scholarly journals Seasonal global water mass budget and mean sea level variations

1998 ◽  
Vol 25 (19) ◽  
pp. 3555-3558 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. L. Chen ◽  
C. R. Wilson ◽  
D. P. Chambers ◽  
R. S. Nerem ◽  
B. D. Tapley
2000 ◽  
Vol 27 (19) ◽  
pp. 3073-3076 ◽  
Author(s):  
Don P. Chambers ◽  
Jianli Chen ◽  
R. Steven Nerem ◽  
Byron D. Tapley

Author(s):  
Ulpu Leijala ◽  
Jan-Victor Björkqvist ◽  
Milla M. Johansson ◽  
Havu Pellikka ◽  
Lauri Laakso ◽  
...  

Abstract. Tools for estimating probabilities of flooding hazards caused by the simultaneous effect of sea level and waves are needed for the secure planning of densely populated coastal areas that are strongly vulnerable to climate change. In this paper we present a method for combining location-specific probability distributions of three different components: (1) long-term mean sea level change, (2) short-term sea level variations, and (3) wind-generated waves. We apply the method in two locations in the Helsinki Archipelago to obtain run-up level estimates representing the joint effect of the still water level and the wave run-up. These estimates for the present, 2050 and 2100 are based on field measurements and mean sea level scenarios. In the case of our study locations, the significant locational variability of the wave conditions leads to a difference in the safe building levels of up to one meter. The rising mean sea level in the Gulf of Finland and the uncertainty related to the associated scenarios contribute significantly to the run-up levels for the year 2100. We also present a sensitivity test of the method and discuss its applicability to other coastal regions. Our approach allows for the determining of different building levels based on the acceptable risks for various infrastructure, thus reducing building costs while maintaining necessary safety margins.


2019 ◽  
Vol 44 (11) ◽  
pp. 2112-2125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alphonse Nahon ◽  
Déborah Idier ◽  
Nadia Sénéchal ◽  
Hugues Féniès ◽  
Cyril Mallet ◽  
...  

2012 ◽  
Vol 69 (5) ◽  
pp. 720-727 ◽  
Author(s):  
María Jesús García ◽  
Elena Tel ◽  
Joaquín Molinero

Abstract García, M. J., Tel, E., and Molinero, J. 2012. Sea-level variations on the north and northwest coasts of Spain. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 69: 720–727. An exhaustive analysis of historical sea-level records at three stations located along the northern and northwestern Spanish coast has permitted a description of the mean sea-level trend over the past 67 years. The analysis also produced results on the type, amplitude, and propagation of tides, as well as on the range of variation in the sea level, extreme values, and return periods. Once corrected for the Post Glacial Rebound, the rise in the mean sea level was estimated at 2.38, 2.45, and 2.65 mm year−1 in Santander, A Coruña, and Vigo, respectively. The meteorological contribution is evaluated by the winter North Atlantic Oscillation index, producing a correlation of −0.658 with the empirical orthogonal function mode 1, which explained 81.86% of the total variance of winter (from December to March) mean sea levels. Harmonic analysis evidenced the semi-diurnal nature of the tide and showed that the amplitude and propagation of the M2 tidal wave followed the North Atlantic regional pattern, with decreasing amplitudes and phases from east to west. Hourly height levels were run through an extreme analysis and resulted in maximum sea-level values over the respective mean sea levels (datum): 2.55, 2.48, and 2.51 m in Santander, A Coruña, and Vigo, respectively. The estimated extreme levels for a 120-year return period exceeded the observed maxima in the three locations by 0.25, 015, and 0.10 m, respectively.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-40
Author(s):  
H. Bâki İz ◽  
C.K. Shum

AbstractRecent studies reported a uniform global sea level acceleration during the satellite altimetry era (1993–2017) by analyzing globally averaged satellite altimetry measurements. Here, we discuss potential omission errors that were not thoroughly addressed in detecting and estimating the reported global sea level acceleration in these studies. Our analyses results demonstrate that the declared acceleration in recent studies can also be explained equally well by alternative kinematic models based on previously well-established multi-decadal global mean sea level variations of various origins, which suggests prudence before declaring the presence of an accelerating global mean sea level with confidence during the satellite altimetry era.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (19) ◽  
pp. 3809
Author(s):  
Jianhu Wang ◽  
Juan Li ◽  
Jiyuan Yin ◽  
Wei Tan ◽  
Yuchen Liu

The satellite altimeter data, temperature and salinity data, and 1.5-layer reduced gravity model are used to quantitatively evaluate the contributions of the steric effect and the dynamic process to sea level variations in the Tropical Pacific Ocean (TPO) on different time scales. Concurrently, it also analyses the influence of wind forcing over the different regions of the Pacific Ocean on the sea level variations in the TPO. Seasonal sea level variations in the TPO were the most important in the middle and eastern regions of the 5°–15°N latitude zone, explaining 40–60% of the monthly mean sea level variations. Both the steric effect and dynamic process jointly affected the seasonal sea level variations. Among them, the steric effect was dominant, contributing over 70% in most regions of the TPO, while the dynamic process primarily acted near the equator and southwest regions, contributing approximately 55–85%. At the same time, the seasonal dynamic sea level variations were caused by the combined actions of primarily local wind forcing, alongside subtropical north Pacific wind forcing. On the interannual to decadal time scale, the sea level interannual variations were significant in the northwestern, southwestern, and middle eastern regions of the TPO and explained 45–60% of the monthly mean sea level variations. The decadal sea level variations were the most intense in the eastern Philippine Sea, contributing 25–45% to the monthly mean sea level variations. The steric effect and the dynamic process can explain 100% of the interannual to decadal sea level variations. The contribution of the steric effect was generally high, accounting for more than 85% in the regions near the equator. The impact of the dynamic process was mainly concentrated in the northwest, northeast, and southern regions of the TPO, contributing approximately 55–80%. Local wind forcing is the leading role of interannual to decadal sea level variations. The combined actions of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) can explain 90% of the interannual to decadal sea level variations in the northwestern and eastern of the TPO.


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