Are Health States “Timeless”? The Case of the Standard Gamble Method

1999 ◽  
Vol 52 (11) ◽  
pp. 1047-1053 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohan V. Bala ◽  
Lisa L. Wood ◽  
Gary A. Zarkin ◽  
Edward C. Norton ◽  
Amiram Gafni ◽  
...  
2019 ◽  
Vol 39 (6) ◽  
pp. 704-716
Author(s):  
Barry Dewitt ◽  
Baruch Fischhoff ◽  
Alexander L. Davis ◽  
Stephen B. Broomell ◽  
Mark S. Roberts ◽  
...  

Background. Researchers often justify excluding some responses in studies eliciting valuations of health states as not representing respondents’ true preferences. Here, we examine the effects of applying 8 common exclusion criteria on societal utility estimates. Setting. An online survey of a US nationally representative sample ( N = 1164) used the standard gamble method to elicit preferences for health states defined by 7 health domains from the Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS®). Methods. We estimate the impacts of applying 8 commonly used exclusion criteria on mean utility values for each domain, using beta regression, a form of analysis suited to double-bounded scales, such as utility. Results. Exclusion criteria have varied effects on the utility functions for the different PROMIS health domains. As a result, applying those criteria would have varied effects on the value of treatments (and side effects) that change health status on those domains. Limitations. Although our method could be applied to any health utility judgments, the present estimates reflect the features of the study that produced them. Those features include the selected health domains, standard gamble method, and an online format that excluded some groups (e.g., visually impaired and illiterate individuals). We also examined only a subset of all possible exclusion criteria, selected to represent the space of possibilities, as characterized in a companion article. Conclusions. Exclusion criteria can affect estimates of the societal utility of health states. We use those effects, in conjunction with the results of the companion article, to make suggestions for selecting exclusion criteria in future studies.


2005 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 511-516 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Feeny ◽  
Ken Eng

Objectives: Prospect theory (PT) hypothesizes that people judge states relative to a reference point, usually assumed to be their current health. States better than the reference point are valued on a concave portion of the utility function; worse states are valued on a convex portion. Using prospectively collected utility scores, the objective is to test empirically implications of PT.Methods: Osteoarthritis (OA) patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty periodically provided standard gamble scores for three OA hypothetical states describing mild, moderate, and severe OA as well as their subjectively defined current state (SDCS). Our hypothesis was that most patients improved between the pre- and postsurgery assessments. According to PT, scores for hypothetical states previously > SDCS but now < SDCS should be lower at the postsurgery assessment.Results: Fourteen patients met the criteria for testing the hypothesis. Predictions were confirmed for 0 patients; there was no change or mixed results for 6 patients (42.9 percent); and scores moved in the direction opposite to that predicted by PT for 8 patients (57.1 percent).Conclusions: In general, the direction and magnitude of the changes in hypothetical-state scores do not conform to the predictions of PT.


2017 ◽  
Vol 24 (14) ◽  
pp. 1965-1975 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aaron E Carroll ◽  
Chandan Saha ◽  
Susan Ofner ◽  
Stephen M Downs

The aim of this study was to determine if adults value health states or are willing to accept risk differently for themselves than for their children or elderly parents. Participants (701) were asked to rate four hypothetical health states for themselves using both the standard gamble and time trade-off methodologies. They then did the same assessments for a real or hypothetical child as well as an elderly parent. Participants were willing to take more risk or trade more years of life to avoid bilateral vision loss and mental impairment for themselves than they were for their children and elderly parents.


2008 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 102-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
William Lear ◽  
Jennifer Ellen Akeroyd ◽  
Nicole Mittmann ◽  
Christian Murray

Background: Quality of life is an important variable in assessing the impact of a condition on patients. The current literature shows a minimal effect of nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC) on patients' quality of life. This contrasts with our own experience. Given this disparity, we sought to perform an additional study in this area. Past studies have used multiattribute methods to assess quality of life. In contrast, the present study uses health utility methods, which rate a patient's quality of life from 0 to 1, with 1 representing perfect health. Methods: Forty-one patients were guided through two standardized scenarios using a standard gamble process with a trained interviewer. Health utility scores were determined for both basal cell carcinoma (BCC) and squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) using various NMSC treatment modalities. Results: All patients had health utility scores of 0.99 or higher. The standard gamble method showed no statistically significant differences in health utility scores for any treatment scenario for BCC or SCC using raw data comparisons. However, a modified standard gamble approach showed significantly higher health utility scores for both BCC and SCC treated using surgical modalities. Conclusion: Using the standard gamble health utility method in patients with BCC or SCC, it appears that these tumors have a minimal impact on the quality of life in the present study group. However, the results may simply reflect the poor sensitivity of the standard gamble health utility method to accurately assess quality of life changes in patients with NMSC. A modification of the standard gamble method did show that patients with NMSC associated surgical treatments with a better health outcome. New outcome measures need to be devised to accurately assess the toll of NMSC on patients.


2003 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 347-361 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duska M. Franic ◽  
Dev S. Pathak

Objectives: Most studies typically measure health preferences excluding health states perceived as worse than death. The objective of this study is to test the impact of including (versus excluding) health states perceived to be worse than death on utility measurementusing standard gamble (SG) and visual analogue scale (VAS) methods.Methods: By means of a cross-sectional descriptive study design, women were asked to rate the utility of three hypothetical breast cancer health states: cure, treatment, and recurrence (n=119). Preference weights were estimated, allowing for negative utilities with death (perfect health) scaled at zero (1.0).Results: Unpaired t-test analysis showed significantly greater change in SG and VAS weights for individuals perceiving cancer recurrence as worse than death than those perceiving death as least desirable state. Excluding negative utilities from the study resulted in significantly smaller changes in utility. Study results show that preference elicitation methods can be successfully adapted to acquire negative utilities.Conclusions: Changes in utility were greater when negative preferences were permitted. Addressing negative preference scores could significantly affect quality adjusted life year estimates in economic analyses.


2000 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 72-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Erin D. Kennedy ◽  
Allan S. Detsky ◽  
Hilary A. Llewellyn-Thomas ◽  
Brenda I. O'Connor ◽  
Mark Varkul ◽  
...  

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