Relating fish recruitment to stock biomass and physical environment in the Black Sea using generalized additive models

1999 ◽  
Vol 41 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-23 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georgi Daskalov
Keyword(s):  
Black Sea ◽  
Physical Environment ◽  
Generalized Additive Models ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
The Black Sea ◽  
Fish Recruitment ◽  
Stock Biomass

scholarly journals Cycles, trends, and residual variation in the Iberian sardine (Sardina pilchardus) recruitment series and their relationship with the environment

2011 ◽  
Vol 69 (5) ◽  
pp. 739-750 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Begoña Santos ◽  
Rafael González-Quirós ◽  
Isabel Riveiro ◽  
José M. Cabanas ◽  
Carmela Porteiro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Variables ◽  
Generalized Additive Models ◽  
Causal Link ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Dynamic Factor ◽  
Sardina Pilchardus ◽  
Residual Variation ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Spawning Stock ◽  
Short Time

Abstract Santos, M. B., González-Quirós, R., Riveiro, I., Cabanas, J. M., Porteiro, C., and Pierce, G. J. 2012. Cycles, trends, and residual variation in the Iberian sardine (Sardina pilchardus) recruitment series and their relationship with the environment. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 69: 739–750. Recruitment variability is an important component of the dynamics of Iberian sardine (Sardine pilchardus). Since 2006, poor recruitment has led to a decrease in stock biomass, the latest in a series of such crises for sardine fisheries. Understanding the mechanisms behind recruitment fluctuations has been the objective of many previous studies, and various relationships between recruitment and environmental variables have been proposed. However, such studies face several analytical challenges, including short time-series and autocorrelated data. A new analysis of empirical relationships with environmental series is presented, using statistical methods designed to cope with these issues, including dynamic factor analysis, generalized additive models, and mixed models. Relationships are identified between recruitment and global (number of sunspots), regional (NAOAutumn), and local [winter wind strength, sea surface temperature (SST), and upwelling] environmental variables. Separating these series into trend and noise components permitted further investigation of the nature of the relationships. Whereas the other three environmental variables were related to the trend in recruitment, SST was related to residual variation around the trend, providing stronger evidence for a causal link, possible mechanisms for which are discussed. After the removal of trend and cyclic components, residual variation in recruitment is also weakly related to the previous year's spawning-stock biomass.

scholarly journals Habitat preferences among three top predators inhabiting a degraded ecosystem, the Black Sea

2017 ◽  
Vol 81 (2) ◽  
pp. 217 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alicia Sánchez-Cabanes ◽  
Maja Nimak-Wood ◽  
Nicola Harris ◽  
Renaud De Stephanis
Keyword(s):  
Surface Temperature ◽  
Sea Surface Temperature ◽  
Black Sea ◽  
Bottlenose Dolphins ◽  
Habitat Preferences ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
The Black Sea ◽  
Cetacean Species ◽  
Common Dolphins

This study investigated whether there is evidence of widespread niche partitioning based on environmental factors in the Black Sea and tested the hypothesis that physiographic factors may be employed as predictors. It addresses poorly researched areas with good habitat potential for the only three cetacean subspecies living in this area: the Black Sea short-beaked common dolphin (Delphinus delphis spp. ponticus), the Black Sea bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops truncatus spp. ponticus) and the Black Sea harbour porpoise (Phocoena phocoena spp. relicta). Generalized additive models (GAMs) were used to analyse data collected from multiple sources. In total, 745 sightings of the three species between 1998 and 2010 throughout the Black Sea were included. The analysis found depth and sea surface temperature to be the most important variables for separating the occurrence of the three species. Common dolphins occurred mainly in deep waters and in areas where the sea surface temperature was low, bottlenose dolphins were distributed primarily in shallower and warmer waters than common dolphins, and harbour porpoises were distributed in shallower waters with lower sea surface temperature than bottlenose dolphins. This study suggests strong niche segregation among the three cetacean species. The study is also the first contribution to the basic information of cetacean species distribution and habitat preferences in the Black Sea as a whole. Knowledge of the distribution of the three dolphin species in the study area is essential to establish conservation measures for these populations.

scholarly journals Performance of harvest control rules in a variable environment

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (5) ◽  
pp. 1051-1062 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Brunel ◽  
Gerjan J. Piet ◽  
Ralf van Hal ◽  
Christine Röckmann
Keyword(s):  
Dynamic Models ◽  
Generalized Additive Models ◽  
Maximum Sustainable Yield ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
Precautionary Approach ◽  
Variable Environment ◽  
Control Rules ◽  
Stock Biomass ◽  
Stock Recruitment ◽  
Harvest Control Rules

