scholarly journals Markov Chains Conditioned Never to Wait Too Long at the Origin

2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (03) ◽  
pp. 812-826
Author(s):  
Saul Jacka

Motivated by Feller's coin-tossing problem, we consider the problem of conditioning an irreducible Markov chain never to wait too long at 0. Denoting by τ the first time that the chain,X, waits for at least one unit of time at the origin, we consider conditioning the chain on the event (τ›T). We show that there is a weak limit asT→∞ in the cases where either the state space is finite orXis transient. We give sufficient conditions for the existence of a weak limit in other cases and show that we have vague convergence to a defective limit if the time to hit zero has a lighter tail than τ and τ is subexponential.

2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 812-826
Author(s):  
Saul Jacka

Motivated by Feller's coin-tossing problem, we consider the problem of conditioning an irreducible Markov chain never to wait too long at 0. Denoting by τ the first time that the chain, X, waits for at least one unit of time at the origin, we consider conditioning the chain on the event (τ›T). We show that there is a weak limit as T→∞ in the cases where either the state space is finite or X is transient. We give sufficient conditions for the existence of a weak limit in other cases and show that we have vague convergence to a defective limit if the time to hit zero has a lighter tail than τ and τ is subexponential.


1978 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 848-851 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-François Mertens ◽  
Ester Samuel-Cahn ◽  
Shmuel Zamir

For an aperiodic, irreducible Markov chain with the non-negative integers as state space it is shown that the existence of a solution to in which yi → ∞is necessary and sufficient for recurrence, and the existence of a bounded solution to the same inequalities, with yk < yo, · · ·, yN–1 for some k ≧ N, is necessary and sufficient for transience.


1978 ◽  
Vol 15 (04) ◽  
pp. 848-851 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-François Mertens ◽  
Ester Samuel-Cahn ◽  
Shmuel Zamir

For an aperiodic, irreducible Markov chain with the non-negative integers as state space it is shown that the existence of a solution to in which yi → ∞is necessary and sufficient for recurrence, and the existence of a bounded solution to the same inequalities, with yk &lt; y o, · · ·, yN –1 for some k ≧ N, is necessary and sufficient for transience.


1976 ◽  
Vol 8 (04) ◽  
pp. 737-771 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. L. Tweedie

The aim of this paper is to present a comprehensive set of criteria for classifying as recurrent, transient, null or positive the sets visited by a general state space Markov chain. When the chain is irreducible in some sense, these then provide criteria for classifying the chain itself, provided the sets considered actually reflect the status of the chain as a whole. The first part of the paper is concerned with the connections between various definitions of recurrence, transience, nullity and positivity for sets and for irreducible chains; here we also elaborate the idea of status sets for irreducible chains. In the second part we give our criteria for classifying sets. When the state space is countable, our results for recurrence, transience and positivity reduce to the classical work of Foster (1953); for continuous-valued chains they extend results of Lamperti (1960), (1963); for general spaces the positivity and recurrence criteria strengthen those of Tweedie (1975b).


1985 ◽  
Vol 22 (01) ◽  
pp. 138-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wojciech Szpankowski

Some sufficient conditions for non-ergodicity are given for a Markov chain with denumerable state space. These conditions generalize Foster's results, in that unbounded Lyapunov functions are considered. Our criteria directly extend the conditions obtained in Kaplan (1979), in the sense that a class of Lyapunov functions is studied. Applications are presented through some examples; in particular, sufficient conditions for non-ergodicity of a multidimensional Markov chain are given.


1990 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 89-116 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ushlo Sumita ◽  
Maria Rieders

A novel algorithm is developed which computes the ergodic probability vector for large Markov chains. Decomposing the state space into lumps, the algorithm generates a replacement process on each lump, where any exit from a lump is instantaneously replaced at some state in that lump. The replacement distributions are constructed recursively in such a way that, in the limit, the ergodic probability vector for a replacement process on one lump will be proportional to the ergodic probability vector of the original Markov chain restricted to that lump. Inverse matrices computed in the algorithm are of size (M – 1), where M is the number of lumps, thereby providing a substantial rank reduction. When a special structure is present, the procedure for generating the replacement distributions can be simplified. The relevance of the new algorithm to the aggregation-disaggregation algorithm of Takahashi [29] is also discussed.


1985 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 138-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wojciech Szpankowski

Some sufficient conditions for non-ergodicity are given for a Markov chain with denumerable state space. These conditions generalize Foster's results, in that unbounded Lyapunov functions are considered. Our criteria directly extend the conditions obtained in Kaplan (1979), in the sense that a class of Lyapunov functions is studied. Applications are presented through some examples; in particular, sufficient conditions for non-ergodicity of a multidimensional Markov chain are given.


1984 ◽  
Vol 21 (03) ◽  
pp. 567-574 ◽  
Author(s):  
Atef M. Abdel-Moneim ◽  
Frederick W. Leysieffer

Conditions under which a function of a finite, discrete-time Markov chain, X(t), is again Markov are given, when X(t) is not irreducible. These conditions are given in terms of an interrelationship between two partitions of the state space of X(t), the partition induced by the minimal essential classes of X(t) and the partition with respect to which lumping is to be considered.


1981 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 112-121 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zvi Rosberg

For an aperiodic, irreducible Markov chain with the non-negative integers as state space, a criterion for ergodicity is given. This criterion generalizes the criteria appearing in Foster (1953), Pakes (1969) and Marlin (1973), in the sense that any test function (Liapunov function) which satisfies their conditions also satisfies ours. Applications are presented through some examples.


1989 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 643-648 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. I. Zeifman

We consider a non-homogeneous continuous-time Markov chain X(t) with countable state space. Definitions of uniform and strong quasi-ergodicity are introduced. The forward Kolmogorov system for X(t) is considered as a differential equation in the space of sequences l1. Sufficient conditions for uniform quasi-ergodicity are deduced from this equation. We consider conditions of uniform and strong ergodicity in the case of proportional intensities.


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