Potential effect of population and climate changes on global distribution of dengue fever: an empirical model

AbstractClimate changes are affecting the control of many vector-borne diseases, particularly in Africa. In this work, a dengue fever model with protected travellers is formulated. Caputo-Fabrizio operator is utilized to obtain some qualitative information about the disease. The basic properties and the reproduction number is studied. The two steady states are determined and the local stability of the states are found to be asymptotically stable. The fixed pointed theory is made use to obtain the existence and uniqueness of solutions of the model. The numerical simulation suggests that the fractional-order affects the dynamics of dengue fever.

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The Potential Effect of Climate Changes on Agriculture and Land Use

The Ecological Consequences of Global Climate Change - Advances in Ecological Research ◽

10.1016/s0065-2504(08)60133-6 ◽

1992 ◽

pp. 63-91 ◽

Cited By ~ 27

Author(s):

Martin Parry

Keyword(s):

Land Use ◽

Climate Changes ◽

Potential Effect

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Predicting Dengue Fever Outbursts In Brazil: An Empirical Model Based On Climatic Parameters

Value in Health ◽

10.1016/j.jval.2017.08.2451 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 20 (9) ◽

pp. A856

Author(s):

L Fahham ◽

A Ueda ◽

V Teich

Keyword(s):

Dengue Fever ◽

Empirical Model ◽

Climatic Parameters ◽

Model Based

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Potential effect of future climate changes on productivity of selected crops in Poland

Annals of Warsaw University of Life Sciences – SGGW Land Reclamation ◽

10.1515/sggw-2016-0014 ◽

2016 ◽

Vol 48 (2) ◽

pp. 173-184

Author(s):

Barbara Brzóska ◽

Adam Jaczewski

Keyword(s):

Climate Changes ◽

Climate Models ◽

Negative Impact ◽

Global Climate ◽

Crop Productivity ◽

Potential Effect ◽

Global Climate Models ◽

Future Climate ◽

Climate Indices ◽

Mitigation And Adaptation

Abstract Potential effect of future climate changes on productivity of selected crops in Poland. Future projections of selected climate indices have been used to assess potential effects of climate changes on productivity of selected crops in Poland. CMIP5 global climate models’ results for the future period (2006-2035) and historical one (1981-2010) are used in the study. Models predict decrease in count of days with extreme low temperatures and increase in count of days with extreme high temperatures. An increase in the number of days with very heavy precipitation is also predicted. Not all climate change effects have negative impact on crop productivity in Poland but all of them confirm requirements to put into practice mitigation and adaptation strategies for Poland’s agriculture.

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