Abstract
Background
Arterial 18F-sodium fluoride (18F-NaF) activity on positron emission tomography (PET) is a marker of active microcalcification and atherosclerosis. Coronary 18F-NaF activity (CMA) predicts coronary artery disease progression and subsequent myocardial infarction.
Objective
To investigate whether aortic 18F-NaF activity (AMA) predicts thoracic aortic atherosclerotic disease progression and subsequent ischaemic stroke or myocardial infarction in patients with established cardiovascular disease.
Methods
In a post-hoc observational cohort study, we evaluated AMA and CMA in patients with stable coronary artery disease (n=239) or aortic stenosis (n=158) who had underwent thoracic 18F-NaF PET and computed tomography (CT). We assessed the associations between AMA or CMA and progression of calcified atherosclerotic plaque in both thoracic aortic and coronary territories on follow up CT, as well as subsequent ischaemic stroke or myocardial infarction.
Results
In 141 and 231 patients with repeat aortic and coronary CT imaging respectively at 12.7±2.7 months, AMA correlated with log progression of thoracic aortic calcium scores (r=0.21, p=0.011), volume (r=0.29, p<0.01) and mass (r=0.29, P<0.01) as well as log coronary calcium score progression (r=0.21, p=0.03). CMA correlated with log coronary (r=0.42, p<0.01), but not log aortic (p>0.80) calcium score progression. In 397 patients, 16 had an ischaemic stroke and 25 had a myocardial infarction after 4.7±1.6 years. After adjusting for clinical risk factors, CMA and calcium scoring, AMA was associated with stroke (hazard ratio, 1.71 [95% confidence interval 1.00–2.90], p=0.048]). AMA was superior to clinical risk and calcium scores in identifying patients with stroke (c-statistic 0.76 versus 0.58 versus 0.63 respectively, p<0.05). Survival analysis demonstrated that AMA was associated with ischaemic stroke (p<0.001) but not myocardial infarction (p=0.45), whereas CMA was associated with myocardial infarction (p<0.001) but not stroke (p=0.39).
Conclusions
In patients with established cardiovascular disease, AMA is associated with progression of aortic atherosclerosis and future ischaemic stroke. Arterial 18F-NaF identifies localised areas of atherosclerotic disease activity that relate to regional atherothrombotic events.
FUNDunding Acknowledgement
Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): British Heart Foundation AMA, disease progression and outcomes Variables associated with stroke
157 18F-sodium fluoride positron emission tomography, aortic disease activity and ischaemic stroke risk