AbstractBrunel, T., Piet, G. J., van Hal, R., and Röckmann, C. 2010. Performance of harvest control rules in a variable environment. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 67: 1051–1062. Population dynamic models used for fisheries management assume that stocks are isolated entities, ignoring the influence of environmental factors on stock productivity. An operating model parameterized for North Sea cod, plaice, and herring is developed, in which the link between recruitment and environment is assumed to be known and described by generalized additive models. This tool is used to compare the performance of harvest control rules (HCRs) when recruitment is independent of the environment or when recruitment is affected by an environment varying according to different scenarios. The first HCR exploited the stock with a fixed fishing mortality (F) corresponding to maximum sustainable yield, and in the second HCR, F was set equal to the precautionary approach F (i.e. Fpa), but reduced from Fpa when stock biomass fell below Bpa. The performance of the HCRs altered only slightly in a randomly varying environment compared with a constant one. For a detrimental change in the environment, however, no HCR could prevent a massive decrease in stock size. The performance of the HCRs was also influenced by the stock characteristics, such as recruitment variability or the shape of the stock–recruitment relationship. The performance of “environmental” HCRs (eHCRs), in which F varies depending on environmental conditions, was compared with that of conventional HCRs. The gain in using the eHCR was small, except for a detrimental change in the environment, where the eHCR performed markedly better than a conventional HCR. The benefits of using the eHCR were the greatest for the stock with the strongest environment–recruitment relationship.

scholarly journals By-catch in the commercial beam trawl fishery for Rapa Whelk in the Black Sea

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
pp. 69 ◽  
Author(s):  
AHMET RAIF ERYASAR ◽  
YUSUF CEYLAN ◽  
GOKTUG DALGIC ◽  
TUNCAY YESILCICEK
Keyword(s):  
Generalized Additive Models ◽  
Additive Models ◽  
The Black Sea ◽  
Trawl Fishery ◽  
Significant Difference ◽  
Chamelea Gallina ◽  
By Catch ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Fishing Area ◽  
Rapa Whelk

In this work, the by-catch was investigated in commercial beam trawls used in the rapa whelk (Rapana venosa) fishery, in trials at sea between September 1, 2015 and April 30, 2016. Four commercial boats using beam trawls were chartered and catch data was collected from a total of 87 hauls. Hauls were performed between 7.1–28.3 meters deep for a duration of 20–77 minutes and haul speed varied between 1.4 – 2.7 knots. A total of 28 by-catch species were identified, which amount in average to 11.4% of the total number of specimens in the by-catch. Two different groups were identified in the by-catch (G1: 7-18 m, G2: 19-26 m) according to depth. Although there is a reduction in the amount of by-catch for G2 group, no significant difference was found between groups (p>0.05). According to Generalized Additive Models (GAM) results, the variables affecting the by-catch amount were identified as fishing area, depth, haul duration, and amount of captured rapa whelk (p<0.01). In addition, a large proportion of immature individuals of striped venus clams (Chamelea gallina), blood cockles (Anadara kagoshimensis), Mediterranean mussels (Mytilus galloprovincialis) and wedge clams (Donax trunculus) were caught as by-catch during the study. Finally, the impact of commercial beam trawls on the demersal macrofauna is discussed.

MÖSSBAUER AND CHEMICAL ANALYSES OF SOME SEDIMENTS FROM THE ROMANIAN SHORE OF THE BLACK SEA

1979 ◽  
Vol 40 (C2) ◽  
pp. C2-445-C2-448
Author(s):  
D. Barb ◽  
L. Diamandescu ◽  
M. Morariu ◽  
I. I. Georgescu
Keyword(s):  
Black Sea ◽  
The Black Sea ◽  
Chemical Analyses

Modeling of ecological conditions in the Euxine Basin in the Sarmatian and Maeotian by methods of diatom analysis

2019 ◽  
pp. 257-261
Author(s):  
Eleonora P. Radionova
Keyword(s):  
Black Sea ◽  
Late Miocene ◽  
The Black Sea ◽  
Subtidal Zone ◽  
Diatom Analysis ◽  
Diatom Flora ◽  
North West ◽  
Ecological Conditions ◽  
The North

The associations and ecological conditions of the existence of modern diatoms of the North-West (Pridneprovsky), Prikerchensky and Eastern regions of the subtidal zone of the Black Sea are considered. Based on the unity of the composition of the Present and Sarmatian-Meotian diatom flora, an attempt has been made to model some of the ecological c situation of the Late Miocene Euxinian basin.

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