farid Karimipour ◽  
Arash Madadi ◽  
Mohammad Hosein Bashough

Abstract Studies in water quality management have indicated significant relationships between land use/land cover (LULC) variables and water quality parameters. Thus, understanding this linkage is essential in protecting and developing water resources. This article extends the conventional geographical weighted regression (GWR) to a temporal version in order to take both spatial and temporal variations of such linkages into account, which has been ignored by many of the previous efforts. The approach has been evaluated for total nitrates and nitrites' concentration as the case study. For this, observations of 45 water quality sampling stations were examined in a time interval of 20 years (1992–2011), and the linkages between LULC variables and NO2 + NO3 concentration were extracted through Pearson correlation coefficient as a global regression model, the conventional geographic weighted regression, and the proposed spatio-temporal weighted regression (STWR). Comparing the results based on two global criteria of goodness-of-fitness (R2) and residual sum of squares (RSS) verifies that the simultaneous consideration of spatial and temporal variations by STWR substantially improves the results.


2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Linda R. Staponites ◽  
Vojtěch Barták ◽  
Michal Bílý ◽  
Ondřej P. Simon

Abstract Land use is a predominant threat to the ecological integrity of streams and rivers. Understanding land use-water quality interactions is essential for the development and prioritization of management strategies and, thus, the improvement of water quality. Weighting schemes for land use have recently been employed as methods to advance the predictive power of empirical models, however, their performance has seldom been explored for various water quality parameters. In this work, multiple landscape composition metrics were applied within headwater catchments of Central Europe to investigate how weighting land use with certain combinations of spatial and topographic variables, while implementing alternate distance measures and functions, can influence predictions of water quality. The predictive ability of metrics was evaluated for eleven water quality parameters using linear regression. Results indicate that stream proximity, measured with Euclidean distance, in combination with slope or log-transformed flow accumulation were dominant factors affecting the concentrations of pH, total phosphorus, nitrite and orthophosphate phosphorus, whereas the unweighted land use composition was the most effective predictor of calcium, electrical conductivity, nitrates and total suspended solids. Therefore, both metrics are recommended when examining land use-water quality relationships in small, submontane catchments and should be applied according to individual water quality parameter.


2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Honti ◽  
Nele Schuwirth ◽  
Jörg Rieckermann ◽  
Christian Stamm

Abstract. Catchments are complex systems where water quantity, quality and the provided ecological services are determined by interacting physical, chemical, biological, economic, and social factors. The awareness of these interactions led to the prevailing catchment management paradigm of Integrated Water Resources Management. The design and evaluation of solutions for integrated water resources management requires to predict changes of local or regional water quality, which requires integrated approach for modeling too. On one hand, integrated models have to be comprehensive enough to cover the aspects relevant for management decisions, allow for mapping of global change processes – as climate change, population growth, migration, and socio-economic development – to the regional and local contexts. On the other hand, models have to be sufficiently simple and fast enough to apply proper methods of uncertainty analysis, which can consider model structure deficits and propagate errors through the chain of submodels. Here, we present an integrated catchment model satisfying both objectives. The conceptual "iWaQa" model was developed to support the integrated management of small streams. It can predict both traditional water quality parameters like nutrients and a wide set of organic micropollutants originating from plant and material protection products. Due to the model's simplicity, it allows for a full, propagative analysis of predictive uncertainty, including certain structural and input errors. The usefulness of the model is demonstrated by predicting future water quality in a small catchment with mixed land use in the Swiss Plateau. The focus of our study is the change of water quality over the next decades driven by climate change, population growth or decline, socio-economic development and the implementation of management strategies for improving water quality. Our results indicate that input and model structure uncertainties are the most influential factors on certain water quality parameters and in these cases the uncertainty of modeling is already very high for the present conditions. Nevertheless, a proper quantification of today's uncertainty can make the management fairly robust for the foreseen range of possible evolution into the next decades. With a time-horizon of 2050, it seems that human land use and management decisions have a larger influence on water quality than climate change. However, the analysis of single climate model chains indicates that the importance of climate grows when a certain climate prediction is considered instead of the ensemble forecast.


Author(s):  
R. A. Shuchman ◽  
K. R. Bosse ◽  
M. J. Sayers ◽  
G. L. Fahnenstiel ◽  
G. Leshkevich

Long time series of ocean and land color satellite data can be used to measure Laurentian Great Lakes water quality parameters including chlorophyll, suspended minerals, harmful algal blooms (HABs), photic zone and primary productivity on weekly, monthly and annual observational intervals. The observed changes in these water quality parameters over time are a direct result of the introduction of invasive species such as the <i>Dreissena</i> mussels as well as anthropogenic forcing and climate change. Time series of the above mentioned water quality parameters have been generated based on a range of satellite sensors, starting with Landsat in the 1970s and continuing to the present with MODIS and VIIRS. These time series have documented the effect the mussels have had on increased water clarity by decreasing the chlorophyll concentrations. Primary productivity has declined in the lakes due to the decrease in algae. The increased water clarity due to the mussels has also led to an increase in submerged aquatic vegetation. Comparing water quality metrics in Lake Superior to the lower lakes is insightful because Lake Superior is the largest and most northern of the five Great Lakes and to date has not been affected by the invasive mussels and can thus be considered a control. In contrast, Lake Erie, the most southern and shallow of the Laurentian Great Lakes, is heavily influenced by agricultural practices (i.e., nutrient runoff) and climate change, which directly influence the annual extent of HABs in the Western Basin of that lake.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Raimunda da Silva e Silva ◽  
Claudio José Cavalcante Blanco ◽  
Igor Campos da Silva Cavalcante ◽  
Luiza Carla Girard Mendes Teixeira ◽  
Lindemberg Lima Fernandes ◽  
...  

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