341 POSTER Letrozole is cost-effective versus tamoxifen as adjuvant therapy in postmenopausal women with early breast cancer: BIG-1-98

2005 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 96 ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 281-288 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taryn Bessen ◽  
Dorothy M.K. Keefe ◽  
Jonathan Karnon

Objectives: International guidelines recommend annual mammography after early breast cancer, but there is no randomized controlled trial evidence to support this schedule over any other. Given that not all women have the same risk of recurrence, it is possible that, by defining different risk profiles, we could tailor mammographic schedules that are more effective and efficient.Methods: A discrete event simulation model was developed to describe the progression of early breast cancer after completion of primary treatment. Retrospective data for 1,100 postmenopausal women diagnosed with early breast cancer in South Australia from 2000 to 2008 were used to calibrate the model. Women were divided into four prognostic subgroups based on the Nottingham Prognostic Index of their primary tumor. For each subgroup, we compared the cost-effectiveness of three different mammographic schedules for two different age groups.Results: Annual mammographic follow-up was not cost-effective for most postmenopausal women. Two yearly mammography was cost-effective for all women with excellent prognosis tumors; and for women with good prognosis tumors if high compliance rates can be achieved. Annual mammography for 5 years and 2 yearly surveillance thereafter (a mixed schedule) may be cost-effective for 50- to 69-year-old women with moderate prognosis tumors, and for women aged 70–79 years with poor prognosis tumors. For younger women with poor prognosis tumors, annual mammography is potentially cost-effective.Conclusions: Our results suggest that mammographic follow-up could be tailored according to risk of recurrence. If validated with larger datasets, this could potentially set the stage for personalized mammographic follow-up after breast cancer.


2006 ◽  
Vol 24 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 10577-10577
Author(s):  
T. E. Delea ◽  
J. Karnon ◽  
V. Barghout ◽  
S. K. Thomas ◽  
N. L. Papo

10577 Background: The BIG 1–98 and ATAC studies demonstrated that, in postmenopausal women with hormone receptor positive (HR+) early breast cancer, 5 years of initial adjuvant therapy with the aromatase inhibitors (AIs) letrozole (LET) or anastrozole (ANA) is superior to tamoxifen (TAM). The cost-effectiveness TAM, LET, and ANA have not been previously evaluated using a consistent methodology. Methods: A Markov model was used to estimate the incremental cost per quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained with initial adjuvant therapy with LET vs TAM, ANA vs TAM, and LET vs ANA in postmenopausal women with HR+ early stage breast cancer from the US healthcare system perspective. Probabilities of recurrence (including contralateral tumor) and adverse events (endometrial cancer, thromboembolism, fractures, hypercholesterolemia, MI, and stroke) for TAM were based primarily on published US population-based studies and trials of prophylactic TAM vs placebo. Corresponding probabilities for LET and ANA were calculated by multiplying probabilities for TAM by estimated relative risks of LET vs TAM and ANA vs TAM from the BIG 1–98 and ATAC trials respectively. Other probabilities, costs, and health-state utilities were obtained from published studies. Expected lifetime costs and QALYs were estimated for a cohort of HR+ postmenopausal women with early breast cancer, aged 61 years at therapy initiation and discounted at 3% annually. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess precision of results. Results: Incremental cost per QALY gained for LET vs TAM is $33,536 (95% CI $20,409 to $70,566) and for ANA vs TAM is $38,967 (95% CI $23,826 to $81,904). Compared with ANA, LET is less costly ($9,647 vs $10,190) and gains more QALYs (0.29 vs 0.26), although differences in costs (95% CI -$1,669 to $671) and QALYs (95% CI -0.16 to 0.22) are not statistically significant. Conclusions: In postmenopausal women with HR+ early breast cancer, adjuvant therapy with either LET or ANA is cost-effective from a US healthcare system perspective. Although LET dominates ANA in our base-case analysis, definitive conclusions regarding the cost-effectiveness of LET vs ANA must await results of comparative clinical studies. [Table: see text]


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